Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Monday, April 13, 2015 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 13, 2015 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
---|
By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
---|
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 14
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with many low-rated medicals moving out. Bulls be selective. Stock market continues sideways pattern.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - JBLU - ABOVE AVERAGE |
BLU, based in Long Island City, N.Y., provides passenger service in the U.S. and Latin America., Annual revenues: $5.8 billion. JBLU breaks out today from a five week flat base. The move carries the stock to an 11-year high. Its all-time is 31.46 set back in 2003.
So far today, JBLU is trading a heavy 10.6 million shares. Its average daily volume is 7.2 million shares.
TTD highlighted JBLU as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
JBLU's stock soared in the morning clearing its breakpoint and hitting an intraday high of 20.25.
The stock then backed off a bit but held over its breakpoint line even though the stock marker declined in the afternoon.
The stock got a boost from a strong traffic report for March and bullish comments from Raymond James.
JBLU's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $19.03 in the prior session to as high as $20.22 Monday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning.
That is when a massive block of 129,480 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $19.31.
That was up form the prior block at $19.05 on 140,910 shares in the prior session.
JBLU provides air transportation services in the United States, the Caribbean, and Latin America.
It operates a fleet of 13 Airbus A321 aircraft, 130 Airbus A320 aircraft, and 60 EMBRAER 190 aircraft.
The company also services 87 destinations in 27 states and the District of Columbia.
It flies to Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and 15 countries in the Caribbean and Latin America.
JBLU was founded in 1998
JBLU's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 140% versus an 20% gain for the S&P 500 index.
JBLU's long-term chart shows the stock hitting a peak of $17 in 2007. The stock then trended lower hitting bottom at $3 in 2008 due to the bear market.
Afterwards the stock trended mostly sideways until 2013 when it turned up. The past two years the stock has advanced from 5 to 19. The breakout Wednesday carries the stock to a multi-year high. That could bring in more buying.
JBLU's daily chart shows the stock advancing from around 9 back in November to a peak around 19 by March.
The stock then formed its flat base above its rising 50-day moving average line.
The breakout Monday carries the stock to a new multi-year high.
The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) compliments the recent rise in the stock.
The AD line has been in a good up trend showing solid buying in recent months.
JBLU is poised to show strong earnings this year.
Analysts are forecasting a 140% surge in profits to $1.68 a share from 70 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of just 11. That is low given the current growth rate.
Going out to 2016, the Street expects a 6% rise in net to $1.78 a share from the anticipated $1.68 this year.
Net for the upcoming first quarter should soar to 36 cents a share from one cent a year ago.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 40 cents a share.
Going out to the second quarter, analysts expect a 122% leap in net to 42 cents a share from 19 cents a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting JBLU for a trip to 24.50 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 18.
TTD rates JBLU a very good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is the 5-star rated Fidelity Growth Fund with a 4% stake. It has held its position steady.
The largest fund buyer recently was the 5-star rated Lord Abbett Developing Growth Fund which purchased 2.5 million shares as a new position. It has a 0.79% stake.
JBLU has 311 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 83% of the stock and insiders 17%.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were recent light sellers of the stock around $19. They bought with options around $10 to $14. Currently, 17 analysts follow the stock, 7 have a buy, down from 8 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Jetblue Airways Corp. - (JBLU) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ISRG - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VICR - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AVID - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EWBC - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts today. Stock market fades and closes lower. Bears be selective.
WNR, based in Woodlands, Tex., is a crude oil refiner and marketer. Annual revenues: $1.3 billion. WNR's stock breaks to the downside and undercuts key support. So far today, WNR is trading 1.8 million shares - that is also its average daily volume.
TTD highlighted WNR as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.
WNR's stock cut below key support in the morning and trended lower for most of the day.
It hit an intraday low of 42.88 in the afternoon. It then lifted slightly in the final hour.
WNR's tape action shows the price for the stock falling from $45.31 in the morning to as low as $43.25 in the afternoon.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 4,000 shares crossed the tape at $45.05.
That was down from the prior block trade at $45.31 on 28,880 shares.
WNR operates its refining primarily in the Southwestern region of the United States. That would include Arizona, New Mexico, and West Texas.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 12% decline in WNR's earnings to $4.06 a share from $4.63 in the prior year. Going out to 2016 analysts look for a 4% rise in net to $4.23 a share from the anticipated $4.06 this year.
WNR's daily chart shows the stock breaking down from a head-and-shoulder pattern. The move also cuts below key technical support. WNR's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a downtrend showing clear selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting WNR for a decline to 36 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 45.20.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WNR - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)