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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Friday, April 9

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Friday, April 9

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Investors Go To TTD Bargain Setups - Feature  - Monday, April 5

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday April 5


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short


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Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - April 9, 2010


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns.

(See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."

  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades"  (swing trades). Ideally suited for entry into stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Good for trading range markets

 (See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns

  (See Performance)


Conservative Bearish Investors  (swing traders).  "Bargain Bearish Plays" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for trading range markets with overall market down trend.

  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long  These are for conservative bullish Investors The strategy is called swing trading. These long buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. They are good for trading range markets. These stocks can give a good return in a week or two. They can also explode into a breakout and a powerful advance.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.

  TTD's Bearish bargain play stocks to sell short. These issues are usually in down trends and are poised to rollover after a minor rally. They often can provide a conservative bear with a good entry point.

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings.TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


                                                                               Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 13

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull side - Breakout expands today. Natural resource stocks still dominate the list. However, there some interesting plays in other sectors.  Stock market is extended and still vulnerable,  Bulls be careful and more conservative. Earnings will continue to flow in.

The action indicates money is not fleeing stocks.

(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE  Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish


Today's Featured Breakout Stock

Littlefuse Inc. (LFUS) - 40.57, up 1.38 - Breakpoint 39.75

Stock hits 52-week high, Net to Soar This Year, TTD Targets 50

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LFUS -  ABOVE AVERAGE

  LFUS, based in Chicago,  makes circuit protection products for the electronics industry. Annual revenues: $430 million. LFUS's stock breaks out from a five-week flat base today with a big pick up in volume. So far today, LFUS is trading 286,604 shares, almost triple its normal daily volume of 110,000 shares. The stock has made a new 52-week high and is in position to make a multi-year ago.

  TTD highlighted LFUS as a breakout at our midsession show on the Web Friday.

  LFUS's 10-minute chart shows the stock spiking higher in the morning. The stock then held its breakout through the day.

  The breakout intraday came with a good pick up in volume.

  The trigger for the breakout was LFUS boosting of its revenue and profit outlook. It said sales for the first quarter would be %144 million. That is better than the prior forecast of $130 to $138 million.

  The company said earnings for the first quarter would be 67 to 71 cents a share. The prior estimate was at 50 to 62 cents a share. A year ago, the company had a loss of 36 cents a share. The company said electronics and auto demand is exceeding expectations.  The forecast topped the highest estimate on the Street for the quarter, which was 66 cents a share.

  LFUS's clip of the tape shows the recent big blocks. A key trade came at the opening today when a big block of 20,295 shares crossed on a big up tick to $40.42. That was much more than the prior block trade that went off at $39.19. It showed aggressive institutional buying interest.

  LFUS  is a supplier of circuit protection products for the electronics industry.

  In the electronics market, the company supplies manufacturers, such as Alcatel-Lucent, Celestica, Delta, Flextronics, Foxconn, Hewlett-Packard, Huawei, IBM, Intel, Jabil, LG, Motorola, Nokia, Panasonic, Quanta, Samsung, Sanmina-SCI, Seagate, Siemens and Sony.

  It operates in three segments: Electronics, Automotive and Electrical. It also supplies BMW, Chrysler, Ford, General Motors, Hyundai Group and Volkswagen. On September 26, 2009, the Company sold its interest in Sumi Motherson, an Indian company.

   The past 12 months, LFUS's stock has appreciated 200%. That is much more than the 45% gain in the S&P 500 index.

   The stock's long-term chart shows the issue rallying back from its bear market low near 10 to 40. It is approaching long-term resistance at 45. A push through that zone would be very bullish.    

  

  LFUS's daily chart shows the stock advancing strongly from 25 to 40. The subsequent base was well formed and tight. It is short in duration, though. The breakout today comes with good volume.

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is slightly bullish.

  The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is lagging. It has been unable to rally as effectively as the stock's price did from the lows in February.

  So, one does need to be watchful of the stock.

  The Street has been forecasting a 311% rebound in earnings to $2.51 a share from the 61 cents a year ago. The year estimate will probably be bumped up to $2.65 a share.

  That would give the stock a price-earnings ratio of 15, which is reasonable.

  Going out to 2011, analysts look for a 13% gain in net.

  The company is benefiting greatly from the prick up in the economy.

  Net for the second quarter is expected to be 63 cents a share, up from 10 cents a year ago.

  Strategy Opinion: LFUS is a big upside earnings surprise breakout stock. TTD is targeting LFUS for a move to 50 within the next few months. A protective stop can be placed near 37 giving it room. TTD rates LFUS a good intermediate-term play with potential to surprise further on the upside.

  Sponsorship: Very Good. A key fund holder is Lord Abbett Small-Cap Value Fund, 5-star rated, which has a 5% stake. It was a recent buyer of 406,273 shares. LFUS has 21.8 million shares outstanding.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Not much activity recently. Four analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, up from one three months ago.



  Stock Performance Chart for 12 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.    


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating

Littlefuse Inc. (LFUS)

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume YES    
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term     YES
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term     YES
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES    
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 12 0 2

All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)


  


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SWK - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - COP -  ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DVA -  ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IVN - AVERAGE


Weekly - Conservative Investors Bearish (swing traders) - Go To TTD Bargain Short Trade Setups - Monday, March 29

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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 2

Stocks Screened - 8,2007

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Very few bear plays as stock market holds in up trend.  TTD's short play from Thursday was  Compellent Technologies Inc. (CML) - 13.29, down 4.27. Today, the stock has declined to 12.28. It is working well for bears. The company put out a disappointing forecast and JP Morgan downgraded the stock.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)

  


Commentary on TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Humana Inc. (HUM) - 44.92, down 1.39

Stock Cuts Below Support, Net to Drop, TTD Sees Decline to 36

  HUM, based in Louisville, Ky.,  is a health and supplemental benefits company. Annual revenues: $31 billion. HUM's stock cuts below key support today and starts to pick up volume. The company is expected to report lower earnings for this year. So far today, HUM is trading 2.3 million shares. Its average daily volume is 2.2 million shares.

  HUM's stock moved lower at the opening and worked lower until the early afternoon. The stock touched a low of 44.58. It then had a slight lift and then trended sideways. It was unable to mount a rebound.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows HUM's big block trades. One can see the price of the blocks declining from $46.10 to $44.69. A key trade was a big block of  15,304 shares that crossed at $45.52. That was down sharply from the prior block trade $46.36.

  The tape action showed clear institutional selling pressure.

  HUM  offers health and supplemental benefit products for employer groups, government benefit programs, and individuals.

 The Company provides health insurance benefits under health maintenance organization (HMO), private fee-for-service (PFFS) and preferred provider organization (PPO) plans. In addition, it provides other benefits with its specialty products, including dental, vision and other supplementary benefits.

  This year, analysts forecast an 11% decline in HUM's earnings to $5.50 a share from $6.15 a year ago. There will be weak results in the first half. The Street looks for a 6% decline in profits in the first quarter and a 14% drop in the second quarter.

    HUM's stock breaks below key support today. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has been bearish for several weeks.

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting HUM for a decline to 36 within the next few months. A protective stop buy can be placed near 47. TTD rates HUM a trading short.



TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)