Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Thursday, February 4, 2016
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Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Thursday, February 4, 2016 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 1, 2016 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 3
Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Paper and Aerospace stocks breaking out. Stock market holds in up trend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CSGS - ABOVE AVERAGE |
CSGS, based in Englewood, provides business support solutions primarily to the communications industry. Annual revenues: $748 million. CSGS's stock surges Thursday and breaks out from a 13-week flat base. 
The company reported higher earnings and increased its quarterly dividend.
CSGS is trading 863,129 shares, double its average daily volume of 388,000 shares. 
CSGS's stock pushed higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint.
The stock continued its advance in the afternoon and closed near its high for the session. That is bullish.
CSGS's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $34.29 in the prior session to as high as $37.88.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 160,820 shares crossed the tape at $35.02.
That was up from the prior block trade a $34.29 on 29,193 shares.
CSGS makes transaction business models from software used for optimizing revenue associated with the volumes of customer interactions.
Its suite includes a Advanced Convergent Platform, a billing and customer care platform for cable and satellite providers.
It also makes Singleview suite, an integrated customer care, billing, and real-time rating and charging solution.
The company's solutions also include customer interaction management solutions that processes interactive voice, SMS/text, print, e-mail, Web, and fax messages.
CSGS's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 39% versus a 6% decline in the stock market.
Late in the year, insiders were buyers (see performance chart)
CSGS's long-term chart shows the stock reaching a peak in 2006 at 28. The stock then fell back to 10 in 2008.
The stock rallied back to the low 20s, faded back to 11 in 2011. However, since then CSGS's stock has been trending higher. It is now close to 14-year high.
CSGS's daily chart shows the stock rising from 29 in September to a peak of 38.84 in November.
The stock then pulled back and went into a consolidation.
The breakout from the base comes with a widening of the daily spread and expanding volume.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) hits a new peak.
That shows good underlying buying.
Net for this year is expected to rise 10% to $2.50 a share from $2.28 a year ago.
The stock has a p/e ratio of 15. TTD sees that as reasonable. 
Net for the first quarter is projected to surge 45% to 58 cents a share from 40 cents a year ago.
Looking out to the second quarter the Street is looking for a 22% rise in net to 62 cents a share from 51 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CSGS for a move to 44 within the next six months.
A protective stop can be placed near 35.80.
TTD rates CSGS an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Average. A key fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated Diamond Hill Small Cap Value Inst. The Fund bought 16,864 shares recently. It has a 0.8% stake.
The largest fund holder is AllianzGI NF Small-Cap Value Inst. Fund with a 3.2% stake. It was a recent seller of 34,900 shares.
CSGS 32.7 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 90% of the stock and insiders 4%.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders were sellers around $30 to $31 last year.
Currently, 3 analysts follow the stock, one has a buy, down from 2 three months ago.
CSGS has a book value of $10.90.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating CSG Systems International Inc. - (CSGS) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 11 | 0 | 3 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DFT - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AOSL - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 9
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.
Bear Side - Large list of breakdown stocks Thursday. Bears can be venturesome.
TTD's short from Wednesday was MPLX Lp (MPLX) at 22.07. The stock fell to 21.70 Thursday.
After hours trading, Linkedin Corp. (LNKD) tumbled 53.54 to 137.71 after making a disappointing earnings forecast.
KSS, based in Menomonee Falls, Wisc, operates discount department stores. Annual revenues: $19.2 billion. KSS's stock falls sharply Thursday after slashing its earnings outlook. So far today, KSS is trading 22.6 million shares, five times its average daily volume of 4.2 million shares. 
TTD highlighted KSS as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
The stock gapped lower in the morning and touched an intraday low of 40.95 late in the morning.
It then trended sideways the rest of the day.
KSS's tape action shows the recent block trades,
One can see the price for the block falling from $51.13 in the prior session to as low as $41 on Thursday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 50,215 shares crossed the tape at $43.50.
That was down sharply from the prior block at $51.13 on 89,141 shares.
The company lowered its earnings outlook for this year excluding special items to $3.95 to $4 a share.
The prior forecast was at $4.40 to $4.60 a share.
The company said sales in January have slowed. due to unseasonably warm weather.
KSS sells apparel, footwear, accessories, beauty, and home products to children, men, and women customers.
The company also sells its products online at Kohls.com and through mobile devices. It has 1,162 department stores in 49 states.
KSS's daily chart shows the stock falling from 60 in August to as low as 44 in November. The stock lifted a bit and trended sideways. Thursday, KSS gaps lower with big volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is now very bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting KSS for a decline to 35 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 44.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - KSS - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD
Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
