Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday. April 2, 2014
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday. April 2, 2014 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, March 31, 2013 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market
rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs. 
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 11
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good conservative plays. Bulls be selective. Stock market still holds. Earnings reports will have a big impact.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BWA - AVERAGE |
BWA, based in Auburn Hills, Mich., produces engineered systems for trucks and buses and autos. Annual revenues: $7.4 billion. BWA, a big cap play, breaks out today from a six-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. So far today, BWA is trading 1.2 million shares. Its average daily volume is the same 1.2 million shares. 
TTD highlighted BWA as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
BWA's stock shot higher in the morning It hit an intraday peak of 63.89 in the morning. (see 10-minute chart. 
The stock then trended sideways the rest of the day holding above its breakpoint.
TTD's clip of the tape shows BWA's recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks advancing from $63.07 in the prior session to as high as $63.79 on Wednesday.
A key bullish block trade came in the morning when 13,093 shares crossed the tape at $63.21.
That was up from the prior block at $63.07. 
BWA makes highly engineered components and systems for vehicle powertrain applications worldwide.
The company operates manufacturing and technical facilities in several countries.
Its customers include Ford, DaimlerChrysler, General Motors, Toyota, Caterpillar, Navistar, PSA and VW Group.
The company makes engine and drivetrain parts.
BWA's 12-month performance part shows the stock appreciating 70% versus 12% for the S&P 500 index.
The chart shows a green bar in February indicating heavy insider buying. TTD sees that as very bullish.
BWA's monthly chart shows the stock climbing from 10 back in 2001 to a peak of $27 in 2008. The stock then fell back to 7.50 in late 2008 due to the bear market.
However, since then the stock has been surging higher. Today's move carries it to a new high which could draw in more buying on Thursday.
BWA's daily chart shows the stock climbing from a shakeout down to 51 in February to 62 by late February.
The stock then set up a flat base. The stock edged out of the base in the prior session. Today, it clears the base.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.
BWA's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is working higher. It compliments the price action showing good underlying buying.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 14% jump in profits to $3.28 a share from $2.89 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 18. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to 2015, the Street looks for a 19% gain in net to $3.91 a share from the anticipated $3.28 this year. 
Net for the upcoming first quarter should show a strong 22% improvement to 80 cents a share from 65 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 83 cents a share.
TTD sees chances of BWA topping the consensus estimate. It topped three out of the past four quarters. (see table.
Looking ahead to the second quarter, analysts expect a 15% gain in net to 86 cents a share from 75 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BWA for a move to 75 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 60.
TTD rates BWA an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is the 4-star rated Oakmark Equity & Income Fund with a 2.8% stake. It has held its position steady.
The largest fund buyer recently was the American Funds AMCAP which purchased 1.9 million shares, as a new position. It has a 0.82% stake.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders have been getting stock options. They have done very little selling. Right now, 13 analysts follow the stock, 9 have a buy, up from 8 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Borgwarner Inc. - (BWA) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - STE - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - UTX - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CAR - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - JWN - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Only two shorts today. Stock market continues to hold.. Bears remain conservative.
FUEL, based in Redwood City, Ca., provides advertising solutions for digital marketers. Annual revenues: $240 million. FUEL's stock falls sharply today undercutting key technical support. So far today, FUEL is trading 808,443 shares. Its average daily volume is 707,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
FUEL was highlighted by TTD as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
The stock rose slightly in the morning, but then turned down and trended steadily lower through the day.
FUEL's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $43 in the prior session to as low as $40.95 today.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 15,362 shares (duplicated) traded at $42.05. That was down from the prior block trade at $42.47.
The tape showed clear institutional selling pressure.
FUEL provides artificial intelligence advertising solutions for digital marketers.
The company delivers a programmatic media-buying platform at Big Data scale that improves marketing.
FUEL's provides digital advertising and marketing programs globally for customers in North America, Europe, and Japan.
Customers trust Rocket Fuel's Advertising That Learns platform to achieve brand and direct-response objectives in diverse industries from luxury cars to groceries to retail.
This year, analysts are forecasting FUEL will show a loss of 75 cents a share compared with a loss of $1.07 a year before. Going out to 2015, they look for a loss of 15 cents a share.
FUEL's daily chart shows the stock in a down trend from a peak around 72 in January. The stock's decline causes it to cut below key support. The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a sharp down trend showing clear heavy selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting FUEL for a decline to 34 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 43.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FUEL - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
