Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Monday, February 10, 2014
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Monday, February 10, 2014 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 10, 2013 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 5
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small and selective. Semiconductor stocks continue to act well. Stock market appears to be in the early stages of a consolidation pattern. Bulls be selective.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FSL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
FSL, based in Austin, Tex., produces semiconductors for the auto, networking and consumer markets. Annual revenues: $4.1 billion. FSL's stock breaks out today from a five-month, cup-and-handle base. The move carries the stock to a two-year high. So far today, FSL is trading a heavy 4.9 million shares, double its average daily volume of 2.3 million shares. 
FSL's breakout reaffirms the strength TTD is spotting in the semiconductor sector.
FSL's 10-minute chart shows the stock pushing higher in the morning and clearing its breakpoint. 
The stock peaked at 18.95 around midsession.
The stock then drifted back in the afternoon. However, it held above its breakpoint.
FSL's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks advancing from $17.66 to as high as $18.86.
A key bullish trade crossed in the morning when a block of 12,029 shares crossed the tape at $18.50.
That was up from the prior block at $17.66.
Then another key bullish block came around the close when a block of 62,400 shares - the largest of the day - crossed at $18.85.
That was up from the prior block at $18.28.
FSL produces semiconductors and solutions for automotive, networking, industrial, and consumer markets worldwide.
Products offered by the company include networking and multimedia microprocessors, including communication processors, digital signal processors, and multimedia and application processors.
Solutions offered by Freescale include microcontrollers for automotive and industrial markets and wireless connectivity products for the industrial and consumer markets.
FSL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 15%. That compares with an 18% gain in the S&P 500 index.
FSL's long-term chart going back to 2011 shows the stock trading as high as 20.97. It then fell in 2012 to as low as $7.63.
However, the stock has turned up and has climbed to 18.70. It is now in a long-term up trend.
FSL's daily chart shows the stock forming a cup-and-handle base over the past several months. The stock breaks out today with a pick up in volume.
The push through upside resistance is bullish.
The breakout shows a widening of its daily trading spread (range from high to low). That indicates ease of price movement higher.
The stock's accumulation - distribution line (below) shows it is lagging the price a bit.
The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.
TTD sees the key driver for the stock being its powerful earnings outlook.
Analysts forecast earnings this year will soar 378% to $1.24 a share from 26 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of just 15.
Going out to 2015, they look for profits to climb 38% to $1.72 a share from the anticipated $1.24 this year. TTD sees the stock as being a value play for aggressive investors. 
For the upcoming first quarter, the Street looks for a profit of 20 cents a share compared with a loss of 8 cents a year before. The highest estimate on the Street is 21 cents a share.
Going out to the second quarter, profits are projected to climb to 31 cents a share from 4 cents a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting FSL for a move to 24 off this breakout. The fact semiconductors are now strong is a big plus. TTD suggests a protective stop at 16.
TTD rates FSL a good intermediate-term play and most suitable for aggressive investors.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is 5-star rated Artisan Mid Cap Fund with a 2.7% stake. It was a recent buyer of 78,239 shares.
Also, the three-star rated Fidelity Value Fund was a recent big buyer of 1.6 million shares, a new position.
FSL has 258 million shares outstanding.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders have been getting a lot of stock options. The latest around $3 to $5 a share. They were recent sellers around $18.
Currently, 10 analysts follow the stock, 5 have a buy, the same as three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Freescale Semiconductor LTD. - (FSL) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 11 | 0 | 3 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CGEN - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BPL - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - YOD - BELOW AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GTAT - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Only two shorts today. Stock market appears to have set up a trading range. Bears remain conservative at this point. TTD's short from Friday was Servicesource International (SREV) at 7.46. The stock has declined to 7.39 and is working well for bears.
BYI, based in Las Vegas makes gaming machines and systems. Annual revenues: $1 billion. BYI's stock falls sharply today and undercuts key technical support. The move come on heavy volume of 2.1 million shares, triple its average daily volume of 648,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
The stock was down graded by the brokerage firm Janney Montgomery.
BYI's stock was highlighted by TTD as a short at our midsession video show on the web Monday.
BYI's stock gapped lower in the morning and hit an intraday low of 65.81. The stock then trended sideways most of the day.
Late in the session it started to lift slightly.
BYI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $74.12 on Friday to as low as $66.25 on Monday.
A key bearish trade came in the after-hours market on Friday when a block of 30,032 shares crossed at $69.50. That was down sharply from the prior block at $74.12.
BYI makes gaming machines and computerized monitoring systems for gaming machines.
It also owns and manages a significant installed base of gaming machines and operates casinos.
BYI's earnings for the fiscal year ending June 30 are expected to rise 28% to $4.40 a share from $3.45 a year ago.
Net for the fiscal third quarter ending in March should climb 21% to $1.13 a share from 93 cents a year ago.
BYI's daily chart shows the stock cutting blow key technical support today. One can see that the stock had a reversal to the downside on Friday. That means the news of the downgrading started to hit Friday. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a downtrend indicating clear selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BYI for a decline to 60 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 69. TTD sees BYI as a trading short.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BYI - AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
