Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Thursday, February 11, 2016 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 8, 2016 |
Go to TTD Stock Market Video Shows for Latest Week: Monday - Key Feature Stock - Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) - 8 minutes) Tuesday- Key Feature Stock - Sanderson Farms Inc. (SAFM) - 8 -minutes) Wednesday- Key Feature stock - WD-40 Co. (WDFC) - 10 minutes) Thursday- Key Feature Stock - Novagold Resources Inc. (NG) - (6 minutes) Friday - Key Feature Stock - Tyson Foods Inc. (TSN) - (11 - Minutes) Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Ticker Tape Digest's Midsession Stock Market Video Show(Posted 12:30 to 1 p.m. NYSE Time) Go to TTD Stock Market Show For - ThursdayGo to Shows for Latest Week: Monday
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Tuesday
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Wednesday
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Thursday
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Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - None
Overall Quality of Breakouts - N/A
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - No breakouts Thursday. Stock market continues down trend. Bulls be patient and conservative.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Bearish
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
None
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MKTX - ABOVE AVERAGE |
MKTX, based in New York, operates an electronic trading platform for bonds and fixed-income securities. Annual revenues: $297 million. MKTX's stock moves higher Thursday putting it in good position to challenge its breakpoint. The stock acted well considering the stock market was down sharply.
MKTX is a leader that is poised to reach a new all-time high.
So far today, MKTX is trading a light 210,404 shares. Its average daily volume is 267,000 shares.
MKTX's stock advanced steadily in the morning and into the early afternoon. It reached an intraday high of 107.26.
The stock then trended sideways into the close. It was a good showing considering the heavy selling pressure in the stock market.
MKTX's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $103.73 in the morning to as high as $106.25 late on Thursday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 1,000 shares crossed the tape at $105.37.
That was up from the prior block at $103.73 on 1,576 shares.
MKTX runs an electronic trading platform for fixed-income market participants to trade corporate bonds and other types of fixed-income instruments worldwide.
Its multi-dealer trading platform allows its institutional investor clients to request competing and executable bids or offers from its broker-dealer clients, and execute trades with the broker-dealer of their choice.
The company's trading platform provides access to liquidity in U.S. corporate bonds, emerging markets and high-yield bonds, European bonds, U.S. agency bonds, credit derivatives, and other fixed-income securities.
MKTX's stock came public in 2004 at 19.89. The stock fell back and then rose back to a peak near 20 in 2007, the top in the prior bull market.
However, the stock fell to 3.96 in 2008 due to the bear market. With the unfolding of the bull market, MKTX soared to a an all-time peak of 115.89 set in late 2015.
The stock is now in position to breakout and challenge its all-time high.
MKTX's daily chart shows the sock climbing from 86 back in October to a peak near 115 by December.
The stock has been trending mostly sideways.
There have been three shakeouts to the downside due in part to the volatility of the general stock market.
The stock's momentum indicator (bottom of chart has flattened out and could easily turn up.
Analysts expect net for 2016 to climb 19% to $3.03 a share from $2.55 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 36. That is high given the earnings growth rate.
Going out to 2017, the Street projects a 23% gain in net to $3.74 a share from the anticipated $3.03 this year.
Net for the upcoming first quarter should increase 15% to 75 cents a share from 65 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 78 cents a share. The company tends to come in close to the consensus.
Going out to the second quarter, profits are projected to rise 19% to 76 cents a share from 64 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD suggests a buy on a break out over 114.65.
Aggressive investors can accumulation a partial stake now.
A protective stop can be placed near 110 after a breakout. That is tight.
TTD rates MKTX an average intermediate-term play. Its valuation is high. So, one will need to be watchful.
Sponsorship: Good. One of the largest fund buyers recently was the 4-star rated Neuberger Berman Genesis Fund which purchased 203,402 shares. It ha a 2.1% stake.
The largest fund holder is the 3-star rated Wells Fargo Growth A Fund with a 4.7% stake. It has held its position steady.
MKTX has 37.3 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 97% of the stock and insiders have 2%.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders were recent sellers around $85. They were buyers around $10 using stock options.
Currently, 5 analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, up from none three months ago.
MKTX has a book value of $10.65 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Marketaxess Holdings Inc. - (MXTX) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 9 | 0 | 5 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
None
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AGRO - ABOVE AVERAGE |
AGRO, based in Luxembourg, is an agricultural and farming company with operations in South America. Annual revenues: $673 million. AGRO's stock holds its ground Thursday as the stock market falls sharply. The stock is still in good position to breakout from its flat base.
