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Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks - Wednesday, June 28, 2017

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Thursday, June 29, 2017

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Thursday, June 29, 2017

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, June 26, 2017

 

 


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


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Ticker Tape Digest

“Professional Report”

Wednesday - June 28, 2017


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

    To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.    For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Wednesday - June 28, 2017

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 15

Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Large list of breakouts but very selective. Bulls be conservative. Stock market coming to the end of quarter. So, portfolio window dressing is showing up. Also, a long weekend is coming too.

Stock market  - Bullish. Major averages rally big time and are back above their 14-day moving average. However, the pattern is showing a basing setup for the NASDAQ and SPX.

Stock Market Momentum

(Based on 14 unit moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish,

  Nasdaq - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

Nasdaq - Bullish 

        S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Wednesday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

MDC Holdings Inc. (MDC) - 36.73, up 1.01 - Breakpoint 35.99

Net to Climb 27% This Year,  TTD Targets 44

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MDC  - ABOVE AVERAGE

    MDC, based in Denver, is a homebuilder in the U.S. and provider of financial services. Annual revenues: $2.3 billion. MDC's stock breaks out Wednesday from a seven-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a three-year high. Housing stocks have been strong.

  TTD featured MDC Tuesday as a stock to accumulate in anticipation of a breakout.

  So far today, MDC is trading 696,325 shares. Its average daily volume is 449,000 shares.

  MDC rose in the morning to breakout. However, it pulled back quickly.

  Then it turned and rallied strongly to clear the breakpoint line (see 10-minute chart).

 The stock then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.

  Tape Action

  MDC's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $35.67 in the prior session to as high as $36.78 Wednesday.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 2,916 shares crossed the tape at $35.96.

  That was up from the prior block at $35.67 on 38,600 shares on Tuesday.

  Near the close a block 42,042 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $36.73.

  That came on a down tick from the prior block at $36.74 on 2,000 shares.

  The tape action indicated some institutional profit taking.   

Business

  MDC builds homes in  Arizona, California, Nevada and Washington;

 In the east, they build homes in Virginia, Florida, Maryland, Pennsylvania and New Jersey.

 The firm's  mortgage operations, including HomeAmerican Mortgage Co., Allegiant Insurance Co.., StarAmerican Insurance Ltd., American Home Insurance Agency, Inc. and American Home Title and Escrow Company.

   The homebuilding operations are under Richmond American Homes.

 Charts

  MDC's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 65% versus a 20% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders were recent buyers at $23 to $28 a share. They were sellers around $34 to $35.

  MDC's long-term chart shows the stock making a bottom in 2011 at $14.08. The stock then climbed to a peak of $40.39 in early 2013.

  It then trended mostly sideways until this year. Since then it has been trending higher.

  MDC's daily chart shows the stock climbing from around $27 in February  to a peak near $35 by May.

  MDC put down a tight flat base with a slight wedge to the upside most recently.

 The breakout looks solid coming with good volume and a widening of the daily spread.

  The CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is solidly bullish.

   Earnings Outlook

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 28% increase in net to $2.56 a share from $2 a year ago. The estimate was bumped up Wednesday.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 13. TTD sees that as attractive for value-growth investors.

  Going out to 2018, the Street predicts a 13% rise in net to $2.88 a share from the anticipated $2.56 this year.

  Quarterly profit growth is expected to show an acceleration. That is bullish.

  Net for the second quarter is expected to be up 19% to 62 cents a share from 52 cents the year before.

  The highest estimate on the Street is at 65 cents a share. TTD sees chances for an upside earnings surprise. MDC topped the consensus estimate the past two quarters by 7 cents a share and 10 cents.

  Looking out to the third quarter, net should jump 27% to 65 cents a share from 51 cents the year before.

  Housing stocks have been acting bullishly in recent weeks.

Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting MDC for a move to $44.  A protective stop can be placed near $33.50. TTD rates MDC an average intermediate-term play.

Suitability:  Average Bulls.

