Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Monday, March 30, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Monday, March 30, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 30, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 21
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Earnings to come soon and annual meetings.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AYI - ABOVE AVERAGE |
AYI, based in Atlanta, Ga., makes lighting fixtures. Annual revenues: $2.4 billion. AYI's stock breaks out Monday from an eight-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. So far today, AYI is trading a heavy 782,605 shares, double its average daily volume of 318,000 shares. 
AYI is a leading stock that TTD highlighted recently.
AVY's 10-minute chart shows the stock surging higher in the morning and breaking out to the upside. The move blended well with the stock market's strong advance. AYI reached an intraday peak of 171.98 in the morning. 
The stock then pulled back a bit and trended sideways into the mid-afternoon.
It then began to push higher. It closed the day near its high for the session at 172.76.
AYI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks working higher from $168 in the prior session to as high as $172.57 at the close on Monday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 3,458 shares crossed the tape at $169.
That was up sharply from the prior block at $168 on 22,312 shares late in the prior session.
AYI is the one of the world's largest lighting fixture makers. Its brands include Lithonia Lighting, Holophane, Peerless, and Hydrel.
The company's Acuity Specialty Products unit produces specialty chemical brands such as Zep, Enforcer, and Selig.
AYI's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 30% versus a 10% gain for the S&P 500 index.
AYI's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from 23 back in 2005 to a peak near 66 in 2007, the top in the prior bull market.
The stock then fell back to 20 in 2009 due to the subsequent bear market. However, since then the stock has made a sensational eightfold move to around 172.
AYI's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 125 back in October to a peak near 164 by February.
The stock had a breakout in March but then faded back. 
Today, AYI breaks out from its flat base clearing the resistance zone made of two breakpoint lines.
AYI's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has broken out to the upside.
That shows good underlying buying during the basing work.
Analysts are forecasting a 34% jump in AYI's earnings for the fiscal year ending in August of 2015.
They have been raising their estimates
The outlook is for net of $5.33 a share, up from $3.97 the year before. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 32.
TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to fiscal 2016 ending in August, the Street looks for a 22% gain in net to $6.52 a share from the anticipated $5.33 in the current fiscal year. 
Net for the fiscal second quarter ending in February should surge 41% to $1.06 a share from the 75 cents a year ago.
AYi's earnings table shows the company topping the Street estimates the past two quarters.
Going out to the fiscal third quarter ending in May, the Street expects a 34% gain in net to $1.34 a share from $1 a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AYI for a move to 205 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 162.
TTD rates AYI a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet or top expectations.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is the 5-star rated T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund with a 3.5% stake. It has held its position steady.
The largest fund buyer recently was the 3-star rated American Century Ultra Fund which purchased 78,000 shares. It has a 1.4% stake.
AYI has 43 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 93% of the stock and insiders 5%.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were recent buyers around $137. They also bought with stock options at $29 to 40. They were sellers around $153.
Currently, 16 analysts follow the stock, 10 have a buy, up from 9 three months ago. AYI has a book value of $28.16.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Acuity Brands Inc. - (AYI) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ADI - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HDS - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CHMT - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - UFPI - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks Monday as stock market rallies strongly. Bears remain conservative.
BDSI, based in Raleigh, N.C., is a biotech firm developing products for vaccines and over-the-counter drugs. Annual revenues: $39 million. BDSI's stock falls sharply after its product to treat pain failed tests. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted BDSI as a short at our midsession video show on the Web.
So far today, BDSI is trading a heavy 6.6 million shares, about seven times its average daily volume of 912,000 shares.
BDSI said its treatment for pain related to diabetes was found not be effective in clinical trials.
BDSI's stock gapped lower in the morning hitting an intraday low of 9.32.
The stock then lifted a bit and trended sideways the rest of the day.
BDSI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $13.89 in the prior session to as low as $9.49 Monday morning.
A key bearish trade came when a block of 12,500 shares crossed the tape at $10.15.
That was down from the prior block trade at $13.89 on 17,700 shares.
BDSI develops mostly drug delivery technology designed for a potentially broad base of pharmaceuticals, vaccines and over-the-counter drugs.
This year, analysts are forecasting BDSI will show a breakeven versus a loss of 85 cents a year ago.
However, the street looks for a loss of 19 cents a share in the first quarter and a loss of 32 cents a share in the second quarter.
BDSI's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is now strongly bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BDSI for a decline to 8 after this breakdown. A protective stop buy can be placed near 11.40.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BDSI - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
