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Ticker Tape Digest

Thursday - March 19, 2009


                                          By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily breakout and Short Selling report. It contains Breakout Stocks and Stocks under Significant Accumulation.

Data is from tape action for the day. These stocks are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points for leading stocks.

These stocks will do very well during bull markets and strong market rallies.

TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks

will do very well during bear markets or market corrections

TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

Quote or chart

TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the break point. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Total Buy Breakouts today - 6

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull's Strategy - Breakout list expands a bit. Bulls be a bit more aggressive now that the weekly indicators are now bullish. The market still needs to demonstrate strong up action with heavy volume.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Unfavorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) -NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish


Today's Feature Breakout Stock

American CareSoure Holdings Inc. (ANCI) - 8, up 0.75 - Breakpoint 7.42

Profits to Jump 56% This Year, TTD Targets 11

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ANCI  - AVERAGE

 ANCI, based in Irving, Tex., ancillary care benefit management company. Annual revenues: $50 million. ANCI is a small cap medical play. The stock breaks out strongly today and moves close to a 52-week high. The breakout comes from a four month base. TTD sees ANCI as a good breakout play for aggressive investors because of ANCI's strong earnings outlook this year.

  TTD highlighted ANCI as a breakout at our midsession show on the Web.

  So far today, ANCI is trading 410,413 shares, 12 times its normal daily volume of 33,300 shares. The heavy volume is extremely bullish.

  ANCI moved higher in the morning and peaked around 11 a.m. It then trended sideways the rest of the day.

TTD's clip of the tape shows the big block trades of the past two sessions. One can see the price for the big blocks climbing from $7.20 to $7.74. The largest block was 70,000 shares today going off at $7.50. The tape action indicates strong institutional buying interest.

 ANCI offers a national network of more than twenty-ancillary providers. American CareSource's ancillary network management provides a complete outsourced solution for a wide variety of healthcare payors and plan sponsors including self-insured employers, indemnity insurers, PPOs, HMOs, third party administrators and both the Federal and local governments.

 Through its product offerings, ANCI offers clients substantial discounts on services rendered through its network of ancillary care providers in more than thirty service categories.

  TTD's performance chart for ANCI for the past 12 months shows the stock off about 5%. It has done better than the S&P 500 which is down 37%.  In 2008, ANCI was the best performing stock on the Nasdaq.

  TTD's long-term chart shows the stock soaring from 2 in 2007 to a peak of 9.50. The stock then went into a long-term consolidation.      

  TTD's daily chart is where the action is. Today,  ANCI breaks out powerfully from a flat base that developed over the past four months. The expansion in volume today is very bullish and indicates aggressive buying.

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is slightly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is extremely bullish. It has broken out to a new peak confirming the stock's price breakout.

  This year, analysts predict a 56% increase in ANCI's earnings to 28 cents a share from an anticipated 18 cents a year ago. The stock sells with a price earnings ratio of  28 based on this year's projected net. TTD sees that as attractive for aggressive growth investors.

  Net for the first quarter should jump 133% to 7 cents a share from 3 cents a year ago.

  The company has been getting a good flow of new contracts.

  Strategy Opinion: ANCI is a low-priced speculative play suitable only for aggressive investors. TTD is targeting ANCI for a move to 11 within the next few months. A protective stop can be placed near 7. TTD rates ANCI a good intermediate-term play because of its good earnings outlook.

  Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund holder is 3-star rated Brazos Mico Cap Fund with a 1% stake. It was a recent buyer of 67,000 shares. ANCI has 15 million shares outstanding. Funds hold 450,000 shares.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Not much action in recent months. One analysts follows the stock and has a buy.



                     Stock Performance Chart for 12 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

  


TTD's Profile Rating

American CareSource Holdings Inc. - (ANCI) 

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume Expansion YES  
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily   YES
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term     YES
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success     YES
Fund Sponsorship     YES
Total Score 10 0 4

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy.


Charts of Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GOLD  - AVERAGE


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SXCI  - ABOVE  AVERAGE


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HOTT  - AVERAGE


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VLGEA  - BELOW AVERAGE

 


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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.

Bear Side -  Only a few breakdown stocks today. Bears be patient and selective. Short list has dwindled over recent sessions as market rallies.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

CRA International Inc. (CRAI) - 17.76, off 3.01

Posts Big Drop in Earnings, TTD Sees Decline to 14.50

  CRAI, based in Boston, is a finance consulting firm. Annual revenues: $380 million. CRAI's stock takes a dive today on expanding volume after reporting a big drop in quarterly earnings. The stock breaks to a 5-year low. TTD sees more on the downside. So far today, CRAI is trading 170,805 shares, double its normal daily volume of 86,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted CRAI as a short at our midsession show on the Web.

  CRAI's stock gapped lower in the morning. It staged a modest lift in the afternoon to trim its loss.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows one of the larger trades of the day. It is a block of 1,341 shares that crossed on a big down tick to $20.40 from the prior trade at $20.57.

  CRAI reported earnings for the fiscal first quarter declined to 7 cents a share from 28 cents a year ago. The company also said it will restructure again and take a large charge. The earnings news sent the stock down sharply.

 CRAI provides economics, finance, and business consulting services. Its clients include businesses, law firms, accounting firms, and governments. CRAI combine sits analysis with expertise in litigation and regulatory support.

  TTD sees analysts cutting CRAI's earnings outlook for the fiscal year ending November 30.

  TTD's daily chart shows CRAI with a gap move down last September. The stock tried to form a bottom but today's breakdown nullifies that try. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is extremely bearish.

  TTD is targeting CRAI for a decline to 14.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 18.90.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)