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Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of  Breakout and Leading Stocks - Monday, March 7, 2016

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Monday, March 7, 2016

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 7, 2016

See TTD's Top Performing Breakouts from watch list - 2014


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


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Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - March 7, 2016


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

 


  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8

Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list small and extremely selective. Bulls be conservative. Stock market holds near-term up trend.  

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Neutral

    Stock Market Momentum

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish 


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Monday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

BWX Technologies Inc. (BWXT) - 33.04, up 0.70 - Breakpoint 32.55

Net to Rise 7% This Year, TTD Targets 40

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BWXT -  AVERAGE

  BWXT, based in Lynchburg, Va., provides nuclear components, fuels, and assemblies to the United States government. Annual revenues: $1.4 billion. BWXT's stock breaks out Monday from a well-formed, double-bottom  base.

 The move carries the stock to a new high. That is bullish.

 TTD highlighted BWXT as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  So far today, BWXT is trading a light 471,203 shares. Its average daily volume is 866,000 shares.

  BWXT's stock drove higher in the morning and reached an intraday high of 33.17.

  The stock then pulled back slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day holding the bulk of its gain.

 The company said it would work with Bechtel to develop the world's first small modular nuclear reactor.

BWXT's tape action shows the recent block trades.

One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $32.28 in the morning to as high as $33.11.

A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 12,000 shares crossed the tape at $32.91.

That was up from the prior block trade at $32.81 on 2,716 shares.

Then near the close a bullish block crossed at $33.04 on 22,919 shares.

That was above the prior block at $33 on 3,995 shares.

The company operates in three segments: Nuclear Operations, Technical Services, and Nuclear Energy.

 Nuclear operations makes precision naval nuclear components and reactors; close-tolerance and equipment for nuclear applications; and components for defense applications.

This segment also converts or downblends high-enriched uranium into low-enriched fuel for use in commercial reactors to generate electricity.

The Technical Services group provides uranium processing, environmental site restoration services, and management and operating services to support governments operating complex facilities.

The Nuclear Energy group makes commercial nuclear steam generators, pressure vessels, reactor components, heat exchangers, and other equipment.

  BWXT's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 50% versus a 5% drop in the stock market.

  One can see on the chart (green bars) showing that insiders were buyers several months ago and they have done very well.

  BWXT's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2010 at $16.45. The stock ran up to 25.77 by early 2011.

  However, it fell back to an all-time low of 12.91 later in the year. Nevertheless, BWXT has since surged higher making a threefold move.

  BWXT's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 25 back in October to a peak near 32 by December.

  The stock then fell back - with the stock market.

  However, BWXT formed a classic double-bottom base.

  Today, it breaks out nicely.

  BWXT's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is bullish.

  The technical action is ideal. However, the earnings outlook is spotty. So, one needs to be cautious with the stock.

  Net for this year is expected to rise a modest 7% to $1.51 a share from $1.42 a year ago.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 21.

  Next year, the Street looks for an 11% rise in net to $1.68 a share from the anticipated $1.51 this year.

  Net for the upcoming first quarter is expected to decline 27% to 34 cents a share from 47 cents the year before.

  That sets up a caution flag for the stock. One must be watchful of any weakness in the stock.

   On the positive side BWXT topped the consensus estimate the past two quarters. (see table)

  Going out to the second quarter, net is expected to climb 16% to 37 cents a share from 32 cents the year before.

 Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BWXT for a move to 40 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 31.

  The stock is most suitable for aggressive investors. TTD rates BWXT an average intermediate-term play.

  Sponsorship:  Average. The largest fund buyer recently was the 4-star rated T. Rowe Price Small Cap Stock Fund which purchased 564,300 shares as a new position. It has a 0.5% stake.

 The largest fund holder is the Perkins Mid Cap Value L Fund with a  2.4% stake. The 4-star rated fund was a recent seller of 335,593 shares.

  BWXT has 106 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 84% of the stock and insiders have 10%.

  Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders have been buyers using stock options. They were recent sellers around $32.

  Currently, 5 analysts follow the stock, and all 5 have a buy, the same as three months ago.

  BWXT has a book value of $2.52 a share.



Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
BWX Technologies Inc.  - (BWXT)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume   YES
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly   YES
Earnings-Long Term     YES
Earnings Outlook   YES
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score 10 1 3

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GXP  - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SNX - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DRI - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ANAT  - BELOW AVERAGE

 


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 2

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.

Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks Monday. Stock market still holding near-term rally phase. Bears be patient and selective.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Federated National Holding Co. (FNHC) - 20.57, down 3.55

Profits Disappoint Wall Street, TTD Sees Decline to 17

  FNHC, based in Sunrise, Fla., provides insurance underwriting, distribution, and claims processing in the U.S. Annual revenues: $235 million. FNHC's stock falls sharply Monday after reporting earnings below Street estimates. TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted FNHC as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  So far today, FNHC is trading 362,364 shares, five times its average daily volume of 66,000.

  The company reported fourth quarter net per share of 66 cents a share. That was well below the Street estimate of 78 cents a share.

  The earnings miss sent the stock lower and cutting below key technical support.

  FNHC's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $24.13 in the prior sesssion to as low as $21.22.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 3,364 shares crossed the tape at $24.

  That was down from the prior block at $24.13 on 6,206 shares.

   FNHC  underwrites homeowners multi-peril, commercial general liability, federal flood, workers compensation, personal and commercial automobile and fire.

   The company was formerly known as 21st Century Holding Company and changed its name to Federated National Holding Company in September 2012.

  This year, analysts are forecasting flat earnings.

  FNHC's daily chart shows the stock falling from 30 in December around 24. Monday, the stock falls sharply with big volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line is trending lower indicating clear selling pressure.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting FNHC for a decline to 17 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placednear 22.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FNHC - BELOW AVERAGE


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2016

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)