Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Tuesday, February 28

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Tuesday, February 28

Ticker Tape Digest

Tuesday - February 28, 2012

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 5

Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side -  Small number of breakouts today. Stock market manages small gain. Bulls should be selective. Stock market holds in up trend with momentum still bullish.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - February 28

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Dominos Pizza Inc. (DPZ) - 37.27, up 3.73 - Breakpoint 35.18

Posts Strong Profits, TTD Targets 45

   DPZ, based in Ann Arbor, Mich., operates and franchises pizza stores in the U.S. and 65 countries. Annual revenues: $1.6 billion. DPZ's stock breaks out strongly today from a 13-week flat base after reporting a big increase in quarterly profits. So far today, DPZ is trading a heavy 5.8 million shares, ten times its average daily volume of 555,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted DPZ as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.

  The company reported net for the fourth quarter jumped 33% to 52 cents a share from 39 cents a year ago.

  The 52 cents topped the consensus estimate of 48 cents a share. The highest estimate on the Street was at 53 cents a share.

  DPZ's 10-minute chart shows the stock climbing steady during the day. The action indicated hardly any profit taking, except for very late in the day.

  DPZ's tape action is shown by its recent big block trades. One can see the price for the blocks working its way higher from $33.20 a few days ago. to $38.82. A key bullish trade came late in the day when a block of 134,533 shares crossed at $38.82. That was up from the prior block trade at $38.   

  That showed aggressive institutional buying interest.

  DPZ's brands include the Domino’s Pizza, Domino’s HeatWave hot bag, Domino’s AmericanLegends pizzas and Domino’s BreadBowl Pasta and Cinna Stix.

 DPZ operates 9,351 company-owned and franchise stores, located in all 50 states. 

The Company’s basic menu has three choices for pizza products: pizza type, pizza size and pizza toppings.

  DPZ's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 120% versus a 4% gain for the S&P 500 index. DPZ has made some "dough" for shareholders.

  DPZ's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2004 and trading around 14. The stock rose to an all-time high of $35.67 in early 2007. In the bear market, the stock plunged to $2.61. Shareholders got burned. However, the stock has since staged a sensational recovery and hits a new all-time high Tuesday at 38.98. The push to a new high could bring in more buying on Wednesday.  

 DPZ's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 19 back in May to around 33. The stock then put down a flat base. Today's breakout comes with a gap move higher and widening of the daily trading spread (range from high to low). That is bullish.

  The base was tight between 31 and 34 roughly. That is bullish too.  

  The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has spiked higher and extremely bullish. It shows strong action.  

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a overall up trend long-term. It has now turned up again.

  This year, analysts forecast a 15% increase in DPZ's earnings to $1.90 a share from $1.66 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  19. TTD sees that as reasonable.

    Net for the upcoming first quarter should rise 14% to 48 cents a share from 42 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 50 cents a share. TTD sees good chances for an upside earnings surprise. The past four quarters DPZ topped the consensus estimate by 2 cents to 8 cents a share.  

  DPZ is continuing to expand overseas. It recently opened a new store in Vietnam.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting DPZ for a move to 45 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 34.

  TTD rates DPZ a good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.  

  Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund holder is Calamos Growth Fund, 3-star rated, with a 2.4% stake. It has held its position steady. A key buyer recently was 3-star rated Invesco Small Cap Growth Fund which purchased 382,736 shares. DPZ has 58.2 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 87% of the stock.

  Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders were buyers the past few months using stock options around $8.60. They turned around and sold at  $32 to $35.. The transactions were million dollar sells. Currently, 12 analysts follow the stock, 4 have a buy, down from 5 three months ago.   

 Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers

  Insider Activity - Buying in Green - Selling in Red

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

  Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Small list of breakdown stocks today. Bears remain conservative and selective. TTD's short play from Monday was Dendreon Corp. (DNDN) at 12.05. The stock has declined to 11.18 so far today and is working well for bears.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Enernoc Inc. (ENOC) - 8.75, down 0.74

Posts Wider Loss, TTD Sees Drop to 6.50

   ENOC, based in Boston, provides energy solutions to electric users via software and other programs. Annual revenues: $282 million. ENOC' stock gaps lower today with heavy volume after the company reported a loss greater than a year ago. The stock is trading 896,733 shares, triple its normal daily volume of 265,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted ENOC as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.

  ENOC reported a loss for the fourth quarter of $1.08 a share compared with a loss of 86 cents a year ago. The Street was expecting a loss of 95 cents a share. So, results were disappointing and the stock responded in a bearish way.

  ENOC's stock fell sharply in the morning hitting an intraday low of 8.50. The stock then lifted slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent block trades. One can see the price for the blocks declining from $9.50 to $8.75. A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 36,362 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $8.86. that was down from the prior block trade at $9.49.

  ENOC uses its Network Operations Center, or NOC, to remotely manage and reduce electricity consumption across a network of commercial, institutional, and industrial customer sites and make demand response capacity and energy available to grid operators and utilities on demand.

  This year, analysts are forecasting a loss of $1.37 a share compared with a loss of 44 cents a share a year ago.

  ENOC's chart shows the stock with a gap drop in August. The stock then trended sideways. Today's gap drop turns the technical pattern bearish again.

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ENOC for a decline to 6.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 9.50.

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest.

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)