                 TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success -  Bullish. MDC has scored some good gains after breaking out. It is now in a long-term up trend. That is bullish.

Probability - Earnings Response - Average. MDC rose 6 times after 13 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Success -  Slightly Bearish. MDC has declined an average of 1.5%  in July and fell 1.8% in August the past five years.


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

             14%

    6/8/2017      31.29        35.72    Still in play

             30%

    2/10/17      27.30        35.72    Still in play

             10%

    7/6/2016      23.56        26.01    7/27/2016
               5%     6/5/2015      27.79        29.34     6/26/2015
             21%     8/16/2012      31.20        38.04     9/24/2012

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
MDC Holdings Inc.  - (MDC)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 14 0 0


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BLD - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FOXF -  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DGX  - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CBG - AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest's

Pre-Market Breakout Watch List

Selections for - Thursday - June 29, 2017


Ticker Tape Digest provides a list of potential breakout stocks from our screen of companies that will show some of the strongest earnings gains. One of the best ways to play these stocks is to study the list and then place a stop buy order to catch the stock on the breakout.

One can take either a full position on the breakout if they are aggressive, or scale-in looking to add to the stake later if they are conservative. TTD's premarket breakout watch list gives you a great opportunity "to be prepared for the next key breakout stock just before it happens." The list will be updated daily and the screen monthly.


TTD's Breakout Watch List Set up on June 3, 2017

Latest prices are June 28, 2017


Stocks with Gain in blue have surpassed their breakpoint and have broken out of their base.



Guide: Symbol=Ticker, Name=Corporate name, Entry is the buy price to enter on the breakout, Last=prior close, Change=change from last close to prior, Date=date of price of close etc, Gain in blue is price above breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is price below breakpoint (entry)., % Gain in blue is % over breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is % below breakpoint (entry)

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking Trade Setups for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears:  Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Small list of shorts Wednesday as stock market bounces back from sharp decline on Tuesday. Bears be conservative.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Ezcorp Inc. (EZPW) - 7.70, down 1.40

Stock Cuts Below Support, TTD Sees Decline to 5

  EZPW, based in Austin, Tex., operates pawn shops and provides loans. Annual revenues: $731 million. EZPW's stock falls sharply Wednesday and undercuts key technical support. TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted EZPW as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.

  So far today, EZPW is trading a heavy 3.4 million shares, 12 times its average daily volume of 253,000 shares.

  The company announced plans to make a note offering.

  EZPW's stock gapped lower in the morning. It then drifted lower the rest of the day and closed near its low for the session.

  Tape Action

  EZPW's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $9.10 in the prior session to as low as $7.70 Wednesday.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 23,547 shares crossed the tape at $8.30.

  That was down from the prior block trade at $9.10 on 25,017 shares late on Tuesday.

  Business

  EZPW. provides pawn loans in the U.S. and Mexico, and consumer loans in Mexico.

  The Company operates through three segments: U.S. Pawn, which includes its EZPAWN, Value Pawn & Jewelry and other branded pawn operations in the United States.

  Mexico Pawn, which includes its Empeno Facil pawn operations and cash converters buy/sell store operations in Mexico.

Earnings:

  This fiscal year ending in September, analysts are forecasting a rebound in EZPW's earnings to 51 cents a share from 16 cents a year before.

  Net for the fiscal third quarter ending in June is expected to be up 80% to 9 cents a share from 5 cents the year before.

  The company has missed with quarterly net twice in the past three quarters.

Charts:   

  EZPW's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume. It cuts below key technical support.

  EZPW's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 10% versus a 20% gain for the Stock market.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting EZPW for a decline to $5 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $8.20.

Suitability: Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response -  Very Bearish. Stock rose just 2 times after the past 8 earnings reports where there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity - Slightly Bullish.  Stock's EZPW rose an average of 1.7%  in July the past five years and 1.5%  in August.  


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EZPW -  BELOW AVERAGE


   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2017

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)