Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, March 17, 2015 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 16, 2015 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 11
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Good number of breakouts, but very selective. Stock market finishes mixed. Current rally across trading range still okay.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MTSI - ABOVE AVERAGE |
MTSI, based in Lowell, Ma., produces analog semiconductors for use in telecom applications. Annual revenues: $449 million. MTSI's stock breaks out today from a six-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. So far today, MTSI is trading 592,205 shares. Its average daily volume is 421,000 shares.
TTD highlighted MTSI as a potential breakout earlier in the week and also at TTD's midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
The stock rose steadily during the day cutting across its breakpoint line in the morning.
MTSI remained in a solid up trend the entire session and closed near its high for the day.
In after hours trading MTSI was as high as 37. So, the stock attracted good and steady buying.
MTSI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $35.08 early in the day to as high as $36.65.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 2,200 shares crossed the tape at $35.34.
That was up from the prior block trade at $35.08 on 3,097 shares, (duplicated).
Then late in the day near the NYSE close a block of 12,203 shares (duplicated) crossed at $36.65.
That was up nicely from the prior block at $36.52 on 5,000 shares.
MTSI provides analog semiconductor solutions for wireless and wireline applications across the RF, microwave and millimeterwave spectrum.
The company's primary markets are Networks which includes CATV, cellular backhaul, cellular infrastructure and fiber optic applications.
MTSI's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 78% versus a 14% gain for the S&P 500 indx.
MTSI's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2012 and trading at 19. The stock fell back to 10 during that year.
However, since then MTSI has been climbing steadily having tripled. The push to a new high could draw in more buying from the new high crowd.
MTSI's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 21 back in November to a peak near 35 by January.
The stock then formed a flat base with one shakeout to the downside.
Today's breakout clears resistance.
MTSI's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is modestly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a strong up trend and has already broken out.
That shows aggressive accumulation in the stock while it was basing.
It was a good lead technical indicator.
This fiscal year ending in September analysts are forecasting a 48% surge in profits to $1.51 a share from $1.02 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 23. TTD sees that as low given the earnings growth outlook. So, the stock is attractive to value-growth investors.
Going out to fiscal 2016 ending in September, the Street looks for a 33% jump in net to $2 a share from the anticipated $1.51 this year.
Net for the upcoming fiscal second quarter ending in March should climb 35% to 35 cents a share from 26 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 36 cents a share.
The company has topped the consensus estimate the past seven out of past eight quarters by a modest margin.
Looking out to the fiscal third quarter ending in June, analysts predict a 33% rise in net to 39 cents a share from 29 cents a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting MTSI for a move to 45. That is up from our prior target of 43 earlier in the week. A protective stop can be placed near 33 after a breakout.
TTD rates MTSI a very good intermediate-term play provide earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund buyer recently was the Pyramis Small Company Composite Fund which purchased 593,389 shares as a new position. The 4-star rated fund has a 1.3% stake.
The largest fund holder is the 4-star rated Fidelity Contrafund with a 1.8% stake. It was a recent buyer of 8,763 shares.
MTSI has 47.7 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 41% of the stock and insiders 54%.
Insider Activity: Very Bearish. Insiders have been buyers at less than $1 using stock options. They have been steady sellers around $28 to $34 recently.
Currently, 7 analysts follow the stock, 6 have a buy, down from 7 three months ago. MTSI has a book value of $4.76 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating MA COM Technology Solutions - (KS) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MHFI - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BERY - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MATW - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RE - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 9
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Large list of breakdown stocks. Stock market mixed with blue chips down, while small caps rise. Bears be selective. TTD's short from Monday was Navios Maritime Partners (NMM) at 10.72. Tuesday it fell to 10.35.
CALL, based in West Palm Beach, Fla., provides software for the internet. Annual revenues: $129 million. CALL's stock falls sharply today after the company reported a loss for the fourth quarter. So fart today, CALL is trading 1.2 million shares, six times its average daily volume of 180,000 shares.
CALL came in with a fourth quarter loss of 21 cents a share.
The stock responded very bearishly to the news. Results were below Street expectations.
CALL's stock fell sharply in the morning hitting an intraday low of 6.50.
The stock then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day and then lifted slightly late in the session.
TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $8.70 in the prior session to as low as $6.62 on Tuesday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 8,230 shares crossed the tape at $7.40.
That was down from the prior block trade at $8.17 on 9,526 shares.
CALL provides software-driven solutions for internet-based and long-distance telephony networks and related enhanced services.
The company provides routing and business powering enhanced services. Its services include International and Long-Distance Calling, Voice VPN (virtual private network), Calling Card, Exchange Carriers and Voice-enhanced e-commerce.
This year, analysts have been forecasting a 22% rise in net to 82 cents a share from 67 cents a year ago. That forecast should come down.
CALL's daily chart shows CALL gapping lower on big volume and cutting below key support. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a downtrend indicating clear selling pressure for the past several months.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CALL for a drop to 5.10 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 7.20.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CALL - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)