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Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday - March 12, 2009


                                          By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily breakout and Short Selling report. It contains Breakout Stocks and Stocks under Significant Accumulation.

Data is from tape action for the day. These stocks are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points for leading stocks.

These stocks will do very well during bull markets and strong market rallies.

TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks

will do very well during bear markets or market corrections

TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

Quote or chart

TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the break point. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Total Buy Breakouts today - 1

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull's Strategy -  Just one breakout stock today, although some issues are moving closer to their breakpoints on today's big stock market rally.  Market seems to indicate an urgency to buy and short covering. Bulls remain selective. Do not chase stocks.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Unfavorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) -NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish


Today's Breakout Feature Stock

Lincoln Educational Services Inc. (LINC) - 17.55, up 0.76 - Breakpoint 17.30

Profits to Rise 21% This Year, TTD Targets 22

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LINC  - AVERAGE

    LINC, based in West Orange, N.J., provides career-oriented post-secondary education. Annual revenues: $360 million. $360 million. LINC's stock breaks out from a six-week flat base today and hits a two-year high. The stock is part of the leading educational stocks. So far today, LINC is trading 289,614 shares. That is light. Its average daily volume is 584,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted LINC as a breakout at our midsession show on the Web.

  The stock backed off around the opening and then turned higher. It peaked around 11 and then trended sideways the rest of the session.

  TTD's clip of the tape highlights a big block of 5,700 shares that crossed on a modest up tick to $17.55.

 LINC offers recent high school graduates and working adults degree and diploma programs in four principal areas of study. They are automotive technology, allied health (which includes programs for medical administrative assistants, medical assistants, pharmacy technicians and massage therapists), skilled trades and business and information technology.

   TTD's performance chart shows LINC's stock appreciating 40% the past 12 months. It has easily outperformed the S&P 500 index which is down 42% the pat 12 months.

   TTD's long-term chart shows LINC at 20 back in 2005. The stock fell back over the past few years. However, the stock is now on the move higher. Its weakness in past years mirrors that of most other educational stocks which were out-of-favor.      

  TTD's daily chart shows the stock breaking out from a base around 15 back in January. The stock then formed a base on top of a base. The new base is shorter than the prior one. That is good for bulls.

  Today's breakout clears key resistance at 17.30.

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is slightly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line is a bit erratic due to the stock's trading volume tendency's

  This year, analysts project a 21% increase in LINC's net to 95 cents a share from 78 cents a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  18, which is reasonable given the earnings growth rate.

  Looking out to 2010, analysts predict a 19% improvement in net to $1.13 a share from the expected 95 cents a share.

  The company recently reported fourth quarter net for 2008. Operating net jumped to 49 cents a share from 37 cents a year ago. Revenues for the quarter rose 19%. Student Starts increased 17%.

  For the upcoming first quarter, the Street looks for a 100% gain in net to 4 cents a share from 2 cents a year ago.

  Strategy Opinion: LINC, a "special situation stock" clears the base nicely. The only thing lacking is strong volume. TTD suggests scaling in. We are targeting the stock for a move to 22 within the next few months. A protective stop can be place near 16. TTD rats LINC an average intermediate-term play.

  Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund holder is 5-star rated Royce Micro-Cap Fund with a 1.8% stake. It was a recent seller of 100,000 shares. LINC has 25 million shares outstanding. Funds hold 2 million shares.

  Insider Activity: Bearish. Insiders have been sellers recently. Alexis Michas, a director, sold 4.7 million shares in February. Six analysts follow the stock, 4 have a buy, up from 3 three months ago.



                     Stock Performance Chart for 12 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Profile Rating

Lincoln Educational Services Corp. -  (LINC) 

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume Expansion   YES
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term     YES
Price Daily Spread   YES
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES    
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 11 0 3

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy.


Charts of Breakout Stocks

None


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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 1

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.

Bear Side - Just one breakdown stock today. Bears seeing rally in a bear market. Remain patient. TTD's short from Wednesday was Chattem Inc. (CHTT) - 55.98, off 3.75. Today, the stock was down sharply again in the morning. However, it has rallied. The stock is down 0.26 to 54.75.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Pall Corp. (PLL) - 18.75, off 3.93

Sinks on Disappointing Earnings, TTD Sees Drop to 15

 PLL, based in East Hills, N.Y.,  makes filters used to remove contaminants from a variety of substances in many critical applications. Annual revenues: $2.6 billion. PLL's stock falls sharply today on massive volume. The trigger: A disappointing earnings report showing lower profits. The stock has strong downside momentum. TTD sees more on the downside. So far today, PLL is trading 4.4 million shares, four times its normal daily volume of 1.1 million shares.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows a big block of 129,500 shares crossing in the morning on a modest down tick to $19.25 from the prior trade at $19.26. The tape action showed heavy institutional selling pressure.

  PLL reported pro forma earnings for the fiscal second quarter ended January 31 fell to 38 cents a share from 46 cents a year ago. The 38 cents was below the consensus Street estimate of 44 cents a share and also the lowest estimate of 42 cents a share.

 The reported second quarter net was 33 cents a share vs. 39 cents a year ago. The company blamed deteriorating economic conditions in its business.

   PLL's filter media must be replaced regularly to maintain performance levels. The company is divided into two main segments: life sciences and industrial.

  The former includes Pall's medical and biopharmaceutical units, while the latter is composed of general industrial, aerospace, and microelectronics.

  TTD's daily chart shows PLL's stock trending lower and then trying to make a bottom in the 20s. However, today, the stock gaps lower on massive volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bearish. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is now trending lower.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting PLL for a drop to 15. The stock has the potential to breakdown even further if business continues worsen. A stop buy can be placed near 20.50



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)