Aggressive Investors Bullish - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch List - Friday, March 5
|
Aggressive Investors Bullish - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch List - Friday, March 5 |
|
Aggressive Investor Bullish- Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (win rate 70%) - Friday, March 5 |
|
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short |
|---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under 
Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
|
Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades" (swing trades). Ideally suited for entry into stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Good for trading range markets Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns Conservative Bearish Investors (swing traders). "Bargain Bearish Plays" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for trading range markets with overall market down trend. |
|---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long These are for conservative bullish Investors The strategy is called swing trading. These long buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. They are good for trading range markets. These stocks can give a good return in a week or two. They can also explode into a breakout and a powerful advance.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's Bearish bargain play stocks to sell short. These issues are usually in down trends and are poised to rollover after a minor rally. They often can provide a conservative bear with a good entry point.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings.TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Stocks Screened - 8,200
Bull side - Breakout list expands sharply as stock market advances strongly. Bulls be aggressive. The market action would suggest allocation money is moving into stocks. Many recent breakouts doing well.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
|
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AAPL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
AAPL, based in Cupetrino, Ca., makes personal computers, mobile communication devices, and portable digital music and video players, and sells a variety of related software and networking solutions. Annual revenues: $46.7 billion. AAPL, a top performing big cap issues for the past several years, breaks out from a 10-week flat base and hits new high. Volume so far today is running at 30.4 million shares. Its average daily volume is 18.4 million shares. 
TTD highlighted AAPL as a breakout at our midsession show. The stock was also featured on Thursday as one to accumulate.
AAPL's breakout today is strong and comes in since with the strong advance in the stock market.
AAPL will be coming out with its new product called the iPad on April 3. The new electronic product could generate good sales.
APPL has been doing extremely well with an array of new products the past several year.
AAPL's 10-minute chart shows the stock breaking over its breakpoint line in the morning. The move come on strong volume. The stock was able to work higher afterwards. 
The tape action, which was a bit choppy recently, showed some good institutional buying. A big block of 345,148 shares (duplicated) crossed in the morning at $215. That was up sharply from the prior block trade of $214 and the one before that of $209.14.
. The company makes personal computers, mobile communication devices, and portable digital music and video players. It sells its products worldwide through its online stores, its retail stores, its direct sales force, and third-party wholesalers, resellers, and value-added resellers.
In addition, the company sells a variety of third-party Macintosh, iPhone and iPod compatible products, including software, printers, storage devices, speakers, headphones, and other peripherals.
AAPL's 12-month performance chart show the stock appreciating 150% versus a 55% gain for the S&P 500. The stock is a leader.
AAPL's long-term chart shows the stock in a fabulous bull market run from 2003 when it was 6 to a peak of 202 in 2007. The stock was pulled back during the bear market. However, it has since rebounded strongly. The move to a new high is very bullish. It could draw in more buying from the new-high crowd on Monday.
AAPL's daily chart shows the recent advance from 120 to 215. The stock set up a flat base bracketed between 190 and 215. AAPL did attempt a breakout late last year from a base at a lower level. But the breakout stalled. 
The fact AAPL did not give much ground in recent weeks shows the stock has good support. The breakout today comes with a gap move on expanding volume. That is very bullish.
AAPL's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is extremely bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) was trending lower and indicating some subtle selling pressure. However, it has started to turn up. That is encouraging for bulls.
This fiscal year ending Sept. 30 analysts project an 84% jump in net to $11.57 a share from $6.29 a year ago. That gives AAPL a price-earnings ratio of 18. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Looking out to fiscal 2011 ending in September, the Street expects net to rise 15% to $13.36 a share.
Some analysts look for AAPL to benefit from its new products, especially the iPad, a flat screen computer type device with interned capability. (see picture)
For the upcoming fiscal second quarter ending March 30, earnings should leap 77% to $2.35 a share from $1.33 a year ago. TTD sees good chances for an upside earnings surprise. The past four quarters AAPL has surpassed the consensus estimate by 17% to 76%. That is impressive.
Net for the fiscal third quarter ending June 30 should show a gain of 87%. That would be a modest acceleration in quarterly profit growth. That is very bullish.
Strategy Opinion: AAPL is a highly followed stock and institutional favorite. TTD had suggested accumulation in AAPL in our Thursday report. TTD is targeting AAPL for a move to 265. A protective stop can be placed near 208. TTD rates AAPL a good intermediate-term play. Steven Jobs, the key executive, has been in poor health. If he were to pass on it might impact the stock briefly.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is 5-star rated Fidelity Contrafund with a 1.7% stake. It was a recent buyer of 209,600 shares. Another key buyer was 4-star rated T.Rowe Price Growth Stock Fund which picked up 339,400 shares. AAPL has 906 million shares outstanding.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Some light insiders selling around $198. Currently, 38 analysts follow the stock, 35 have a buy, down from 36 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart for 12 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
|
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating Apple Inc. - (AAPL) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MLNX - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GIL - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DIS - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DTV - ABOVE AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 8,2007
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Only a few breakdown stocks today as stock market moves sharply higher. Bears be conservative and watchful.
(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)
BOOM, based in Boulder, Co., produces equipment for the oil field industry. Annual revenues: $181 million. BOOM's stock gaps sharply lower today after the company reported a big than expected drop in net for the fourth quarter. The stock was $60 before the bear market set in late 2007. It is in a long-term down trend. So far today, BOOM is trading a heavy 1.2 million shares, 10 times its normal daily volume of 117,000 shares. 
BOOM reported net for the fourth quarter fell to 8 cents a share from 42 cents a year ago. The consensus estimate on the Street was for net of 13 cents a share.
The stock moved lower in the morning and hit a bottom at 16.01. It then lifted slightly and the trended sideways the rest of the day.
TTD's clip of the tape shows the key trade coming in the morning. It is a big block of 27,413 shares (duplicated) that crossed at $16.80. That was down sharply from the prior block trade that went off at $18.83.
The tape action showed heavy institutional selling. The price for the big block trades worked its way down to $15.95.
BOOM makes explosion-welded clad metal plates.
The Company operates in three business segments: Explosive Metalworking, Oilfield Products and AMK Welding.
DMC Clad's products are used in critical applications in a range of industries, including oil and gas, alternative energy, chemical and petrochemical, hydrometallurgy, aluminum production and shipbuilding.
The Company through the Oilfield Products segment provides a range of products for the global oil and gas industries. The AMK Welding segment provides advanced welding services, to the power turbine and aircraft engine manufacturing industries.
Net for the upcoming first quarter is expected to fall 62% to 14 cents a share from 38 cents a year ago.
BOOM's daily chart shows the gap drop on big volume today. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bearish. The accumulation - distribution line is starting to roll over.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BOOM for a drop to 12.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed at 17.50.
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)
