Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Friday, April 17, 2015

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance - Thursday, April 16, 2015

Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - April 17, 2015

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.

  Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8

Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW AVERAGE

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Bull side - Breakout list extremely selective. Stock market falls sharply. It remains in a trading range. Bulls be conservative as earnings will now be reported.

 (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

    Stock Market Momentum

Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish 

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Friday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  

Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Kaiser Aluminum Corp. (KALU) - 78.59, up 1.45 - Breakpoint 78.38

Net to Jump 34% This Year, TTD Targets 90

  KALU, based in Foothill Ranch, Ca., produces semi-fabricated specialty aluminum products. Annual revenues: $1.4 billion. KALU's stock breaks out today from an eight-week flat base. The move comes even thought the stock market fall sharply.

   So far today, KALU is trading 228,128 shares. Its average daily volume is 234,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted KALU as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.

  KALU's stock shot higher in the morning cutting across its breakpoint line.

  The stock hit an intraday peak of 79.49 in the morning. The stock then trended sideways into the afternoon.

  Then late in the day KALU back off a bit but managed to hold above its breakpoint line.

  KALU tends not to show a lot of volatility even though it has a beta of  0.98.

  The beta of the stock market is 1.00

  KALU's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $76.88 a few sessions ago to a peak of $78.77 Friday.

  A key bullish trade came when a block of 15,780 shares traded late on Thursday at $77.14.

  That was up from the prior block of $76.88 on 3,500 shares the prior day.

  KLU offers rolled, extruded, and drawn aluminum products used principally for aerospace, automotive, consumer durables, electronics, electrical, and machinery.

  Its aerospace and high strength products include heat treat plates and sheets, cold finish rods and bars, seamless drawn tubes, hard alloy extrusions, and billets.

 KALU's makes aluminum products for structural components, bumpers, anti-lock braking systems, and drawn tube for drive shafts in automobile industry.

  KALU's 3-year performance chart shows the stock appreciating 62% versus a 50% gain for the stock market.

  One can see heavy insider buying in 2014 (green bar) and the stock pushed higher afterwards.

  KALU's long-term chart shows the stock coming public back in 2006 at 35. The stock climbed to an all-time peak of 89.24 in 2007, the top in the prior bull market.

  The stock then headed sough during the ensuing bear market. KALU fell to 15 in late 2008.

  However, since then KALU has been climbing steadily having reached a peak of 81 in 2014.  It has been basing since.

  KALU's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 69 back in January to a peak near 78 by February.

  The stock then put down a flat base with a bullish wedge to the upside developed from its lows in the base.

  That is bullish.

  Also, one can see a significant contraction in volume during the basing work. That is bullish too.

   KALU's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.

   The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) compliments the price action.

   This year, analysts are forecasting a robust 34% jump in KALU's earnings to $4.54 a share from $3.38 a year ago.

   The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 17. TTD sees that as attractive to value-growth investors.

   Looking ahead to 2016, the Street projects an 18% gain in net to $5.38 a share from the anticipated $4.54 this year.

   Net for the upcoming first quarter will be very strong. The Street expects a 42% jump in net to $1.02 a share from 72 cents the year before.

  The highest estimate on the Street is at $1.22 a share.

   Going out to the second quarter, analysts expect a 14% rise in net to $1.19 a share from $1.05 in the prior year.

  Strategy Opinion: KALU is a conservative play but one that has all the numbers to move higher. TTD is targeting KALU for a move to 90 within the next few months, or sooner. There is a chance for a stock.

  A protective stop can be placed near 75 giving it some room.

  TTD rates KALU a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.

  Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund holder is DFA US Small Cap Value II Fund with a 3.6% stake. It has held its position steady.

  The 3-star rated Delaware Small Cap Value A Fund was a recent purchaser of 6,500 shares. It has a 2.8% stake.

  KALU has 17.5 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 90% of the stock and insiders 3%.

 Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders have been light sellers around $76 recently.

  Currently, 10 analysts follow the stock, 6 have a buy, up from 5 three months ago. KALU has a book value of $58.22.   

Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 18

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Big list of breakdown stocks as stock market falls sharply. Bears be selective.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Rentrak Corp. (RENT) - 50.17, down 2.10

Bigger Loss Expected This Year,  TTD Sees Drop to 42

  RENT, based in Portland, Ore., is a media measurement and research firm. Annual revenues: $96 million. RENT's stock falls sharply Friday. The move sends the stock below its key near-term support. So far today, RENT is trading 201,243 shares. Its average daily volume is 223,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted RENT as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.

  The stock moved lower in the morning, had a slight lift, and then proceeded to fall further in the afternoon.

  RENT's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks declining from $53.31 a few sessions ago to as low as $50.15 Friday.

  A key bearish trade on Friday came in the morning when a block of 4,096 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $51.53.

  That was down from the prior trade late on Thursday at $52.47 on 3,504 shares (duplicated).

  RENT provides media measurements for the entertainment industry.

  With a reach across numerous platforms including box office, multi-screen television, and home video, RENT collects data  for evaluation by the ad industry.

  This fiscal year ending in March of 2015, analysts forecast a loss of 70 cents a share compared with a loss of 59 cents the year before.

  Going out to fiscal 2016 ending in March, the Street predicts a loss of 17 cents a share.

  RENT's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower in February. The stock then trended sideways. Today, it undercuts key support.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting RENT for a decline to 42 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 52.

TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2014

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)