Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Friday, April 15, 2016 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 11, 2016 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Bulls can be venturesome. Stock market remains in up trend. Earnings reports will be need to watched closely now.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - JBT - ABOVE AVERAGE |
JBT, based in Chicago, makes products and systems for the food, beverage and air transportation industries. Annual revenues: $1.1 billion. JBT's stock breaks out Friday from a six-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. That is bullish.
So far today, JBT is trading 183,385 shares. Its average daily volume is 193,000 shares.
JBT's stock moved higher in the morning to clear its breakpoint line.
The stock reached its intraday peak at 58.32 in the morning.
The stock then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day holding the bulk of its gain.
JBT's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $56.73 in the prior session to as high as $58.32.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 4,200 shares crossed the tape at $56.74.
That was up from the prior block trade at $56.73 on 20,424 shares (duplicated).
JBT operates through JBT FoodTech and JBT AeroTech segments.
The company provides protein product solutions that include mixing/grinding, injecting, marinating, tumbling, portioning, coating, frying, and freezing for poultry, beef, pork, and seafood.
The process also covers ready-to-eat meals, fruits, vegetables, dairy, and bakery products; and liquid food solutions for filling and sterilization of fruits, vegetables, soups, sauces, dairy, and pet food products.
In another area, JBT also sells automatic guided vehicles for use in material handling for the manufacturing and warehouse industries.
In addition, JBT provides mobile air transportation equipment, such as commercial and military cargo loading, aircraft deicing, aircraft towing, and ground aircraft power and cooling systems and airport gate equipment for passenger boarding.
JBT's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 62% versus a breakeven for the stock market.
Most importantly one can see heavy insider buying in February (green bars on chart)
JBT's long-term chart shows the stock coming public back in 2008 at $14.45. The stock fell to $5.85 later in the year due to the bear market.
However, it soon rallied back to around 20 by late 209. It then trended in a long-term basing pattern. It broke out to the upside in 2013 and has since charged ahead making about a three-fold move.
JBT's daily chart shows the stock climbing to around 56 in March.
It then put down a tight flat base above its rising 50-day moving average line.
The breakout clears resistance with modest volume.
It will be important to see a follow through move.
JBT's CCI momentum indicator is bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) compliments the price action.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 20% increase in JBT's earnings to $2.25 a share from $1.88 a year ago.
JBT sells with a price-earnings ratio of 25. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to 2017, the Street looks for a 23% rise in net to $2.76 a share from the anticipated $2.25 this year.
Net for the upcoming first quarter is expected to be down 4% to 26 cents a share from 27 cents a year ago.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 26 cents.
TTD sees good chances for an upside earnings surprise.
JBT topped the consensus estimate the past eight quarters. (see table)
Net for the second quarter is expected to be up 25% to 60 cents a share from 48 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting JBT for a move to 70 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 54.
TTD rates JBT an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund buyer recently was the 3-star rated RS Small Cap Growth A Fund which purchased 636,101 shares as a new position. It has a 2.2% stake.
The largest fund holder is the 4-star rated T. Rowe Price Small-Cap Stock Fund with a 4.8% stake. It recently sold 20,700 shares.
JBT has 29.2 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 95% of the stock and insiders have 3%.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders were light sellers the past few months at $55.
Currently, 3 analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, the same as three months ago.
JBT has a book value of $4.40 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating John Bean Technologies Corp. - (JBT) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EBIX - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BURL - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MIK - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MPX - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks Friday, but some very interesting plays. Earnings now starting to impact stocks. Bears be venturesome. TTD's short from Thursday Seagate (STX) at 27.11 falls another 1.52 Friday. It is now at 25.59.
XXIA, based in Calabasas, Ca., produces hardware and software used for monitoring and checking performance. Annual revenues: $517 million. XXIA's stock falls sharply Friday after the company forecasted a loss for the first quarter and lower than expected revenues.
TTD highlighted XXIA as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.
So far today, XXIA is trading a heavy 3.2 million shares, ten times its average daily volume of 289,000 shares.
XXIA said it expects a first quarter loss of 3 to 5 cents a share fully diluted. It had previously said the firm had potential to show a breakeven.
Revenues are expected to be $108 to $111 million. It had been forecasting $121 to $126 million.
XXIA's stock fell sharply in the morning touching an intraday low of 9.70.
The stock lifted slightly and then trended sideways the rest of the day.
XXIA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling form $12.01 a few session ago to as low as $9.95 Friday morning.
A key bearish trade came when a block of 50,000 shares crossed the tape at $9.95. That was down from the prior block at $12.01 on 39,300 shares.
XXIA provides application performance and security solutions to businesses.
The company offers hardware platforms, such as chassis; interface cards that generate, receive, and analyze various traffic types at multiple network layers; and network visibility solutions, which enable network visibility into physical and virtual networks, and optimizes monitoring tool performance.
This year, analysts were estimating a 13% increase in net to 56 cents a share from 50 cents a year ago. However, that forecast will come down. Net for the upcoming second quarter is expected to drop 27% to 11 cents a share from 15 cents a year before.
XXIA's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume. The stock's CCI momentum indicator has turned very bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting XXIA for a decline to 7.70 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 11.60.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - XXIA - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)