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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Thursday, February 3

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Thursday, February 3

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - January 31


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short


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Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday - February 3, 2011


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns.

(See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."

  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns

  (See Performance)


 

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 10

Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Good number of breakouts today but only a few quality plays.  Stock Market continues to show good resilience to selling. Bulls be selective and  watchful since the advance is now 4 months old.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Thursday - February 3, 2011*

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Stillwater Mining Co. (SWC) - 24, up 0.70 - Breakpoint 22.80

Hits 8-Year High, Profits to Skyrocket 214% This Year, TTD Targets 29

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SWC  - ABOVE AVERAGE

   SWC, based in Billings, Mt., produces palladium, platinum and associated metals from a geological formation in south central Montana. Annual revenues: $394 million. SWC, a small cap play in the mining sector, breaks out today from a nine-week flat base. The move carries the stock to an 8-year high. TTD highlighted the stock as one to accumulate just a few days. ago.

  So far today, SWC is trading 4.8 million shares. Its average dairy volume is 3.5 million shares.

  SWC's 10-minute chart shows the stock rallying in the morning and cutting right across its breakpoint line.

  The stock cleared the resistance nicely and then spent the afternoon consolidating its gain. The action so far is ideal.  

  The tape shows the big block trades the past few days.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $22.90 to $24.

 The key bullish trade came around noon when a block of 16,591 shares crossed the tape at $23.80. That was up sharply from the prior block that went off at $23.30. The stocks block action remained firm through the day with no hint of distribution.   

 SWC produces palladium, platinum and other metals from the south central Montana formation known as the J-M Reef and from the recycling of spent catalytic converters.

  The Company conducts mining operations at the Stillwater Mine near Nye, Montana and at the East Boulder Mine near Big Timber, Montana.

  Ore extraction at both mines takes place within the J-M Reef. The company operates a smelter and base metal refinery at Columbus, Montana, which improve the mined concentrates into a PGM-rich filter cake. Besides processing mine concentrates, the company also recycles spent catalyst material at the smelter and base metal refinery to recover the contained PGMs palladium, platinum and rhodium.

  SWC's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 120% the past 12 months. That easily tops the S&P 500's gain of 20%.

  SWC's long-term chart shows the stock rally from a bear market low of $2.73 in early 2009 to 21. It has been one of the big winners the past two years. The stock remains in a strong up trend.

  SWC's daily chart shows the stock trending higher above its 50-day moving average line. The stock formed a flat base and kept bumping up against the top of the base. Today it pushes through.

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart ) is solidly bearish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) lags. It took a hit back in early December However, it is now working higher showing that buyers are stepping up.

  TTD sees earnings as the key driver for the stock.

  This year, analysts forecast a big 214% surge in profits to $1.76 a share from an anticipated 56 cents a share for 2010. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of just 12. TTD sees that as low making the stock attractive for value investors.

  Net for the soon to be reported fourth quarter of 2010 should come in at 20 cents a share compared with a loss of 2 cents a share a year ago.

  Looking ahead to the first quarter of 2011, earnings are expected to surge to 42 cents a share, a 200% gain over the 14 cents a share a year ago.

  Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting SWC for a move to 29 within the next few months. very bullish SWC. A protective stop can be placed near 21.50 after a breakout. TTD rates SWC a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.

  Sponsorship: Very Good. Some heavy buying is taking place among good funds. The 4-star rated Blackrock US Opportunities Fund was a recent buyer of 173,200 shares. Also, 4-star rated Marshall Small-Cap Growth Fund recently picked up 324,200 shares. SWC has 101.8 million shares outstanding.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Not much activity lately. Three analysts follow the stock and all 3 have a buy, up from 1 three months ago.



Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Stillwater Mining Co.  - (SWC)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 14 0 0

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SFLY  -  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ROST  -  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RBC - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HAR  - BELOW AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 10

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Good number of breakdown stocks today. Bears be selective as stock market remains in overall up trend.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Aegean Marine Petroleum Network (ANW) -  8.90, down 2.00

Forecasts Loss for 4th Quarter, TTD Sees Drop to 6.50

  ANW, based in Greece, is a physical supplier and marketer of refined marine fuel and lubricants. Annual revenues: $4.4 billion. ANW's stock falls sharply today in heavy trading after the company forecast a loss for the fourth quarter. The company said it will show a loss of 22 to 24 cents a share for the fourth quarter. The news came as a surprise. The consensus on the Street was for a profit of 18 cents a share.

  ANW's stock fell sharply in the morning. It hit an intraday low of 8.82. The stock bounced up and then trended sideways.

  So far today, ANW is trading 6.1 million shares, seven times its normal daily volume of 778,000 shares.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big blocks.

 One can see the price for the blocks declining from $9.30 to as low as $8.80. A key bearish trade today was a block of 150,000 shares that crossed at $8.80, down from the prior block trade at $8.89.

  The tape showed aggressive institutional selling pressure.

  ANW procures marine fuel from refineries, oil producers, and resells it to a diversified customer base in the shipping industry. They include tankers, container ships, drybulk carriers, cruise ships, reefers, liquid natural gas/liquefied petroleum gas, car carriers, ferries, and marine fuel traders and brokers.

  The company serves Greece, Gibraltar, the United Arab Emirates, Jamaica, Singapore, Northern Europe, U.S. and  West Africa. It has a fleet of 42 bunkering vessels, 37 of which are double-hull.

  For 2010, the Street was forecasting a 14% decline in net to 91 cents a share from$1.06 a year ago. That estimate will come down sharply.

  ANW's daily chart shows a gap drop in November. The stock tried to rally afterwards, but today sinks a gain. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is very bearish.

Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting ANW for a decline to $6.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed at $9.90.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ANW - BELOW AVERAGE


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”{short description of image}

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)

Copyright - Ticker Tape Digest - 2011