Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 23, 2018 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Thursday - April 26, 2018
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 17
Quality of Breakouts - Average.
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Bull side - Large list of breakouts as several stocks move higher on favorable earnings.
Stock market - Bearish. Most daily and weekly averages remain bearish. Monthly is bullish. Stock market still in a trading range. Volatility will continue as earnings are reported.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bearish |
Dow - Bearish |
Dow - Bullish, |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bearish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BEAT - ABOVE AVERAGE |
BEAT, based in Malvern, Pa., provides monitoring services for the healthcare industry. Annual revenues: $286 million. BEAT breaks out Thursday from a 14-week flat base. The move carries the stock close to a new all-time high.
So far today, BEAT is trading a heavy 1.6 million shares, five times its average daily volume of 264,000 shares.
TTD highlighted BEAT as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
The breakout was triggered by better-than-expected earnings.
BEAT reported net for the first quarter of 39 cents a share. That topped the consensus estimate of 23 cents a share.
BEAT's 10-minute chart shows the stock gapping higher in the morning and clearing its breakpoint line.
The stock reached an intraday high of $39.20 in the morning.
The stock then pulled back to around $38 and trended sideways the rest of the day.
Tape Action
BEAT's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $33.75 in the prior session to as high as $39.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 15,665 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $35.90.
A big block of 20,438 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $38.15 near the close.
That came on an up tick from the prior trade at $381.2 on 100 shares.
Business
BEAT provides monitoring services and digital health management in a healthcare setting, medical device manufacturing and centralized laboratory services for clinical research.
The company operates in three segments: Healthcare, Technology and Research.
BEAT's healthcare segment, CardioNet, LLC and Heartcare Corporation of America, Inc., monitors cardiac arrhythmias, or heart rhythm disorders.
The research unit operating as Cardiocore, LLC and VirtualScopics, Inc., provides laboratory services for cardiac monitoring, imaging services, scientific consulting and data management for drug, medical treatment and device trials.
Charts
BEAT's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 15% versus a 12% gain for the stock market.
BEAT insiders were recent buyers at $6.95 and $7.20 a share. They were sellers at $34.17 and $28.14.
BEAT's long-term chart shows the stock making a bottom in 2012 at $2.29 a share. The stock has since embarked on a big advance climbing to a peak of $39.20 last year. It then backed off to around $25, but has since come on again.
BEAT's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $24 back in November to a peak near $35 by January.
The stock then put down a three-month flat base.
The breakout Thursday is powerful coming with a big expansion in volume.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook:
This year, analysts are forecasting a 32% jump in net to $1.28 a share from the 97 cents the year before.
The stock sells wit a price-earnings ratio of 29. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Looking out to 2019, analysts predict a 17% rise in net to $1.50 a share from the anticipated $1.28 this year.
Quarterly earnings growth should acceleration in growth. That is bullish.
Net for the second quarter is expected to climb 30% to 30 cents a share from 23 cents the year before. Two analysts follow the stock.
Then in the third quarter, they analysts expect a 63% surge in net to 26 cents a share from the 16 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BEAT for a move to $45 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near $35.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Above Average.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stock's Prior Performance:
Probability - Breakout Success - Extremely Bullish - BEAT has scored some big gains off its recent breakouts.
Probability - Earnings Response - Neutral - BEAT rose 4 times after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Success - Very Bullish - BEAT rose an average of 8.1% in April and 2.8% in May the past several years.
Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
14% |
7/14/2017 |
33.56 |
38.45 |
9/8/2017 |
43% |
2/14/2017 |
23.70 |
33.90 |
5/2/2017 |
20% |
7/20/2016 |
17.72 |
21.30 |
8/18/2016 |
67% |
4/26/2016 |
12.70 |
21.30 |
8/18/2016 |
37% |
7/9/2015 |
10.96 |
15.01 |
9/15/2015 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)
Stock's Long-term Chart
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years
Showing % Months UP and % Change
TTD's Breakout Profile Rating Biotelemetry Inc. (BEAT) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 13 | 0 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - INTU - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - V - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CLB - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MTRN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 14
Stocks Screened - 12,234
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Large list of breakdown stocks Thursday. Many stocks knocked lower on disappointing earnings.
SPB, based in Middleton, Wisc., produces and sells home care products such as batteries and cleaning products. Annual revenues: $5 billion. SPB's stock falls sharply Thursday after the company reported disappointing earnings for the fiscal second quarter ending March 31.
So far today, SPB is trading a heavy a heavy 11.9 million shares, 24 times its average daily volume of 561,000 shares.
TTD highlighted SPB as a short at our midsession video show on the Web.
SPB reported net of 56 cents a share for the fiscal second quarter ended in March.
That was down from the Street estimate of $1.01 a share.
The stock gapped lower in the morning and touched an intraday low of $60.13.
The stock then worked higher getting back to around $75.
Tape Action
SPB's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $94.96 in the prior session to as low as $61.85 Thursday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 34,079 shares crossed the tape at $72.38.
That was down sharply from the prior block at $94.96 on 24,555 late on Wednesday.
Business
SPB sells home car products in about 160 countries in the North America, Europe, the Middle East and Africa, Latin America and Asia-Pacific.
The company sells batteries,, appliances, pet supplies, home and garden items, hardware and car related products.
Earnings:
This fiscal year ending in September analysts have been forecasting a 21% drop in net to $4.31 a share from the $5.46 the year before. That estimate could come down further after the weak quarterly numbers.
Net for the fiscal third quarter is expected to be down 1% to $1.69 a share from the $1.71 the year before.
Charts:
SPB's daily chart shows the stock cutting below key support with big volume. The move extends the stock's recent decline.
SPB's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 45% versus an 11% gain for the stock market.
Insiders have been getting options, but the price has not been disclosed. They have not done any selling.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SPB for a decline to $58 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $78.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's special probability research of Prior Performance:
Probability - Earnings Response - Neutral. SPB rose just 5 times after the past 9 earnings reports when there was a significant change.
Probability: Seasonal Activity - Bearish. SPB declined an average of 4.4% in April but rose 1.2% in May the past several years.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SPB - BELOW AVERAGE |
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.
Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.
TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)