Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Monday. April 14, 2014

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Monday, April 14  2014

Ticker Tape Digest

Monday - April 14, 2014

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 5

Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW  AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list small and quality is low. Stock market still trying to bottom after recent selloff. Bulls be patient and selective.  

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

    Stock Market Momentum

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Monday

(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Athlon Energy Inc. (ATHL) - 39.06, up 1.11 - Breakpoint 38.53

Net to Soar 54% This Year and Next, TTD Targets 48

   ATHL, based in Fort Worth, Tex., is an oil and gas exploration company. Annual revenues: $299 million. ATHL's stock breaks out today from an eight-week flat base. The stock has been a strong performer since coming public in July of last year at $26. So far today, ATHL is trading 750,827 shares. Its average daily volume is 537,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted ATHL as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Monday.

  The stock broke out in the morning cutting across its breakpoint line. The stock hit an intraday peak of 39.65 around noon (see 10-minute chart)

  The stock then slipped below the breakpoint line in the afternoon as the stock market weakened and the Nasdaq fell into negative territory.

  However, ATHL lifted just over the breakpoint line late in the day.

  ATHL's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $37.47 a few session ago to as high as $39.09 on Monday.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 15,000 shares crossed the tape at $38.35.

  That was up from the prior block trade at $38.15 on 8,900 shares.   

  ATHL is an oil and gas exploration and production company.

  It is focused on the acquisition, development and exploitation of unconventional oil and liquids-rich natural gas reserves primarily in the Permian Basin.

   The Permian Basin spans portions of Texas and New Mexico and is composed of three primary sub-basins: the Delaware Basin, the Central Basin Platform, and the Midland Basin.

  All of the properties are located in the Midland Basin. The company’s drilling activity is primarily engaged in the low-risk vertical development of stacked pay zones, including the Clearfork, Spraberry, Wolfcamp, Cline, Strawn, Atoka, and Mississippian formations, referred to as the Wolfberry play, and horizontal development of the Wolfcamp.

  ATHL's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 40% versus an 18% gain for the S&P 500 index.

  ATHL's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in July of last year at 26. It rose to a peak of 34.58 by October. It then pulled back to 26 by January of this year.

  However, since then the stock has pushed strongly higher. The breakout to a new high could bring in more buying on Tuesday.

  ATHL's daily chart shows the stock forming a flat base after an advance from 28 in January to around 38.

  Most of the basing work was above the rising 50-day moving average line, which is bullish.

  The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.

  However, the accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a down trend. That was started in February when there was heavy volume

  This year, analysts are forecasting a 54% surge in profits to $1.45 a share from 94 cents a year ago.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 26. TTD sees that as attractive given the projected earnings growth.

  Looking out to 2015, analysts predict a 54% gain to $2.22 a share from the anticipated $1.45 in 2014.

  Earnings for the upcoming first quarter should surge 416% to 26 cents a share from 5 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 27 cents a share.

  The company at times has topped the consensus by a wide margin.

  Going out to the second quarter, analysts predict a 32% gain in net to 30 cents a share from 23 cents a year ago.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ATHL for a move to 48 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 35.50 giving it some room. The company has the aided help of strong bullish action in the energy sector.

  TTD rates ATHL a very good intermediate-term play.

  Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is the 5-star rated T.Rowe Price New Horizons Fund with a 0.84% stake. It was a recent buyer of 693,700 shares, a new position.

  Also, the 5-star rated Hodges Small Cap Fund was a recent purchaser of 89,000 shares.

  ATHL has 82 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 89% of the stock.

 Insider Activity: Bullish. Insiders have been getting stock options and have done some light purchasing. However, they have not bought much. That would indicate they may be waiting for higher prices.

  Currently, 8 analysts follow the stock, 6 have a buy, up from 4 three months ago.

Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 7

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.

Bear Side - Small list of shorts today, but some interesting plays. Stock market lifts after recent drop. Bears remain selective. TTD's short from Friday was Overtstock.com (OSTK) at 17.69. Today, the stock has declined to 17.34 and is working well for bears.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Gogo Inc. (GOGO) - 16.58, down 1.61

Loss Projected for This Year, TTD Sees Drop to 13

  GOGO, based in Itasca, Il., provides in-flight connectivity and wireless digital entertainment. Annual revenues:$328 million. GOGO's stock falls sharply today setting off a TTD short play. So far today, GOGO is trading a heavy 5.6 million shares, almost double its average daily volume of 2.9 million shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

 GOGO' stock fell in the morning and continued lower into the mid-afternoon when I made an intraday low of 16.44.

  The stock then trended sideways into the close unable to mount a significant rally.

  GOGO's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $20.75 a few sessions ago to as low as $16.55.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 20,000 shares crossed the tape at $17.57. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $18.82.

  GOGO offers in-flight connectivity and wireless digital entertainment solutions. It operates through Commercial Aviation and Business Aviation segments.

The company provides equipment for in-flight connectivity with voice and data services, wireless digital entertainment solutions.

This year, analysts are forecasting GOGO will show a loss of 88 cents a share, the same deficit as last year. For the first quarter, analysts look for a loss of 24 cents a share compared with a loss of 18 cents a share the year before.

 GOGO's daily chart shows the stock cutting below technical support with a pick up in volume. GOGO's accumulation - distribution line is in a steady down trend showing clear selling pressure.

   Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting GOGO for a decline to 13 with the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 18.

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2014

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)