Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Thursday, April 30, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Thursday, April 30, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 27, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 8
Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list very selective as stock market falls sharply Thursday. Earnings impacting many stocks. Bulls be careful.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TILE - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TILE, based in Atlanta, makes carpet and tile. Annual revenues: $1 billion. TILE's stock breaks out today from a six-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. TILE's move was triggered by a strong earnings report for the first quarter. 
So far today, TILE is trading a heavy 2.6 million shares, five times its average daily volume of 460,000 shares.
TTD highlighted TILE as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
TILE's 10-minute chart shows the stock gapping higher in the morning and clearing its breakpoint line.
The stock hit an intraday peak of 22.73.
TILE then drifted back a bit during the day due in part to the stock market's sharp selloff.
However, the stock firmed near the close.
TILE reported net for the first quarter increased to 19 cents a share from 6 cents a year before.
The 19 cents topped the consensus estimate of 14 cents a share.
TILE's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $19.96 in the prior session to as high as $22.50.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 20,000 shares crossed the tape at $21.79.
That was up from the prior block at $19.96 on 26,623 shares.
Then near the close a massive block of 57,295 shares (duplicated) crossed at $21.73.
That was up from the prior block at $21,38 on 17,900 shares.
TILE makes and installs carpet and tile for the commercial and institutional interiors market.
They are a leader in the modular carpet segment, which includes both carpet tile and two-meter roll goods.
The company provides specialized carpet replacement, installation and maintenance services through their Re:Source Americas service network.
Their specialty products operations produce raised/access flooring systems, antimicrobial additives, adhesives and various other specialty chemical compounds.
TILE's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 20% versus an 11% gain for the S&P 500 index.
TILE's long-term chart shows the stock climbing to a peak of $20.54 in 2007, the top in the prior bull market.
The stock then fell back to $1.45 in early 2009 due to the bear market.
However, it then rallied back to around 20 by 2011, pulled back and has since come on again. 
TILE's daily chart shows the stock gapping higher in February from 16 and working its way up to 21.
It then formed a flat base.
The breakout today is good coming with a gap move and good volume.
However, the close near the low for the day should cause one to be watchful of the stock.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line lags.
This year, analysts are forecasting a robust 52% surge in profits to 94 cents a share from 62 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 22. TTD sees that as reasonable. 
Going out to 2016, the Street projects a 19% gain in net to $1.12 a share from the anticipated 94 cents this year.
Net for the upcoming second quarter should rise 28% to 26 cents a share from 20 cents a year before.
Going out to the third quarter, net is expected to jump 94% to 25 cents a share from 13 cents the prior year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting TILE for a move to 27 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 19.70.
TTD rates TILE a good intermediate-term play provided earnings remain on course.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund buyer recently was the 5-star rated Fidelity Blue Chip Growth Fund which purchased 1.2 million shares. It has a 1.8% stake.
A key fund buyer recently was the Franklin Small Cap Growth Fund which purchased 323,400 shares. It is the second largest fund holder with a 2.8% stake.
TILE has 66.4 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 95% of the stock and insiders 3%.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Not much activity lately.
Currently, 9 analysts follow the stock, 7 have a buy, up from 6 three months ago. TILE has a book value of $4.65.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Interface Inc. - (TILE) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HOLX - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AVY - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AVG - BELOW AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ACTW - BELOW AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 20 - Max
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Large list of shorts today as stock market falls sharply. Bears be selective. Many stocks falling on disappointing earnings.
SGI, based in Milipitas, Ca., sellers servers and servers for computer. Annual revenues: $516 million. SGI's stock falls sharply Thursday after the company reported a loss for the fiscal second quarter ending in March. So far today, SGI is trading a heavy 776,627 shares, six times its average daily volume of 128,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted SGI as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
SGI reported a loss for the fiscal second quarter of 25 cents a share against a loss of 64 cents the year before.
The Street was expecting a loss of 22 cents a share.
SGI's stock fell sharply in the morning and then trended sideways.
Then later in the morning it touched an intraday low of 7.84. In the afternoon, it attempted a rally but faded back.
SGI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $9.57 two sessions ago to as low as $7.94 Thursday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 6,650 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $8.90.
That was down from the prior block trade at $9.15 on 5,612 shares. (duplicated)
SGI, formerly Rackable Systems Inc, provides clustered computing, clustered storage, HPC and data center enablement and services.
It is a provider of servers, storage, and data center solutions targeting data center deployments. Its customers include firms involved in cloud computing, digital content, oil & gas, eCommerce, social networking and research and education.
This fiscal year ending in June analysts are forecasting a loss of 54 cents a share compared with a loss of 74 cents a year ago.
For the upcoming fiscal third quarter ending in June, they look for a profit of 13 cents a share against a loss of 7 cents a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SGI for a decline to 6 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 9.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SGI - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
