Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday. March 11, 2014 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 10, 2013 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 4
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Small list of breakouts, but some interesting plays for aggressive investors. Stock market now vulnerable to a near-term pull back. Bulls be watchful.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EMES - ABOVE AVERAGE |
EMES, based in Southlake, Tex., produces frac sand used in the energy industry. Annual revenues: $700 million. EMES's stock breaks out today from an eight-week flat base and hits a new all-time high. The stock came public in May of last year. So far today, EMES is trading a heavy 335,435 shares, four times its average daily volume of 78,000 shares.
TTD highlighted EMES as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
The stock rose in the morning and clear its breakpoint (see 10-minute chart). The stock then pushed higher peaking around midday at 51.
In the afternoon, EMES trended sideways holding the bulk of its gain.
EMES's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One fan see the price for the blocks climbing from $46.86 in the prior session to as high as $50.13 on Tuesday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 4,940 shares crossed the tape at $47.77.
That was up from the prior block at $46.94 on 2,100 shares.
EMES provides energy services in the United States.
It operates in two business segments: sand and fuel processing and distribution.
The sand segment consists of mining and processing frac sand, a key component used in hydraulic fracturing of oil and natural gas wells.
The sand operations are conducted through its subsidiary - Superior Silica Sands LLC.
Fuel Processing & Distribution consists of acquiring, processing and separating the transportation mixture, or transmix, that results when multiple types of refined petroleum products are transported sequentially through a pipeline.
The Fuel Processing is carried out through its two subsidiaries - Insight Equity Acquisition Partners, LP and Allied Energy Company, LLC.
EMES stock began trading last year at $16.90. The stock has been trending higher nicely and has tripled. The breakout to a new high is very bullish and could draw in more buying on Wednesday.
EMES's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 25 in August to a peak near 47 by January. The stock then put down a tight flat base.
The base was set up above its rising 50-day moving average line. That is bullish.
The breakout today comes with a good expansion in volume and a widening of the daily trading spread (range from high to low).
That shows strong buying.
However, the stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) lags. So, the stock needs to be watched closely.
The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
Analysts expect EMES to show a profit of $1.52 a share for 2013. There was no comparison with a year ago.
Looking ahead to 2014, the Street projects a hefty 104% surge in profits to $3.11 a share from the anticipated $1.52 for 2013.
Earnings for the upcoming first quarter should come in around 67 cents a share. There was no comparable results from the quarter a year ago.
The company has tended to slightly top Street estimates.
Strategy Opinion: EMES is hot! TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 62 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 47. TTD rats EMES a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund holder is 3-star rated Kayne Anderson Energy Dev. Co. Fund with a big 7.1% stake. It was a recent seller of 35,000 shares.
The second largest fund holder is the 4-star rated AllianzGI NFJ Small-Cap Value Fun with a 2.1% stake. It was a recent buyer of 91,397 shares.
EMES has 23.2 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 67% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were buyers late last year around $40.50. They have not been active this year. Right now, 5 analysts follow the stock, 3 have a buy, down from 4 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Emerge Energy Services LP - (EMES) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BDBD - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GLOG - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NSTG - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Just a few breakdown stocks today. Bears be conservative. Stock market continues to rally. Bears remain conservative.
MKTO, based in San Mateo, Ca., provides a cloud-based marketing software platform. Annual revenues: $96 million. MKTO's stock falls sharply today undercutting key technical support. Analysts expect the company to report a loss this year and next. So far today, MCTO is trading 1.4 million shares, almost double its average daily volume of 797,000 shares.
TTD highlighted MKTO as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
The stock worked lower through the day after cutting below key support in the morning. The stock looks to close near its low for the session which is bearish.
MKTO's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $39,99 to as low as $36.90 in the afternoon.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 6,036 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $37.68.
That was down sharply from the prior block at $39.99.
MKTO provides cloud-based marketing software platform that enables firms to engage in marketing in the U.S.
The company's platform includes marketing automation, social marketing, sales insight and revenue analytics.
This year analysts are forecasting a loss of $1.66 a share compared with a loss of $1.83 a year ago. Going out to 2015, the Street projects a loss of $1.57 a share.
MKTO's daily chart shows the stock breaking down below key support with expanding volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is now bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MKTO for a decline to 31. A protective stop buy can be placed near 38.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MKTO - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)