So far today, AGRO is trading a heavy 430,518 shares. Its average daily volume is 272,000 shares.
AGRO's dipped in the morning to 11.03. However it rallied back to an intraday high of 11.21 quickly.
After that the stock, pulled back slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.
AGRO's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks edging up from $11.03 in the morning to as high as 11.14 near the close. That was good showing bargain hunting at the final bell.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 1,600 shares crossed the tape at $11.08.
That was up sharply from the prior block at $11.03 on 4,000 shares.
AGRO engages in farming, energy production, and land transformation.
It produces sugar, ethanol and energy.
The company plants, harvests, and sells grains, oilseeds, and fibers, including wheat, corn, soybeans, cotton, sunflowers, and others; and providing grain warehousing, handling and drying services to third parties.
It also produces rice and raw milk; and leases cattle grazing land.
AGRO owns 257,036 hectares comprising 20 farms in Argentina, 11 farms in Brazil, and 1 farm in Uruguay.
AGRO's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2011 and trading at 13.35. The stock fell back to 6 by 2013.
However, it has since been working higher and reached a peak of 12.55 late last year.
AGRO's daily chart shows the stock trending higher from 8 back in September to 12 by December.
The stock has since put down another flat base. It has held up well against the steep drop in the stock market.
Analysts are forecasting net for 2015 will jump to 31 cents a share from 2 cents a year ago.
That is a big improvement.
The key: A strong fourth quarter. Net is expected to come in at 22 cents a share compared with a loss of 11 cents a year ago.
Turning to 2016, the Street projects a 79% leap in net to 56 cents a share from the anticipated 31 cents for 2015.
The stock sells with a p/e ratio of 20 based on projected 2016 net. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Strategy Opinion: TTD suggests accumulation of a partial stake in AGRO with further buying to be done on a breakout over 12.65.
TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 16 after a breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 10.
TTD rates AGRO a good intermediate-term play provided earnings projects are met.
Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund holder is the 3-star rated Prudential Jennison Small Company B Fund with a 2.6% stake. It has held its position steady. It was a recent seller of 154,739 shares.
The largest fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated Ashmore Emerging Markets Small Cap Equity Inst. Fund which purchased 79,800 shares as a new position. The fund has a 0.1% stake.
AGRO has 121.1 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 67% of the stock and insiders have 13%.
Insider Activity: Not available.
Currently, 10 analysts follow the stock 8 have a by, up from 7 three months ago.
AGRO has a book value of $4.41 a share.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MG - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - COR - ABOVE AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 18
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.
Bear Side - Large list of breakdown stocks Thursday. Market falls sharply as down trend continues. Bears be venturesome.
TTD's short from Wednesday was NGL Energy (NGL) at 6.30. The stock declined to 5.70 Thursday and is working well for bears.
BID, based in New York, operates as an auctioneer of art and jewelry. Annual revenues: $976 million. BID's stock falls sharply Thursday undercutting key technical support. So far today, the company is trading 6.3 million shares, four times its average daily volume of 1.6 million shares.
TTD highlighted BID as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
BID's stock fell in the morning after Siftel analysts downgraded the stock noting a "soft" art market.
BID's stock gapped lower in the morning and then trended down to an intraday low of 18.86 in the morning.
The stock then trended sideways the rest of the day unable to rally.
BID's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $23.53 in the prior session to as low as $19.17 in the afternoon.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 50,495 shares crossed the tape at $21.26.
That was down from the prior block trade at $23.19 on 44, 895 shares.
BID is an auctioneer of art and jewelry around the world.
Its agency segment accepts property on consignment; and matches buyers and sellers of fine art, decorative art, and jewelry through the auction or private sale process.
It is also involved in the purchase and sale of artworks; and operation of an auction house for investment-quality automobiles.
Analysts expect BID to show a loss of 3 cents a share in the first quarter compared with a profit of 11 cents a year ago. Some estimates are as low as a loss of 18 cents a share. For the year, they expect a rise of 13% in net to $2.16 a share from $1.91 the year before.
BID's daily chart shows the stock trending lower. It tried to form a bottom near 21, but gaps below that with heavy volume.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BID for a decline to 15 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 20.20.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BID - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)