Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Monday. March 17, 2014
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Monday. March 17, 2014 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 17, 2013 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market
rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs. 
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Modest list of Breakouts but some interesting plays. Bulls be conservative. Stock market consolidating after recent advance.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SUSS - ABOVE AVERAGE |
SUSS, based in Corpus Christi, Tex., operates convenience stores selling fuel and other items. Annual revenues: $6.2 billion. SUSS's stock breaks out from a 17-week, cup-and-handle base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. So far today, SUSS is trading a light 193,564 shares. Its average daily volume is 274,000 shares. 
TTD featured SUSS recently as a stock to accumulate in anticipation of a breakout.
SUSS's stock rose sharply in the morning and broke out. However, it pulled back slightly and began to hug its breakpoint line. (See 10-minute chart). 
The stock then pushed higher late in the day to clear its breakpoint line.
SUSS's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the block climbing from $66,09 in the prior session to as high as $67.25 on Monday, near the close.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 1,300 shares crossed the tape at $66.52.
That was up from the prior block trade at $66.10. 
The strong close is an indication of good chances for a follow through move on Tuesday.
SUSS is the leading non-refiner convenience store operator and motor fuel distributor in Texas.
The company operates some 512 convenience stores in Texas, New Mexico and Oklahoma under the Stripes and Circle K brands, offering motor fuel, merchandise, restaurant service under the company's own Laredo Taco Company brand, and other services.
The chain carries Valero, Shamrock, Chevron, Shell, Texaco, Phillips 66 and Exxon gasoline, with about two-thirds its stores branded under the Valero name.
SUSS also distributes branded and unbranded gasoline to more than 370 dealer locations through supply or consignment agreements.
SUSS formed Applied Petroleum Technologies to manage the firm's environmental, maintenance and construction activities. The firm sells and installs motor fuel pumps and tanks and also provides environmental consulting services.
SUSS's 12 month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 45% versus a 19% gain for the S&P 500 index. The green bar in March indicates heavy insider buying, a bullish omen for the stock.
SUSS's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in late 2006 and trading around $18. The stock fell back to $8.11 by late 2009.
However, since then the stock has been sensational. Its push to a new high on Monday could bring in more buying on Tuesday.
SUSS's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 47 back in August to a peak near 66 by December.
The stock then put down a cup-and-handle base.
The breakout today just clears the base. Near-term the stock is a bit extended. Also, the volume did not expand greatly.
So, it will be important for SUSS to hold its ground and follow through.
The stock's tape action is bullish as the Accumulation - Distribution line (bottom of chart) has pushed sharply higher.
The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish. 
SUSS is poised to show strong profits.
Analysts projected net for 2014 will soar 59% to $2.55 a share from $1.60 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 24. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to 2015, the Street looks for a 28% gain in net to $3.26 a share from the anticipated $2.55 this year.
Net for the upcoming first quarter should leap to 7 cents a share from one cent a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 15 cents a share. SUSS tends to be erratic with its earnings in relation to Wall Street analysts predictions.
Nevertheless, some see potential for a big quarter.
Going out to the second quarter, analysts look for a robust 78% leap in profits to $1.05 a share from 59 cents a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SUSS for a move to 80 off this breakout. However, conservative investors can scale-in. A protective stop can be placed near 64.
TTD rates SUSS a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund holder is 4-star rated ClearBridge Small Cap Growth Fund with a 4.2% stake. The fund was a recent buyer of 109,070 shares.
Another key buyer was the 3-star rated Vanguard Explorer Fund which purchased 305,218 shares.
SUSS has 21.4 million shares outstanding.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders have been getting plenty of options. They have done very little selling. That bodes well for chances the stock may move higher. Currently, 8 analysts follow the stock, 7 have a buy, up from 6 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Susser Holdings Corp. - (SUSS) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EQT - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WTFC - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NS - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Just two shorts today as stock market rallies strongly. Bears remain conservative. TTD's short from Friday was Xo Group Inc. (XOXO) at 9.90. Today, the stock has declined to 9.45 and is working well for bears.
LMIA, based in St. Charles, Mo., provides engineering services and components to the aerospace market. Annual revenues:$388 million. LMIA's stock falls sharply today after the company reported a large loss for the fourth quarter. So far today, LMIA is trading 683,100 shares, six times its average daily volume of 104,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted LMIA as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
The company reported a fourth quarter loss, including special items, of $5.31 a share. That compares with a profit of 8 cents a share a year ago.
The stock reacted bearishly to the news. It fell sharply in the morning on big volume. It hit an in intraday low of 13.11. The stock then lifted modestly late in the day.
LIMA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $15.55 to $13.20.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 5,365 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $14.75. That was down sharply from the prior block at $15.30.
LMIA is a supplier to aircraft OEMs and Tier 1 aerospace suppliers. LMIA also produces components and assemblies for laser equipment used by semiconductor and medical equipment manufacturers in the technology industry.
LMI aerospace produces structural assemblies, kits and components to the aerospace, defense, and technology markets.
Analysts are forecasting a 46% decline in LMIA's earnings for the first quarter to 20 cents a share from 37 cents a year ago.
LMIA's daily chart shows the stock falling sharply and cutting below key technical support with big volume.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting LMIIA for a decline to 10.30 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 14.40.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LMIA - AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
