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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of  Stock Charts - Tuesday, April 27

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List and Performance -  Wednesday, April 28

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Investors Go To TTD Bargain Setups - Feature  - Monday, April 26

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday April 26


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks"


Go to Video Show -TTD Performance 2008 Long and Short


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Ticker Tape Digest

Wednesday, April 28, 2010


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's Trading Strategies Overview and Performance

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns.

(See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."

  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades"  (swing trades). Ideally suited for entry into stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend. Good for trading range markets

 (See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns

  (See Performance)


Conservative Bearish Investors  (swing traders).  "Bargain Bearish Plays" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for trading range markets with overall market down trend.

  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long  These are for conservative bullish Investors The strategy is called swing trading. These long buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. They are good for trading range markets. These stocks can give a good return in a week or two. They can also explode into a breakout and a powerful advance.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.

  TTD's Bearish bargain play stocks to sell short. These issues are usually in down trends and are poised to rollover after a minor rally. They often can provide a conservative bear with a good entry point.

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings.TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


                                                                                                 Breakout Stocks

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 6

Stocks Screened - 8,200

Bull side - Just a few breakouts today but some interesting plays. Bulls be conservative and watch all protective stops. Stock market appears to be going into a consolidation.

(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)

Long Term Environment for bulls:  Favorable

Market (Daily) - NYSE  Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish

Market  (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish


Today's Featured Breakout Stock

Capella Education Co. (CPLA) - 96.99, up 3.69 - Breakpoint 94.45

Profits Top Street Estimates, TTD Targets 117

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CPLA - ABOVE AVERAGE

  CPLA, based in Minneapolis, provides online postsecondary education services. Annual revenues: $335 million. CPLA's stock breaks out from a five-week flat base today and makes a new all-time high. The push to a new high is very bullish and could well attract more buying on Thursday from the new-high crowd. So far today, CPLA is trading 160,811 shares. Its average daily volume is 124,000 shares. The breakout today was triggered by good earning.

  TTD highlighted CPLA as a breakout at our midsession show on the Web Wednesday.

  CPLA's 10 minute chart shows the stock breaking out in the morning and then holding right around its breakpoint line. When the stock market started to rev up, so did CPLA. The stock moved sharply higher.

  CPLA reported earnings for the first quarter jumped 82% to 89 cents a share from 49 cents a year ago. The 89 cents a share topped the consensus estimate on the Street of 78 cents a share.

  The stock responded in a bullish way to the earnings news.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the big block trades. They are small because CPLA is a thinly traded issue.

  The price for the blocks advanced from $93.30 to a peak of $97.13. A key trade was a block of 1,496 shares that crossed at $97.13. That was up sharply from the prior block trade that went off at $95.

  CPLA runs Capella University. It offers a variety of doctoral, master’s and bachelor’s programs.

 The company offers 1,050 online courses and 36 academic programs with 124 specializations to 34,000 students.

 CPLA also offers academic services, such as new learner orientation, technical support, academic advising, research services, particularly for doctoral degree candidates, writing services and online tutoring. It also provides educational accommodations to learners with disabilities.

 CPLA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 80% versus a 40% gain for the S&P 500 index. CPLA is one of the best performers in the education stock group.

    CPLA's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in late 2006 and trading around 25. The stock climbed nicely to a peak of 75 by late 2007. It was pulled lower during the bear market hitting about 38. It has since rallied vigorously and is a leader.

  CPLA's daily chart shows the stock driving higher from a low near 68 in February to around 94. The stock then put down a small flat base well above the rising 50-day moving average line.

 The stock did attempt a breakout on Tuesday but was pulled back with the stock market's sharp drop. However, today it clears the base nicely. The stock looks to close near its high for the day. If so, that would bode well for a follow through on Thursday.

  CPLA's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is modestly bullish.

  The TTD momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is in a strong up trend. It shows no unusual distribution taking place even thought the stock has advanced sharply in recent months.

  CPLA is poised to continue to show strong profits.

  Net for the upcoming second quarter is expected to jump 42% to 80 cents a share from 56 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 85 cents a share.

  Overall net for the year should increase 38% to $3.47 a share from $2.51 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 27 which is well below its earnings growth rate this year. So, the stock should be attractive to value-growth investors. Looking out to 2011, the Street looks for a 29% gain in net to $4.46 a share from the anticipated $3.47 in 2010.

  The company is benefiting from strong enrollment growth.

  Strategy Opinion: CPLA's breakout on strong profits looks very bullish. TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 117 within the next few months. A protective stop can be placed near 92. TTD rates CPLA an excellent intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.

  Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is T. Rowe Price New Horizons Fund with a 5.1% stake. It has held its position steady. The largest buyer recently was 2-star rated Janus Worldwide Fund, which purchased 328,590 shares. CPLA has 16.7 million shares outstanding.

  Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were buyers recently using stock options. They turned around and sold. The latest selling was at $85.94. Right now, 16 analysts follow the stock, 9 have a buy, down from 10 three months ago.



  Stock Performance Chart for 12 months with Quarterly Earnings Markers.    

  


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating

Capella Education Co. - (CPLA)

TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES    
Volume     YES
Tick Volume YES  
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES  
Base - A-D YES    
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES    
Industry Group   YES
Prior Breakout Success YES    
Fund Sponsorship YES    
Total Score 13 0 1

All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)


  


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TDSC  - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ISSI - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MOLX - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HMA  - AVERAGE


Weekly - Conservative Investors Bearish (swing traders) - Go To TTD Bargain Short Trade Setups - Monday, April 26

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Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 9

Stocks Screened - 8,2007

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Good number of breakdown stocks today. Bears be selective. Stock market appears to have lost upside momentum.  TTD's feature short from Tuesday was  Unisys Corp.  (UIS) - 32.92, down 5.72. Today, the stock has fallen to 28.16 and is working very well for bears.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short

(Trading strategy: These stocks can be sold short, or if held should be sold. If a stock is sold short, a protective stop buy should be placed. Short plays work best when the stock market is in a down trend.)

  


Commentary on TTD’s Feature Bear Play

SWS Group Inc. (SWS) - 10.72, down 0.81

Posts Quarterly Loss, TTD Sees Fall to 8.50

. SWS, based in Dallas, is a diversified financial services company. Annual revenues: $462 million. SWS's stock falls sharply today with heavy trading after the company reported a loss for the fiscal third quarter ended March 30. So far today, SWS is trading a hefty 1.2 million shares, six times its normal daily volume of 214,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside.

  SWS reported a fiscal third quarter loss of 35 cents a share compared with a profit of 15 cents a year ago.

  The Street was looking for a profit of 20 cents a share. So, the results were a disappointment.

  SWS stock fell at the opening. It touched a low at 18.24 in the morning. The stock then rallied slightly and trended sideways in the afternoon.

  TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades. One can see the price of the blocks falling from $12 to $10.43. A key trade came late in the afternoon when a block of 45,700 shares traded at $10.43. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $10.61. The tape action indicated heavy institutional selling pressure.

 SWS provides investment, commercial banking and related financial services. The company is a service brokerage firm.

  This year, analysts were forecasting a 25% decline in net to 74 cents a share from 99 cents a year ago. There is a good chance the drop in net will be more.

  SWS's daily chart shows the gap move lower today. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bearish.

 Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SWS for a decline to 8.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 11.90.


  


TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission. Some of the charts are from Telescan, Insight Trading, First Alert and other sources.)