Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, February 4, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, February 4, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 2, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market
rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs. 
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 14
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome. In some case a scale-in strategy may be best since the stock market remains in a trading range.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AAPL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
AAPL, based in Cupertino, Ca., makes mobile phones, computers and other electronics products. Annual revenues: $200 billion. AAPL breaks out from an 11-week, cup-and-handle base today. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. AAPL is one of the key leaders in the current bull market that has lasted some six years. 
So far today, AAPL is trading 70 million shares. Its average daily volume is 65.1 million shares.
AAPL's 10-minute chart shows the stock cutting through its breakpoint line in the morning. 
The stock advanced to an intraday peak of 120.51 nicely above its breakpoint line.
However, late in the session it backed off as the stock market turned down.
In after hours trading, AAPL was still holding just above its breakpoint line.
AAPL's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One an see the price for the blocks advancing from $118.52 in the morning to as high as $120.17.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 145,000 shares crossed the tape at $120.06.
That was up from the prior block trade at $118.52 on 100,000 shares.
There was a massive block of 1,521,248 shares (duplicated) that crossed at the NYSE close at $119.56.
That actually came on an up tick from the prior trade at $119.55 on 100 shares.
APPL makes mobile communication and media devices, personal computers, and portable digital music players.
The company's products and services include iPhone, iPad, Mac, iPod, Apple TV, a portfolio of consumer and professional software applications, the iOS and Mac OS X operating systems and iCloud.
AAPL also provides a range of accessory, service and support offerings.
It sells its products worldwide through its online stores, its retail stores, its direct sales force, third-party wholesalers, and resellers.
AAPL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 65% versus a 19% gain for the stock market.
The stock has moved higher after the past four quarterly earnings reports.
AAPL's long-term chart shows the stock advancing from 7 back in 2006 to a peak of 119. The stock is adjusted for several splits. 
AAPL's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 98 back in October to a peak of 119 in November.
The stock then pulled back, rallied and formed a cup-and-handle base.
The breakout Wednesday clears the base with modest volume.
It will be very important for AAPL to show a follow through move on the breakout.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) lags. That shows the recent buying in the stock has been "soft."
Analysts are forecasting AAPL's net for the fiscal year ending in September will rise 30% to $8.37 a share from $6.45 a year before. 
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 14. TTD sees that as low given the earnings outlook in this fiscal year.
AAPL's profits for the upcoming fiscal second quarter ending in March should climb 26% to $2.09 a share from $1.66 a year ago.
AAPL has topped the consensus estimate for the quarter the past four quarters - and in some cases by a significant amount.
The highest estimate on the Street is at $2.31 a share.
Looking ahead to the fiscal third quarter ending in June, the Street expects a 27% increase in net to $1.63 a share from $1.28 a year before.
Gong out to fiscal year 2016, the Street currently predicts an 8% rise in AAPL's earnings. However, that could change.
Strategy Opinion: TTD suggests a partial position in AAPL off this breakout. One can add to it on a follow through move on the upside. TTD is targeting AAPL for a move to 145 this breakout.
TTD rates AAPL an average breakout play and an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund buyer recently was the 5-star rated Fidelity Contrafund which purchased 647,160 shares. It has a 0.58% stake.
Also, the 4-star rated Harbor Capital Appreciation Fund was a recent buyer of 218,277 shares. It has a 0.22% interest.
Many of the top funds have been lowering their positions.
AAPL has 5.8 billion shares outstanding. Institutions hold 62% of the stock. Insiders have less than 1%.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders have been recent sellers around $1.08 to $1.16.
Currently, 51 analysts follow the stock, 41 have a buy, the same as three months ago. AAPL has a book value of $21.17.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Apple Inc. - (AAPL) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - UA - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DIS - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - KSS - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CSTH - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 5
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Just a few shorts today. Stock market closes lower. Bears remain conservative. TTD's short from Tuesday was Benchmark Electronics Inc. (BHE) at 23.38. Today, the stock has declined to 22.53 and is working well for bears.
FAST, based in Winona, Min., sells industrial and construction supplies. Annual revenues: $3.7 billion. FAST's stock falls sharply Wednesday undercutting key technical support. So far today, FAST is trading a heavy 8.8 million shares, triple its average daily volume of 2.3 million shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted FAST as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
The decline in FAST was due to a revenue miss.
The company reported revenues for the fourth quarter rose 14% to $926 million.
However, it was below the analysts estimate of $935 million.
FAST's stock gapped lower in the morning and continued to work lower through the day. It hit an intraday low of 42.04.
FAST's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $45.78 in the prior session to as low as $42.58.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 33,946 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $44.28.
That was down from the prior block trade at $45.78 on 68,630 shares (duplicated).]
FAST's product line consists of threaded fasteners and other supplies. The company also sells, in its other ten product lines, tools, metal cutting tool blades and blade resharpening services, fluid transfer components and accessories for hydraulic and pneumatic power, material handling and storage products.
This year, analysts have been forecasting a 15% increase in net to $1.91 a share from $1.66 a year ago.
FAST's daily chart shows the sharp gap drop and big volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending lower indicating clear selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting FAST for a drop to 35 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 44.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FAST - AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
