Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Thursday, March 31, 2016 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 28, 2016 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 4
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small. Bulls be conservative. Stock market mixed. Market now entering prior trading range zone.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Bullishl
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MSCI - ABOVE AVERAGE |
MSCI, based in New York, provides investment and other types of research and tools. Annual revenues: $1.1 billion. MSCI's stock breaks out Thursday from a six-week, cup-and-handle base. the stock, a leader, hits a new all-time high. That is bullish.
So far today, MSCI is trading 1.2 million shares. Its average daily volume is 906,000 shares.
MSCI's stock moved sharply higher in the morning and cut through its breakpoint line (see 10-minute chart).
The stock reached an intraday high of 74.92.
MSCI then drifted lower in the afternoon, but held above its breakpoint line.
MSCI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $73.15 in the prior session to as high as $74.39.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 15,000 shares crossed the tape at $73.44.
That was up from the prior block at $73.15 on 31,475 shares late on Wednesday.
Near the close Thursday, a massive block of 116,852 shares crossed at $74.08.
That was down from the prior trade at $73.15 on 400 shares. The trade before that was at 74.06 on 100 shares.
MSCI provides investment decision support tools worldwide.
They include indexes, portfolio risk and performance analytics, and multi-asset class market risk analytics products and services.
The company also offers analytical tools, data, and real estate benchmarks, as well as environmental, social, and governance research products and services.
Its products are used in various investment processes, including portfolio construction and rebalancing, performance benchmarking, risk management, regulatory and client reporting, index-linked investment product creation and asset allocation.
MSCI Inc. sells its products to pension funds, endowments, foundations, central banks, family offices, and insurance companies.
MSCI's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 21% versus a breakeven for the stock market.
There has been some heavy insider selling recently. (see red blocks on chart)
MSCI's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in late 2007 at $27.70. The stock fell to its all-time low of $11.06 in late 2008 due to the bear market.
The stock then rallied back to around $40 by 2010, based and then in 2013 broke out to the upside. It held up well against the stock market's decline earlier this year. Now breaks out to a new high.
MSCI's daily chart shows the stock climbing to a peak near 73 in late December.
The stock then fell back due in part to the stock market's selloff in January.
It rallied back to near its prior peak and in the process formed a nice cup-and-handle base. It breaks out with strong volume.
MSCI's CCI momentum indicator is bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) lags but is improving.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 20% increase in MSCI's earnings to $2.77 a share from $2.31 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 25. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to 2017, the Street looks for a 19% gain in net to $3.28 a share from the anticipated $2.77 this year.
Net for the upcoming first quarter is expected to jump 28% to 64 cents a share from 50 cents a year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 67 cents a share.
TTD sees chances for an upside surprise.
The company topped the consensus estimate the past two quarters by 7 cents a share both times.
Net for the second quarter is expect to climb 21% to 68 cents a share from 56 cents a year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 85 within a few months.
A protective stop can be placed near 69 after a breakout.
TTD rates MSCI an average intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is the 5-star rated T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund with a 4.2% stake. It has kept its position steady.
A key fund buyer recently was the 5-star rated T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund which purchased 441,500 shares. It has a 2.2% stake, second largest.
MSCI has 101 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 95% and insiders 2%.
Insider Activity: Bearish. Some selling this year around $69 to $71. Insiders were buyers using stock options at $18.
Currently, 10 analysts follow the stock, 3 have a buy, the same as three months ago.
MSCI has a book value of $10.67 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating MSCI Inc. - (MSCI) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HAS - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SCLN - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PRMW - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks Thursday. Bears be conservative as stock market still holds near-term up trend.
ANAC, based in Palo Alto, Ca., makes medical products to treat skin disorders. Annual revenues: $82 million. ANAC's stock falls sharply Thursday and undercuts key technical support. Volume so far today is running at 4.2 million shares, four times its average daily volume of 922,000 shares.
ANAC's stock has been trending lower. TTD sees more on the downside.
ANAC's stock gapped lower in the morning and touched an intraday low of 52.90.
The stock rallied back to 56.64 by noon. It then rolled over and trended lower the rest of the day finishing close to its low for the session of 52.90.
ANAC's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see a key bearish trade coming in the morning when a block of 27,572 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $54.75.
That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $58.66 on 13,869 shares late in the prior session.
ANAC sells Kerydin, a topical solution to treat onychomycosis of the toenails.
The company's lead product candidate is crisaborole topical ointment, 2%, anti-inflammatory phosphodiesterase-4 inhibitor, which is in Phase III clinical trials to treat mild-to-moderate atopic dermatitis and psoriasis.
It is also developing AN3365, an antibiotic to treat infections caused by gram-negative bacteria.
This year, analysts expect ANAC to show a loss of $1.36 a share compared with a loss of $1.39 a year before.
For the upcoming first quarter, the Street expects a loss of 30 cents a share, the same as the year before.
ANAC's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from 120 in December to around 55. The stock breaks down Thursday on big volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has now rolled over showing clear selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ANAC for a move down to 47. A protective stop buy can be placed near 56.50.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ANAC - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)