|
|
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, February 28 |
|
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short |
|---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under 
Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
|
Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns |
|---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
1 - TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long - (Intermediate-term long plays) these are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
2 -TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long - (Short-term long plays These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
3 - TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - (Long Term long plays. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
4 - TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 11
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list shows special situation stocks and gold and silver plays. As TTD has said stock market still remains vulnerable. Today's big drop means bulls should still remain conservative and selective. Watch all stops. (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
(Go to Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011 - Update February 28)
|
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SVM - ABOVE AVERAGE |
SVM, based in Vancouver, Canada, produces silver from mines in China and
Canada. Annual revenues: $153 million. SVM's stock rides the wave of rising prices for silver today. The stock breaks out from a three-month, cup-and-handle base today. The move carries SVM to a new all-time high. TTD featured the stock last week as an accumulation buy. So far today, SVM is trading 6 million shares, double its normal daily volume of 2.4 million shares. 
.SVM's 10-minute chart shows the stock breaking out in the afternoon with a pickup in volume.
It held the breakout going into the close.
Analysts report the price of silver hit a 31-year high.
TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent block trades.
A key bullish trade took place in the morning when 74,913 shares crossed the tape at $13.37. That was up sharply from the prior block trade at $13.05 on the prior block Later the price for the blocks pushed sharply higher hitting a peak of $13.62. That showed aggressive institutional buying.
SVM mined 406,754 tons of ore in the past fiscal year. It sold 4.6 million ounces of silver, 62.4 million pounds of lead and 14.7 million pounds of zinc.
The company’s properties include Ying Mine (77.5% owned), HPG Property (80%), TLP Mine (77.5%), LM Mine (80%), Nabao Project (82%), GC Project
(95%) and Silvertip Project (100%).
In May 2009, the TLP mine operation and the LM Mine operation were partially resumed. The GC Project is a pre-development stage silver-lead-zinc project in Guangdong Province, China. In February 2010, the company completed the acquisition of a 100% interest in the Silvertip silver-lead-zinc project covering 216 square kilometre in northern British Columbia, Canada.
SVM's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 105% versus a 19% gain for the S&P 500 index.
SVM's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from 2 in 2008 to $13.76. The
stock has pushed to a new al-time high on a breakout. That is a very
bullish sand could well bring in more buying on Wednesday provided metal prices hold or rise. 
SVM's daily chart show the stock climbing from 6 to 13. Today, it just clears its base as volume expands nicely. The base is well structured showing clear upside resistance at $13.65.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is bullish. It has not given ground like the price of the stock did in January. That says the selling was light - a potential bullish omen. So, the breakout today is supported by subtle accumulation in the prior weeks.
This fiscal year ending March 30 analysts forecast a 76% jump in net to 42 cents a share from 24 cents a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 30 based on fiscal 2011 net.
TTD sees that as reasonable. Going out to fiscal 2012, the Street looks for a 36% jump in net to 58 cents a share from the anticipated 42 cents in fiscal 2011.
Net for the upcoming fiscal fourth quarter ending March 30 is expected to leap 100% to 12 cents a share from 6 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 14 cents a share. TTD sees chances for a mild upside surprise. The past three quarters, SVM topped the consensus estimate by one to three cents a share.
The company is benefiting from the rising price for silver and other commodities.
Looking out to the fiscal first quarter ending June 30, profits are expected to rise 22%.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is sticking with its prior target price of $17.20. A protective stop can be placed near 12.30. TTD rates SVM a good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Very Good. A key fund holder is Van Eck International Investors Gold Fund with a 1.8% stake. The 4-star rated fund was a recent buyer of 365,000 shares. Also 4-star rated Wells Fargo Advantage Precious Metals Fund was a recent purchaser of 150,000 shares. SVM has 174.6 million shares outstanding.
Insider Activity: Not available. Four analysts follow the stock and all four have a buy, up from three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Silvercorp Metals Inc. (SVM) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - UHS - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NTCT - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GG - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock -EBIX - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today -8
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks today, but several have fundamental damage. Bears be aggressive as stock market has lost its upside momentum.
TWGP, based in New York, provides property and casualty insurance services. Annual revenues: $1.3 billion. TWGP's stock gaps sharply lower today after the company made a disappointing forecast for earnings this year. So far today, TWGP is trading 2.1 million shares, ten times its normal daily volume of 215,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted TWGP as a short at our midsession show on the web Tuesday.
TWGP said earnings for this year would be between $2.70 to $2.90 a share. That is well below the consensus estimate on the Street of $3.50 a share. The stock reacted very bearishly to the news.
TWGP's stock gapped lower at the opening. It hit an intraday low of $22.75. The stock then lifted in the afternoon to trim some of its loss.
TWGP's tape action shows the big block trades. One can see the key bearish trade today came in the morning when a block of 25,000 shares crossed the tape at $24.40. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $27.18. The tape action showed heavy institutional selling pressure.
TWGP provides brokerage insurance, specialty business and insurance services. The company has been aggressive in making acquisitions.
TTD's daily chart shows the big gap drop on big volume. The stock's prior price pattern gave no indication of problems So, the news came as a big surprise.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting TWGP for a decline to 19 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 24.70.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TWGP - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
