Go To TTD's Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch Stock Lists for Friday, February 6

Search Engine TTD Reports

Go To Prior Days TTD Reports

Translate to any Language

Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short Plays


{short description of image}

Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - February 6, 2009


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily breakout and Short Selling report. It contains Breakout Stocks and Stocks under Significant Accumulation.

Data is from tape action for the day. These stocks are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points for leading stocks.

These stocks will do very well during bull markets and strong market rallies.

TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks

will do very well during bear markets or market corrections

TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

Quote or chart

TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the break point. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Total Buy Breakouts today - 6

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull's Strategy -  A small list of breakouts today with the overall quality very selective.  Stock market in a good rally phase within an overall trading range. Bulls can now become more aggressive.

(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Unfavorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) -NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish


Today's Feature Breakout Stock

American Italian Pasta Co. (AIPC) - 26.78, up 1.28 - Breakpoint 26.10

Profits to Soar 56% in Fiscal 2009, TTD Targets 34

                TTD's Quality Rating of Breakout Stock - AIPC - ABOVE AVERAGE

   AIPC, based in Kansas City, is the largest producer of dry pasta in North America. Annual Revenues: $517 million. AIPC's stock breaks out from an eight week flat base today and hits new three-year high. The stock is one of the strongest performers the past 12 months. TTD highlighted the stock back in December. So far today, AIPC is trading 511,604 shares, double its normal daily volume of 224,000 shares.

  TTD spotlighted the stock as a breakout at our midsession show on Friday.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the big block trades of the past few days. It is interesting to note that there were no big block trades on Feb. 5, Thursday.

  Today, the block trading picked up with the price climbing from $25.90 to $26.40. The tape action indicated the stock was attracting strong institutional buying.

  There is now doubt the stock is now on the "radar screens" of institutions.

  AIPC closed strongly higher on Thursday. Today, it moved higher in the morning and then again in the early afternoon. It did not show much of a pullback throughout the day.

    TTD's 12-month performance chart shows AIPC appreciating 290% the past 12 months. That compares with a 35% drop in the S&P 500. So, AIPC is a leader.

 The company was founded in 1988. It has four plants that are in Excelsior Springs, Missouri; Columbia, South Carolina; Tolleson, Arizona and Verolanuova, Italy. The Company has 600 employees in the United States and Italy.

  TTD's long-term chart shows that AIPC was a $51 stock back in 2002. It trended lower hitting a bottom in early 2006. Afterwards, the stock formed a bottom and has since turned up nicely. It is in play on the bull side and sporting strong earnings.  

  TTD's daily chart shows the gap breakout on the stock in December.

 That came when the company estimated strong earnings.

  Net for the fiscal fourth quarter ended Sept. 30 increased to 36 cents a share from 10 cents a year ago. The 36 cents beat the consensus estimate on the Street of 27 cents a share. The highest estimate was 43 cents a share.

  The stock scooted up to the 24 area where it formed a new base.

  Today's breakout pushes through upside resistance near 26.

 The current base was well-formed with a contraction in volume near the lows. AIPC's TTD momentum indicator (top of the chart)  is bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has turned up  again  and is good confirmation of strong buying continuing in the stock. So, profit taking has been contained.

  This fiscal year ending September of 2009, analysts forecast a 56% surge in net to $1.83 a share from $1.17 a share in fiscal 2008. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  14, which is reasonable. Looking out to fiscal 2010, analysts predict a 20% gain in net to $2.20 a share.

  Strategy Opinion: AIPC's stock continues to act strong. TTD said back in December that the stock had the potential to move higher. TTD is now targeting AIPC for a move to 34. A protective stop can be placed near 24. TTD rates AIPC a good intermediate-term play because of its good earnings outlook and reasonable valuation.

  Sponsorship: Good. A key buyer recently was 4-star rated Fidelity Low-Priced Stock Fund which picked up 68,000 shares. AIPC has 19 million shares outstanding. Funds hold 6.3 million shares.

  Insider Activity: Slightly Bullish. Three analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, up from one three months ago.   



                     Stock Performance Chart for 12 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Profile Rating
American Italian Pasta Co. (AIPC)
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume Expansion YES  
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES    
Fund Sponsorship     YES
Total Score 13 0 1

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy.


Charts of Breakout Stocks

                TTD's Quality Rating of Breakout Stock - AZO - AVERAGE

                TTD's Quality Rating of Breakout Stock - SGR - BELOW AVERAGE

                TTD's Quality Rating of Breakout Stock - VRX - ABOVE AVERAGE

 


{short description of image}

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 8

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.

Bear Side - Good number of breakdown stocks today with some heavily damaged issues. Bears be venturesome.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Skechers USA Inc. (SKX) - 7.42, off 2.67

Sees Big Loss, TTD Sees Drop to 5

SKX, based near Los Angeles, makes casual footwear for young men and women. Annual revenues: $1.4 billion. SKX's stock gets tripped today as it falls sharply on heavy volume. The company projected a big loss for the fourth quarter. So far today, the stock is down about 27%. Volume is running at 2.3 million shares, four times its normal daily volume of 469,000 shares. TTD sees more to come on the downside.

 TTD's clip of the tape shows the big block trades today. One can see the price for the blocks dropping from $7.70 in the morning to $7.32 by the afternoon. The tape action shows institutions willing to sell at a cheaper price.

  SKX fell in overnight trading. It opened even lower on Friday. It was unable to mount a significant rally.

Skechers designs and markets trendy shoes. The company's footwear is sold through department stores, specialty stores, its own Web site, and about 200 company-operated retail and outlet stores in the U.S.

 SKX also markets footwear under the Marc Ecko, Zoo York, Tapout, 310 Motoring, Mark Nason, and SoHo Lab labels.

  The company said it will show a loss of  40 to 50 cents a share for the fourth quarter. The Street was looking for a profit of 14 cents a share.

  The company said it expects to breakeven for the first half. The Street was looking for a significant profit.

  TTD's daily chart shows the gap drop on big volume. The nasty fundamental news is the key here.

  TTD is targeting SKX for a jog down to 5. It is a good short for an aggressive bear.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

{short description of image}

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)