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Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks - Tuesday, April 4, 2017

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Tuesday, April 4, 2017

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Tuesday, April 4, 2017

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 3, 2017

 

 


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


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Ticker Tape Digest

Tuesday -  April 4, 2017


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

    To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.    For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Tuesday - April 4, 2017

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 4

Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Small list of breakouts Tuesday. Bulls be conservative. Stock market is a consolidation pattern

Stock market: The daily Nasdaq continues to hold in up trend. Dow and S&P have slipped (see daily charts). The long-term remains bullish.

Stock Market Momentum

(Based on 14 unit moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bearish

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish,

  Nasdaq - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

Nasdaq - Bullish 

        S&P 500 - Bearish

  S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Tuesday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Louisiana Pacific Corp. (LPX) - 25.27, up 0.58 - Breakpoint 24.87

Profits to Surge 70% This Year, TTD Targets 31

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LPX - ABOVE AVERAGE

  LP, based in Nashville, Ten., produces building products. Annual revenues: $2.2 billion. LPX's stock drives higher and breaks out from an eight-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a 10-year high. That is bullish.

  So far today, LPX is trading 1.6 million shares. Its average daily volume is 1.3 million shares.

 TTD highlighted LPX as a breakout at our midsession video show on the web Tuesday.

  LPX's 10-minute chart shows the stock cutting over its breakpoint line in the morning.

  The stock slipped back later but held. The in the afternoon, LPX drove higher to reach its intraday peak of $25.30.

   Tape Action

  LPX's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $24.65 in the prior session to as high as $25.27.

  There were two massive block trades that indicated accumulation.

  The first came late on Monday when a block of 97,963 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $24.69.

  That was up from the prior bock at $24.65 on 6,109 shares.   

  The second came near the close Tuesday when a block of 182,548 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $25.27.

  That was up from the prior block at $25.21 on 7,161 shares.

  Business

 LPX makes building products used in home construction, repair and remodeling, and outdoor structures.

The Company operates in four areas.

It makes and distributes OSB structural panel products.

 Its  siding segment offers two key products: SmartSide siding products and CanExel siding.

  The company's engineered Wood Products group makes laminated veneer lumber, I-Joists, laminated strand lumber and other products.

 LPX's South American unit makes products in South America.

Charts

  LPX's  long-term chart shows the stock falling to a low of $1.03 back in early 2009 due to the bear market.

  The stock worked its way back to a peak of $22.55 in 2013. The stock then consolidated long-term until this year.

  Now it has broken out from its long-term base at 20. It ran up to 25 based and now breaks out again.  

  LPX's daily chart shows the tight flat base set up since February.

  The breakout clears resistance with a modest pick up in volume.

  The stock's CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is solidly bullish.

 Earnings Outlook

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 70% surge in profits to $1.52 a share from 89 cents a year ago.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 16. TTD sees that as reasonable.

  Going out to 2018, analysts are currently looking for a modest 2% rise in net to $1.54 a share from the anticipated $1.52 this year.

  Quarterly profit growth will be strong and should be the key driver near-term.

  Net for the upcoming first quarter is expected to surge 300% to 28 cents a share from 7 cents the year before.

  The highest estimate on the Street is at 32 cents a share. TTD sees chances for an upside earnings surprise. LPX topped the consensus estimate three out of the past four quarters.

  Net for the second quarter is expected to jump 68% to 47 cents a share from 28 cents the year before.  

Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting LPX for a move to $31 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near $23.50.

  TTD rates LPX a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.

Suitability:  Average Bulls.

        TTD's special research of  LPX's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success - Good.   LPX has scored some good gains off its breakouts. The current run is impressive and still in play.

Probability - Earnings Response - Excellent. LPX has moved higher 9 out of its past 13 earnings reports where there was significant movement.

Probability:  Seasonal Success - Below average. LPX has done poorly in April losing an average of 5.1% the past five years. It has risen 2.5% in May.


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

             25%

    2/8/2017      20.18        25.27    Still in play

               3%

    12/5/2016      20.10        20.86    12/8/2016

               8%

    7/12/2016      18.85        20.51    7/27/2016
               8%     3/30/2016      16.91        18.25     4/18/2016
             12%     5/4/2015      16.30        18.39     5/27/2015
             12%     11/20/2014      14.98        16.83     12/8/2014

 

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MSGN - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ADS -  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LVNTA  - BELOW AVERAGE

 


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 9

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears:  Unfavorable.

 Bear Side -  Large list of breakdown stocks Tuesday with some interesting plays for bears. Stock market in consolidation phase.

  TTD's short from the prior session was Coty Inc. (COTY) at $17.74. It fell to $17.18 Tuesday and is working well for bears.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

American Eagle Outfitters Inc. (AEO)  - 13.21, down 0.60

Stock Resumes Down Trend, TTD Sees Decline to 10

 AEO, based in Pittsburgh, Pa., sells clothes. Annual revenues: $3.6 billion. AEO's stock falls Tuesday and undercuts key technical support. TTD sees more on the downside as earnings for the upcoming quarter will be down sharply.

  TTD highlighted AEO as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.

  So far today, AEO is trading a heavy 6.6 million shares.

  Its average daily volume is 3.7 million shares.

  The stock fell steadily in the morning. It touched an intraday low of $13.13 in the early afternoon.

  AEO then trended sideways the rest of the afternoon.

   Tape Action

  AEO's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $13.81 in the prior session to as low as $13.16 Tuesday.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 27,178 shares crossed the tape at $13.69.

  That was down sharply from the prior block late the day before at $13.81 on 261,550 shares.

   Business

 AEO  sells  apparel and accessories for men and women under the American Eagle Outfitters Brand.

 The clothes include apparel and personal care products for women under the Aerie brand.  

  Its other brands include Tailgate and Todd Snyder New York. Tailgate is an apparel brand with a college town store concept. Todd Snyder New York is a menswear brand.

  AEO has  943 stores  in the U.S., Canada, Mexico, Hong Kong, China and the U.K.

Earnings:

This fiscal year ending in January of 2018 analysts are forecasting flat earnings at $1.25 a share.

However, for the upcoming fiscal first quarter ending in April they expect a 25% drop in profits to 17 cents a share from 22 cents the year before.

Charts:   

AEO's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from  $18 back in December to around $14. The stock cuts below key technical support with a pick up in volume.

AEO's 12-month performance chart shows the stock losing 19% versus a gain of 15% for the stock market.

Insiders were sellers late last year around $18 a share. The CEO Jay Schottenstein was a recent buyer of around 53,000 shares using stock options. The price was not disclosed.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AEO for a decline to $10 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $14.10.  

Suitability: Average Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  WOR's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response -  Very Bearish. Stock rose just 4 time out of the past 15 reports. Some of the post earnings declines were sharp.

Probability:  Seasonal -  Very Bearish.  Stock has fallen an average 5.4% in April the past five year.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AEO -  AVERAGE


   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2017

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)