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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Monday, February 28

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Monday, February 28

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 28


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short


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Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - February 28, 2011


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

  Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns.

(See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."

  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.

(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns

  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

 1 - TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long - (Intermediate-term long plays)  these are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  2 -TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long - (Short-term long plays These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 3 - TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - (Long Term long plays.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  4 - TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.   


Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 16

Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

 Bull side - Breakout list expands with some real estate issues showing up. Market still remains vulnerable. Bulls must now be conservative and selective. Watch all stops. (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Monday - February 28

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

(Go to Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011 - Update February 28)


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Genomic Health Inc. (GHDX) - 25.15, up 0.89 - Breakpoint 23.77

Nears New All-time High, TTD Targets 31

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GHDX  -  ABOVE AVERAGE

  GHDX, based in Redwood City, Ca., produces clinical diagnostic tests for cancer. Annual revenues: $178 million. GHDX's stock breaks out and clears its two-month flat base. The stock edged out from its base late on Friday. Today, it pushes higher with a good expansion in volume. So far today, GHDX is trading 379,480 shares, double its normal daily volume of 166,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted GHDX as a breakout at our midsession show on the Web Monday.

  GHDX's 10-minute chart shows the stock clearing resistance on Friday. Today, it pushes even higher.

  The action so far is very bullish.

  The tape action for the past several sessions shows the block trades.

  The price for the blocks climbed from $23.23 to a peak of $25.44 on Monday morning.

  A key bullish trade today was a block of 5,100 shares that crossed the tape at $25. That was up sharply from the prior block trade at $23.59.

 GHDX uses genomic-based clinical diagnostic tests for cancer.

 The company’s Oncotype DX platform utilizes quantitative genomic analysis in standard tumor pathology specimens to provide tumor-specific information, or the oncotype of a tumor.

  Its Oncotype DX breast cancer test has extensive clinical evidence validating its ability to predict the likelihood of breast cancer recurrence and the likelihood of chemotherapy benefit.

  It offers the Oncotype DX breast cancer test as a clinical service, where it analyzes the levels of 21 genes in tumor tissue samples and provides physicians with a quantitative gene expression profile expressed as a single quantitative score, which it calls a Recurrence Score. The test also provides measurements of quantitative gene expression for estrogen receptor, progesterone receptor and human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 genes.

  GHDX's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 38% versus 20% for the S&P 500 index. Notice on TTD's chart that GHDX's stock has moved higher after the past three quarter earnings reports.

  GHDX's long-term chart shows the stock going public in late 2006 and trading around 12. The stock climbed to a peak of 27.22 in 2009. It sold off down to 12 during the bear market - a round trip. However, it has since rallied strongly and is close to make a new all-time high.

  GHDX's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 14 to 23. It formed a nice flat base bracketed tightly between 21 and 24.

  The breakout on Friday and follow up today is very bullish. Note that volume today expanded strongly. That is a good sign that the stock is attracting attention.

  GHDX's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) broke out to the upside before the stock price. That shows there was aggressive buying going on during the basing work.

  This year, analysts forecast a 32% increase in net to 18 cents a share from 14 cents a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 138. That is very pricey.

  Going out to 2012, the Street looks for a 103% jump in net to 37 cents a share from the anticipated 18 cents a share for 2011.

  For the upcoming first quarter, GHDX should show a profit of 2 cents a share compared with a loss of 7 cents a year ago. The past three quarters, GHDX has surprised big on the upside. TTD sees chances for an earnings surprise to the upside for the upcoming quarter.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting GHDX for a move to 31 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 23. TTD rates GHDX a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.

  Sponsorship: Very Good. Two key funds hold the stock. Fidelity OTC Fund, 4-star rated, was a recent buyer of 271,424 shares. 5-star rated ING FMR Diversified Mid Cap Fund was a recent purchaser of 152,738 shares. GHDX has 28.9 million shares outstanding.

  Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Some light selling by insiders recently. The latest selling was at $22.51. Currently, 13 analysts follow the stock, 4 have a buy, down from 5 three months ago.



Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Genomic Health Inc.  - (GHDX)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES  
Earnings-Long Term     YES
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 13 0 1

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HNR  - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BRK.B  - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - THI  - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock -CDE  - BELOW AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks today as stock is mixed.  Bears be alert to enter as market appears to have topped. TTD's short from Friday was Nutri-Systems Inc. (NTRI) - 14.05, down 6.15. Today it has declined to $13.40 and is working well for bears.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Kenneth Cole Productions Inc. (KCP) - 12.65, down 1.33

Posts Quarterly Loss, TTD Targets Drop to 9.60

  KCP, based in New York, sells footwear, handbags and clothes. Annual revenues: $445 million. KCP's stock gaps lower today after the company reported a loss for the fourth quarter. The news was taken very bearishly as the stock gapped lower and undercut key technical support. So far today, KCP is trading a hefty 755,989 shares, 25 times its normal daily volume of 33,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted KCP as a short at our midsession show on the web Monday.

  The stock gapped lower in the morning and hit an intraday low of $12.23, The stock the rallied back to $12.95 around noon. It then trended sideways the rest of the day.

  KCP reported a loss for the fourth quarter of 15 cents a share compared with a loss of $2.08 a year ago.

  The company said it will close seven stores in the first quarter and more later in the year.

  This year, the Street is forecasting a profit.

  KCP's tape action shows the big block trades. The price for the recent blocks declined from $13.85 to as low as $12.38. A key bearish trade took place in the morning when 10,000 shares crossed the tape at $12.50. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $13.20.

  The company markets its products to about 5,500 department and specialty store.

  KCP's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume. The stock had declined recently from 17 to 12. It had a slight lift, but is now rolling over again.   

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting KCP for a decline to 9.60 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 13.60.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - KCP - BELOW AVERAGE


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)