Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, April 7, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, April 7, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 6, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 9
Overall Quality of Breakouts - ABOVE AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list modest but some interesting plays. Bulls be conservative. Stock market still in a trading range. Earnings will be coming in soon.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AXTA - ABOVE AVERAGE |
AXTA, based in Philadelphia, makes coatings for vehicles and for industrial applications. Annual revenues: $4.4 billion. AXTA's stock breaks out from a five-week base. The push sharply higher was triggered when Warren Buffett's firm Berkshire Hathaway said it planned to buy an 8.7% stake in AXTA from Carlyle Group. 
TTD highlighted AXTA as a stock to accumulate on Monday.
The investment in AXTA by Buffett will come to $560 million. AXTA is a former unit of DuPont.
So far today, AXTA is trading 8.8 million shares., four times its average daily volume of 2 million shares.
AXTA's stock gapped higher in the morning and hit a peak of 31.02.
It then backed off a bit and then worked higher the rest of the day.
AXTA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $27.75 a few sessions ago to as high as $31 on Tuesday.
A key bullish trade came back on April 2 when a massive block of 1 million shares crossed the tape at $27.93.
That was up from the prior block at $27.90 on 33,480 shares. 
Tuesday a key bullish block came in the morning when 90,951 shares crossed the tape at $29.67. That was up from the prior block trade at $28.33 on 141,987 shares.
AXTA makes coatings and coatings systems.
The company offers waterborne and solvent borne coatings; liquid and powder coatings; and liquid coatings.
It provides a range of performance and transportation coatings for makers of light and commercial vehicles, the refinish aftermarket and for industrial applications.
AXTA's products and services include paint, color matching tools, application technologies and customer training, support and business management systems.
AXTA's six-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 50% versus a 9% gain for the S&P 500 index.
AXTA's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in November and trading at 21. The stock then advanced strongly to reach 28 later in the month.
It then pulled back but then rallied again to its all-time high of 31.13 Tuesday.
AXTA's daily chart shows the stock trading at 20 back in November. The stock climbed steadily to a peak near 28 by February. 
The stock has since put down a base above its rising 50-day moving average line.
The breakout Tuesday is ideal coming with a gap move and good volume.
The big volume three sessions ago reflects the massive block TTD pointed out earlier.
AXTA's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has rallied strongly and shows good buying.
This year, analysts are forecasting AXTA's earnings will climb to $1.08 a share from 12 cents the prior year.
Net for the upcoming first quarter should come in at 16 cents a share. There was no comparable results from a year ago.
Then for the second quarter net should climb to 30 cents a share. There was no comparable results from the prior quarter a year ago.
Going out to 2016, the Street projects a 26% gain in net to $1.36 a share from the anticipated $1.08 this year.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 26. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AXTA for a move to 36 off this breakout. That is up from our prior target of 35.
A protective stop can be placed near 28.
TTD rates AXTA an average intermediate-tem play.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The stake by Berkshire could draw in other institutions to the stock.
The largest fundholder currently is the 4-star rated Goldman Sachs Mid Cap Value fund with a 1% stake. It was a recent buyer of 2.3 million shares as a new position.
Also the 3-star rated Franklin Small-Mid Cap Growth Fund was a recent buyer of 1.6 million shares as a new position. It has a 0.70% stake.
AXTA has 230 million shares outstanding.
Insider Activity: Not available. Currently, 11 analysts follow the stock, 7 have a buy, the same as three months ago. AXTA has a book value of $4.55 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Axalta Coating Systems Ltd.. - (AXTA) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HOFT - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ATHM - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CUDA - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DTSI - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 2
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks today. Stock market fades and closes slightly lower. Bears be conservative and selective.
EVR, based in New York, provides investment banking services. Annual revenues: $916 million. EVR's stock falls sharply Tuesday undercutting key technical support. So far today, EVR is trading a heavy 1.8 million shares, five times its average daily volume of 337,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted EVR as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.
The stock was downgraded by UBS. It noted that EVR's main deals are in energy and that business has slowed.
EVR's stock gapped lower in the morning hitting a morning low of 46.85.
The stock then rallied slightly and then trended sideways until late in the day. Then it faded again falling to as low as 46.79.
The tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $50.66 a few sessions ago to as low as $47.14 Tuesday morning.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 29,873 shares crossed the tape at $47.35.
That was down from the prior block trade at $49.55 on 39,832 shares.
EVR provides advisory services to multinational firms. It includes advice on mergers, acquisitions, divestitures, restructurings and other strategic transactions.
EVR also manages private equity and venture capital funds for institutional investors.
Analysts have been estimating a 108% jump in EVR's net for the first quarter to 65 cents a share from 31 cents a year ago. However, UBS cut its EVR forecast by 25%.
For the year, analysts have been forecasting a 23% gain in EVR's net to $3.18 a share from $2.59 a year ago.
EVR's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower on big volume. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending lower indicating clear selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting EVR for a decline to 40 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 48.80.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EVR - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
