Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, February 11, 2014
|
Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, February 11, 2014 |
|
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 10, 2013 |
|
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
|---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
|
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
|---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market
rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs. 
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 13
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list showing some interesting plays. Stock market rallies across its new trading range. Bulls be selective.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
|
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PAGP - ABOVE AVERAGE |
PAGP, based in Houston, transports and stores crude oil and refined products. Annual revenues: $41 billion. PAGP's stock, a recent IPO, breaks out today from an eight-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new high. So far today, PAGP is trading 1 million shares. Its average daily volume is 858,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted PAGP as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday. 
PAGP's 10-minute chart shows the stock breaking out in the morning. It continued to work higher hitting a peak in the afternoon.
In the late afternoon, it trended sideways holding the bulk of its gain.
PAGP's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks advancing from $26.77 the day before to as high as $27.68 in the afternoon.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 11,000 shares crossed the tape at $27.38.
That was up from the prior block at $26.77 late the day before.
PAGP operates as a holding company.
The company, through its subsidiaries, is involved in the transportation, storage, terminalling, and marketing of crude oil and refined products.
PAGP also focuses on the processing, transportation, fractionation, storage, and marketing of natural gas liquids, including ethane and natural gasoline products, as well as propane and butane products.
PAGP's six month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 26%.
That compares with a 9% gain for the S&P 500 index.
One can see heavy insider buying (green bar) in October of last year. The stock pushed aggressively higher afterwards.
PAGP's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in October of last year and trading around $22.
The stock worked its way up to a peak of 27 by December of last year. It then pulled back and consolidated. Now it breakouts. The push to a new all-time high could attract more buying on Wednesday.
PAGP's daily chart shows the stock setting up a classic cup-and-handle base.
The breakout is ideal showing a widening of the daily spread (range from high to low). That shows ease of movement through the technical resistance.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) broke out before the price of the stock. That shows good underlying buying in the base.
Analysts are expecting earnings for 2013 to come in around 58 cents a share, a 99% surge from the prior year's 29 cents.
Net for the fourth quarter should be 25 cents a share. There was no comparison from a year ago.
Interestingly, analysts following the stock have estimates for the quarter as high as 86 cents a share. 
Looking ahead to the first quarter of 2014, they project profits at 28 cents a share. There was no operation with a year before.
However, for all of 2014, they look for a robust 79% leap in net to $1.03 a share from the anticipated 58 cents a share for 2013. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 26.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting PAGP for a move to 33 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 25.90.
TTD rates PAGP a good intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is Ivy Asset Strategy C Fund with a big 10.4% stake. The 4-star rated fund took a new position by buying 13.7 million shares.
Also Perkins Mid Cap Value L Fund, 3-star rated is the second largest fund holder with a 4.8% stake. It was an initial buyer of 6.4 million shares.
PAPG has 132.4 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 38.8% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders have been getting stock options. However, there has not been any selling yet. Currently, 14 analysts follow the stock, 10 have a buy, up from one three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Plains Group Holdings LP - (PAGP) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MNST - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TARO - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MD - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DIS - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 5
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Just a few shorts today as stock market rallies strongly. Overall, pattern has the look of a trading range. Bears be patient and selective.
RAX, based in San Antonio, Tex., provides hosting services to businesses worldwide. Annual revenues: $1.5 billion. RAX's stock falls sharply today after the company reported disappointing earnings and its CEO announced plans to retire. So far today, RAX is trading a heavy 17.1 million shares, eight times its average daily volume of 2.3 million shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
RAX reported a 30% drop in earnings for the fourth quarter of 2013. The company cited higher expenses which offset gains in revenues.
The company also said CEO Lanham Napier will retire as CEO. He had headed the company for eight years.
RAX's stock fell sharply in the premarket and continued to work lower as Tuesday wore on. The stock touched an intraday low of $32.75 in the afternoon.
RAX's tape action shows the recent big block trades. One can see the price for the blocks falling from $38.14 a few sessions ago to as low as $33.30.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 105,094 shares crossed the tape at $35.82.
RAX's portfolio of hosted services includes managed hosting, email hosting and cloud hosting
Analysts have been forecasting RAX's earnings this year will rise 18% to 72 cents a share. However, that forecast may come down. For the first quarter, they are looking for an 18% drop in net to 16 cents a share from 19 cents a year before.
RAX's daily chart shows the stock falling from 52 in October to around 33 by December. The stock tried to form a bottom. However, today, it gaps lower with big volume, which is bearish. The stock's accumulation - distribution line bottom of chart has turned down indicating heavy selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting RAX for a drop to 27 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 35.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RAX - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
