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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 2 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 2
Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Just a few breakouts today. Stock market now in a consolidation within an up trend. Bulls be patient, selective and watchful of all stops.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RLOG - AVERAGE |
RLOG, based in New York, provides bulk freight shipping services throughout the Great Lakes region. Annual revenues: $146 million. RLOG's stock breaks out today from an eight-week flat base. The move carries the stock close to a new all-time high. It needs to top $9.10. So far today, RLOG is trading 45,728 shares. Its average daily volume is 34,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted RLOG as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
RLOG's 10-minute chart shows the stock gapping out of its base in the morning. The stock held over its breakpoint through the session.
The stock did attempt a breakout last week, but slipped back.
RLOG is a thinly-traded issue. So, it is most suitable for aggressive investors.
TTD's clip of the tape shows RLOG's recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $8.50 to as high as $8.97. A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 4,143 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $8.75. That was up from the prior block trade at $8.66.
The tape action showed good buying.
RLOG operates a fleet of ten self-unloading bulk carriers, including eight River Class vessels and one River Class integrated tug/barge unit, and three conventional bulk carriers, of which one is operated under a contract of affreightment.
The company is the only carrier able to offer significant domestic port-to-port services in both Canada and the U.S. on the Great Lakes.
RLOG's vessels operate under the U.S. Jones Act which dictates that only ships that are built, crewed and owned by U.S. citizens can operate between U.S. ports and the Canada Marine Act which requires Canadian commissioned ships to operate between Canadian ports.
RLOG's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 10% versus a 5% gain for the S&P 500 index. Notice on the chart the green bars which indicated insider buying.
RLOG's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in late 2004 and trading around 4. The stock climbed to a peak of 7.35 by mid 2007. The stock then fell to 2 during the bear market which ended in 2009. Since then RLOG's stock has climbed to close to 9. It is now in a strong up trend long-term
RLOG's daily chart shows the stock breaking out from a base at 7 in February. The stock then got to around 8.70 and then formed a new base.
Now, RLOG is breaking out again and resuming its up trend. The most recent base was set up above a rising 50-day moving average line. That is bullish.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in an up trend. That shows solid buying in the stock in recent weeks.
Analysts expect net for the fiscal year ending March of 2012 to come in at 33 cents a share compared with a loss of 10 cents a share a year ago.
For the fiscal fourth quarter ending in March, the Street expects a smaller loss of 56 cents a share compared with a loss of 91 cents a share a year ago.
Looking ahead to fiscal 2013 ending in March, analysts predict a 30% gain in net to 43 cents a share from the anticipated 33 cents a share for fiscal 2012. 
One can see on our table that RLOG has topped the consensus estimate of earnings nicely the past two quarters.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting RLOG for a move to 12 within the next few months. A protective stop can be placed near 7.70. The stock is best for an aggressive investors.
TTD sees RLOG as an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund holder is Columbia Small Cap Core Z Fund with a 3.5% stake. The 4-star rated fund has kept its position steady. A key buyer recently was 2-star rated Dean Small Cap Value Fund which purchased 82,224 shares. RLOG has 17.7 million shares outstanding.
Insider Activity: Bullish. Insiders have been recent buyers at around $8.40 a share. They have done no selling. Two analysts follow the stock and both have a buy, the same as three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers
Insider Activity - Buying in Green - Selling in Red
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Rand Logistics Inc. - (RLOG) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 11 | 1 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TITN - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 18
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Large number of breakdown stocks today. Bears be selective since stock market is still in an overall up trend and now basing. TTD's short from Wednesday was Webmed Health Corp. (WBMD) at 23.26. It is now trading at $23.09 and working well for bears.
BPI, based in San Diego, provides postsecondary education services. Annual revenues: $933 million. BPI's stock falls sharply today in heavy trading. The move causes the stock to cut sharply below near-term support. The company is expected to show a loss this year. So far today, BPI is trading a heavy 711,161 shares, double its normal daily volume of 341,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
BPI's stock moved lower in the morning and continued to trend South through the rest of the day. There was a dose of heavy selling in the late morning when volume intraday picked up.
BPI's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $23.84 to $31.59. A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 5,000 shares crossed the tape at $22.70. That was down from the prior block at $23.03.
BPI offers associate's, bachelor's, master's, and doctoral programs in business, education, psychology, social sciences, and health sciences.
The company delivers its programs online, as well as at its traditional campuses located in Clinton, Iowa and Colorado Springs, Colorado.
This year, analysts forecast a 15% decline in net to $2.58 a share from $3.02 a year ago. Net for the upcoming first quarter should drop 20% to 74 cents a share from 92 cents a year ago.
BPI's chart shows the stock cutting below support. The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) has turned bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BPI for a decline to 17 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 22.80.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock -BPI - AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
