Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Friday, March 11, 2016
|
Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Friday, March 11, 2016 |
|
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 7, 2016 |
|
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
|---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
|
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
|---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 12
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Paper and Aerospace stocks breaking out. Stock market holds in up trend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
|
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MTSI - AVERAGE |
MTSI, based in Lowell, Ma., makes semiconductors and modules in the U.S., China and Taiwan. Annual revenues: $440 million. MTSI's stock drives higher Friday and breaks out from an 11 week flat base. The move carries the stock close to a new high.
MTSI came public back in 2012 at 20.72.
So far today, MTSI is trading 1 million shares. Its average daily volume is 713,000 shares.
MTSI did breakout about a week ago, but faded back into the base. TTD highlighted the stock at that time. It slipped back into the base but now has reemerged.
The stock rose sharply in the morning and cut across its breakpoint line. (See 10-minute chart)
The stock then trended sideways the rest of the day holding above its breakpoint line.
The stock reached an intraday high of $43.88.
MTSI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $41.38 in the prior session to as high as $43.85 Friday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 25,000 shares crossed the tape at $43.17.
That was up from the prior block trade at $41.38 on 25,717 shares.
Near the close a block of 27,459 shares crossed the tape at $43.79 (duplicated).
That was up from the prior block at $43.74 on 20,000 shares.
The tape action showed aggressive institutional buying.
The company sells 3,500 standard and custom devices.
They include integrated circuits, multi-chip modules, power pallets and transistors, diodes, amplifiers, switches and switch limiters, passive and active components, and complete subsystems across approximately 40 product lines.
Its semiconductor products are electronic components that are used in electronic systems, such as point-to-point wireless backhaul radios, high density networks, active antenna arrays, radars, magnetic resonance imaging systems, and unmanned aerial vehicles.
MTSI's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 30% versus a 2% decline in the stock market.
MTSI's long-term chart shows the stock coming back in 2012 at 20.70. The stock fell back to 10.16 later in the year.
It then trended mostly sideways in 2013. The in 2014 the stock broke out and has since climbed to an all-time peak of 44.15 set Friday.
MTSI's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 27 back in October to a peak near 43 by late December.
The stock then pulled back and formed a three-month flat base with two shakeouts to the downside.
The breakout Friday clears a breakout resistance zone.
It will be important for MTSI to show follow through action to the upside.
MTSI's CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is still bullish holding over 100.
The accumulation - distribution line has hit a new high. That shows good underlying buying.
This fiscal year ending in September analysts are forecasting a 44% jump in net to $1.27 a share from 88 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 32. TTD sees that as okay given the strong earnings outlook.
Going out to fiscal 2017 ending in September, the Street predicts a 57% leap in net to $1.99 a share from the anticipated $1.27 this fiscal year.
Net for the upcoming fiscal second quarter is expected to drop 28% to 28 cents a share from 39 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 31 cents a share.
MTSI has been erratic with its quarterly earnings. So, the stock needs to be watched closely.
For the fiscal third quarter ending in June, analysts predict an 11% rise in net to 34 cents a share from 31 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MTSI for a move to 54 off this breakout.
That is up from our prior target of 50.
The weak quarterly net appears to have been discounted into the price of the stock. However, one needs to be watchful.
A protective stop can be placed near 39 giving it room.
TTD rates MTSI a good intermediate-term play provided annual earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund buyer recently was the 2-star rated Columbia Acorn Z Fund which purchased 213,261 shares. It is the second largest holder with a 1.5% stake.
The largest fund holder is the 3-star rated Franklin Small Cap Growth A Fund with a 2.2% stake. It was a recent seller of 135,600 shares.
MTSI has 53 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 67% of the stock and insiders have 30%
Insider Activity: Neutral. Not much activity recently. Insiders were sellers last year at $37 to $38.
Currently, 10 analysts follow the stock, and all 10 have a buy, up from 9 three months ago.
MTSI has a book value of $7.89 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating MA Com Technology Solutions Inc. - (MTSI) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 10 | 1 | 3 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ISRG - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ULTA - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LULU - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ORAN - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks as stock market rallies sharply Friday. Bears be patient and watchful.
ACOR, based in Ardsley, N.Y. produces products to treat neurological disorders in the U.S. Annual revenues: $493 million. ACOR's stock drops sharply Friday undercutting key technical support. So far today, ACOR is trading a heavy 2.7 million shares, four times its average daily volume of 600,000 shares. 
ACOR is planning to make an acquisition.
The stock cut below not only recent support, but also has broken down from a head-and-shoulder technical pattern. That is bearish.
ACOR's stock rose slightly in the morning getting to an intraday high of 36.18. The stock then backed off slightly and trended sideways into the afternoon.
Then around 2 p.m. it started to fall sharply. It took a dive down to an intraday low of 31.
ACOR's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the a key bearish trade coming in the morning when a block of 54,83 shares crossed the tape at $25.50.
That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $36.03 on 15,401 shares late the prior day.
ACOR sells Ampyra, a potassium channel blocker to improve walking in patients with multiple sclerosis.
It also makes Zanaflex Capsules and Zanaflex tablets to help handle spasticity, a symptom of central nervous system disorders. In addition, it produces Qutenza, a dermal patch for neuropathic pain associated with post-herpetic neuralgia.
This year, analysts are forecasting ACOR will show a loss of one cent a share compared with a profit of 25 cents in 2015.
For the first quarter, they look for a loss of 2 cents a share compared with a loss of 2 cents the year before.
ACOR's daily chart shows the stock breaking down hard with heavy volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is now trending lower.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ACOR for a decline to 26 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 33.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ACOR - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
