Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 16, 2018 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Wednesday - April 18, 2018
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 25
Quality of Breakouts - Above Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts with some good looking plays. Railroad, truck and energy stocks moving out.
Stock market - Bullish. - Ally major averages are bullish in all time zones. Technically on a daily basis the stock market is in a trading range and moving north.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bullish, |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - REI - ABOVE AVERAGE |
REI, based in Tulsa, Okla., explores and develops properties for oil and natural gas. Annual revenues: $66.7 million. REI's stock drives sharply higher Wednesday and breaks out from a 15-week flat base.
The company reported on its well production in the first quarter and said it was twice as much as the year before.
So far today, REI is trading a heavy 1.3 million shares, more than double its average daily volume of 486,000 shares.
REI's stock rose slightly in the morning, trended sideways and then late in the day cut across its breakpoint line.
The stock finished near its high for the day. That is bullish.
Tape Action
REI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $15.11 in the prior session to as high as $16.41.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 8,431 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $15.41.
That was up from the prior block trade the day before at $15.11 on 17,579 shares.
Late in the day a series of blocks traded at $16.41 . That was up from the prior block trade in the sequence at $16.29 on 10,900 shares.
So, there was strong buying into the close.
Business
REI's explores mostly in Texas and Kansas. Its operations cover oil and gas exploration and production.
The company's primary drilling operations target the Central Basin Platform in Andrews County and Gaines County, Texas, and Delaware Basin in Reeves County and Culberson County, Texas.
REI has 14,647 gross acres in Kansas with proved reserves of about 27.7 million barrel of oil equivalent.
Charts
REI's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 32% versus a 17% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were buyers late last year at $2 a share using stock options. They have been sellers late in 2017 at $13.80 to $14.45.
REI's long-term chart shows the stock advancing from $3 in 2011 to a peak at $20.61 in 2014.
The stock then trended lower down to $4 by 2016. However, since then the stock has moved higher making a fourfold move.
REI's daily chart shows the stock advancing from $13 back in December to a peak near $16 by February.
The stock pulled back and formed a double-bottom base.
It rallied the past several sessions and now on Wednesday it breaks out with a pick up in volume.
REI's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook:
This year, analysts are forecasting a robust 238% surge in net to 71 cents a share from the 21 cents the year before.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 23. TTD sees that as attractive for value-growth investors.
Looking out to 2019, the Street predicts an 85% jump in net to $1.31 a share from the anticipated 71 cents this year.
Quarterly earnings growth will be strong.
Net for the first quarter is expected to surge 333% to 13 cents a share from the 3 cents the year before.
The company tends to come in at the Street estimate, or slightly top it.
Net for the second quarter is projected to jump 300% to 16 cents a share from the 4 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting REI for a move to $21 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near $15.20.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Above Average.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Modestly Bullish- REI has tended to score just modest gains off its recent breakouts. However, the stock has scored some big gains in the past.
Probability - Earnings Response - Neutral REI rose one time after the past 2 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Extremely Bullish. - REI rose an average of 20.5% in April and 5.1% in May the past several years.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
4% |
1/11/2018 |
15.14 |
15.70 |
1/12/2018 |
4% |
9/27/2017 |
13.90 |
14.49 |
9/29/2017 |
10% |
8/18/2016 |
10.52 |
11.64 |
10/10/2016 |
34% |
3/28/2014 |
15.14 |
20.35 |
6/5/2014 |
66% |
6/25/2013 |
8.10 |
13.50 |
9/4/2013 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating Ring Energy Inc. (REI) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 11 | 0 | 3 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CSX - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ODFL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WEX - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - XPO - ABOVE AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 3
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks Wednesday. Bears be conservative.
TTD's short from Tuesday was Ladder Capital Corp. (LADR) at $14.32. It fell to $14.24 on Wednesday and is working well for bears.
DLNG, based in Monaco, is a limited partnership operating liquid natural gas carriers. Annual revenues: $139 million. DLNG's stock drops sharply Wednesday and undercuts key technical support. TTD sees more on the downside.
DLNG is trading a heavy 1.1 million shares, nine times its average daily volume of 114,000 shares.
TTD highlighted DLNG as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
DLNG's stock fell sharply in the morning and undercut key technical support. The stock fell to a low of $9.12 but then bounced up to around $9.50.
The stock lifted a bit near the close.
Tape Action
DLNG's tape action shows the recent block trades.
DLNG's tape shows a key bearish block in the morning crossing the tape at $9.25 on 9,500 shares.
That was down from the prior block trade at $9.50 on 9,200 shares.
Business
DLNG's ships are employed on multi-year time charters with international energy companies.
It has a fleet of six LNG carriers, consisting of the three LNG carriers in its Initial Fleet, the Clean Energy, the Ob River and the Amur River and three 2013-built Ice Class LNG carriers that the Company acquired from its Sponsor the Arctic Aurora, the Yenisei River, and the Lena River.
The vessels in its Fleet have an average age of 6.6 years and are contracted under multi-year charters with Shell, Gazprom, Statoil and Yamal.
Earnings:
This year, analysts are forecasting a 49% drop in DLNG's net to 38 cents a share from 74 cents the year before.
For the upcoming first quarter, net is expected to fall 54% to 17 cents a share from 37 cents the year before.
Charts:
DLNG's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with big volume. The stock has been in an overall down trend since it peaked out near $25 back in 2014.
DLNG's 12-month performance char shows the stock down 42% versus a 17% gain for the stock market.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting DLNG for a decline to $7.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $10.10.
Suitability: Average Bears.
TTD's special probability research of Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Neutral. DLNG rose 2 times after the past 4 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Activity - Slightly Bullish. DLNG rose an average of 6.5% in April but declined 2.5% in May the past several years.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DLNG - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.
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TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)