Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Friday, April 8, 2016 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 4, 2016 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 10
Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large but dominated by gold stocks. Bulls be selective.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish.
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GOLD - ABOVE AVERAGE |
GOLD, based in the Channel Islands, develops gold deposits in Sub-Saharan Africa. Annual revenues: $1 billion. GOLD's stock breaks out Friday from a seven-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a three-year high.
So far today, GOLD is trading 751,137 shares. Its average daily volume is 851,000 shares.
GOLD's breakout was supported by heavy buying in gold stocks both on Thursday and on Friday. The price of gold has been moving higher.
GOLD's 10-minute chart shows the stock moving higher in the morning and around clearing its breakpoint line. (see 10-minute chart).
The stock reached an intraday high of 94.83 in the early afternoon.
The stock backed off a bit later in the afternoon but held its breakout.
GOLD's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $92.42 in the morning to as high as $94.09 late on Friday.
However, a key bullish trade came on Thursday.
That is when a massive block of 131,100 shares crossed the tape at $92.65.
That was up from the prior block trade at $92.50 on 3,500 shares.
So, the tape showed significant accumulation prior to Friday's breakout.
GOLD holds interests in the Morila gold mine, the Loulo gold mine, and the Gounkoto gold mine, which are in Mali, West Africa.
It also has an interest in the Tongon mine situated within the Nielle exploitation permit in the north of Côte d Ivoire; and the Kibali mine located in the Democratic Republic of Congo.
The company was founded in 1995 and is based in St. Helier, the Channel Islands.
GOLD's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 35% versus a 3% decline in the stock market.
The stock moved sharply higher just before its prior earnings report.
GOLD's long-term chart shows the stock advancing from $21 in 2007 to an all-time peak of $127.27 in 2012.
The stock then pulled back to a trading range between $60 and $80.
This year, GOLD has emerged from that long-term trading range.
GOLD's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 60 in January to the mid-80s.
Friday, it breaks out from a well-formed flat base.
The base was set up above the rising 50-day moving average line.
That shows the stock is in a good overall up trend.
GOLD's CCI momentum indicator is solidly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) compliments the price action.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 25% increase in GOLD's earnings to $2.51 a share from $2.01 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 37. That is high. So, the stock is most appropriate for aggressive investors.
Going out to 2017, the Street is looking for a 15% increase in net to $2.88 a share from the anticipated $2.51 this year.
Net for the upcoming first quarter is expected to leap 37% to 70 cents a share from 51 cents a year ago.
Looking ahead to the second quarter, analysts expect flat net at 57 cents a share.
Strategy Opinion: Gold stocks are strong and breaking out now. GOLD is a leader and one with strong earnings growth.
TTD is targeting GOLD for a move to 110 off this breakout.
A protective stop can be placed near 89.
TTD rates GOLD an average intermediate-term play with a lot depending on the price of gold.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund buyer recently in GOLD was Fidelity Contrafund which purchased 247,600 shares. The 5-star rated fund has a 0.5% stake.
GOLD has 93.2 million shares outstanding.
Currently, 6 analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, down from 3 three months ago.
Insider Activity: Not available.
GOLD has a book value of $35.11 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Rangold Resources Ltd. - (GOLD) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FANG - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GTLS - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MBT - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DRD - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 6
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts with many falling on news. Bears be selective. Earnings to come in soon and that will have impact on stocks.
GPS, based in San Francisco, sells clothes through several retail outlets. Annual revenues: $15.8 billion. GPS's stock falls sharply Friday after the company reported disappointing March sales. So far today, GPS is trading 33.0 million shares, six times its average daily volume of 5.4 million shares.
TTD highlighted GPS as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.
The company said sales for the five weeks ending April 2 came in at $1.43 billion. That was below the $1.53 billion a year ago.
The company's comparable sales for March were down 6.5% against a rise of 2% the year before.
GPS's stock fell sharply in the morning undercutting key technical support.
The stock touched an intraday low of 23.51 around noon. It then trended sideways the rest of the day.
GPS's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $27.68 in the prior session to as low as $23.85.
The tape action shows heavy selling near the close Friday. That happened when a massive block of 340,025 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $23.85.
That was down from the prior block trade at $23.95 on 100,000 shares.
The tape action would indicate the possibility of GPS opening lower on Monday.
GPS operates stores under the Gap, Banana Republic, Old Navy, Athleta, and Intermix brands.
The company provides apparel, eyewear, jewelry, shoes, handbags, and fragrances; and performance and lifestyle apparel for use in yoga, strength training, and running, as well as seasonal sports, including skiing and tennis.
The company has franchise agreements with unaffiliated franchisees to operate Gap, Banana Republic, and Old Navy stores in Asia, Australia, Europe, Latin America, the Middle East, and Africa. As of January
Analysts are forecasting a 15% decline in GPS's net for the fiscal first quarter ending in April to 47 cents a share from 56 a year ago.
Net for the fiscal year ending in January of 2017 is expected to fall 7% to $2.23 a share from $2.41 the year before.
GPS's daily chart shows the gap drop and big volume. The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting GPS for a decline to 20 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 25.20.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GPS - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)