Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Thursday, May 2, 2013
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Thursday, May 2, 2013 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 29, 2013 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 19
Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Large number of breakouts with some interesting plays. Several lagging issues coming on now. Stock market holds up trend.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - VIPS - ABOVE AVERAGE |
VIPS, based in China, operates an online discount retail apparel site. Annual revenues: $498 million. VIPS's stock breaks out today from a six-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. So far today, VIPS is trading a heavy 701,962 shares, almost double its average daily volume of 387,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted VIPS as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web.
VIPS is a recent IPO stock from China. It has been acting very strong.
Today, VIPS's stock broke out in the morning. It then trended sideways through the rest of the morning and into the afternoon holding nicely over its breakpoint. 
(see 10-minute chart)
TTD's clip shows VIPS's big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $31.37 to as high as $33.60.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 10,000 shares crossed the tape at $31.92. That was up sharply form the prior block at $31.67.
Near the close a block of 3,134 shares crossed at $33.63, up sharply from the prior block earlier in the session at $33.09.
The tape action was very bullish.
VIPS is an online discount retailer.
The company offers branded products to consumers in China through flash sales on its vipshop.com website.
It offers a wide selection of various famous branded discount products including apparel for women, men and children, fashion goods, cosmetics, home goods and other lifestyle products.
VIPS is based in Guangzhou.
VIPS's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating a sensational 600% - well above the 10% gain for the S&P 500 index. The stock is a hot IPO from 2012.
VIPS's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in March of last year and trading around $6. The stock broke out in September of last year getting to 7. Since then the stock has been trending steadily higher. The push to a new high could draw in more buying. 
VIPS's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 10 in November to a peak of 32 in April.
The stock then forms a flat base above its 50-day moving average line. The breakout comes with a good pick up in volume and reinforces the up trend.
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is bullish showing good underlying buying.
This year, analysts are forecasting VIPS will post a profit of 59 cents a share compared with a loss of 21 cents a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 55. TTD sees that as reasonable given the earnings growth outlook.
For 2014, the Street is looking for a 136% leap in net to $1.39 a share from the anticipated 59 cents a share this year. 
For the upcoming first quarter, VIPS should show a breakeven versus a loss of 33 cents a share a year before. The highest estimate on the Street is at 4 cents a share.
The second quarter should show a profit of 11 cents a share compared with a loss of 11 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 15 cents a share.
Strategy Opinion: VIPS's breakout looks solid. The stock is a speculative breakout most suitable for aggressive investors.
TTD is targeting VIPS for a move to 41 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 31. TTD rates VIPS an average intermediate-term play with a lot depending on earnings.
Sponsorship: Very Good. The largest fund holder is 4-star rated AllianzGi Technology Institutional Fund with a 0.24% stake. it was a recent buyer of 122,439 shares. It was a new position. Also, 4-star rated Russell Emerging Markets S Fund recent purchased 23,200 shares - a new position.
VIPS has 55.2 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 4% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Not available. Four analysts follow the stock, 3 have a buy, up from 2 three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Vipshop Holdings Ltd. - (VIPS) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 12 | 1 | 1 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AOL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - GIL - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - V - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DAL - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 4
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small number of breakdown stocks today, but some interesting plays for bears. TTD's short play from Wednesday was Kforce Inc. (KFRC) at 12.89. Today, KFRC is trading at 12.70 and working okay for bears.
RAIL, based in Chicago, makes railcars for North America. Annual revenues: $677 million. RAIL's stock gaps lower today and cuts below key technical support. So far today, RAIL is trading 250,043 shares, five times its normal daily volume of 55,500 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted RAIL as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
RAIL's stock fells sharply in the morning hitting an intraday low of 18. The stock then lifted modestly and trended sideways in the afternoon.
RAIL's tape action shows the recent big block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks declining from $20.20 to as low as $18.48.
A key bearish block trade came in the morning when a block of 2,093 shares (duplicated) crossed at $19.59. That was down from the prior block trades at $20.20.
RAIL makes aluminum-bodied railcars in North America used to carry coal.
The firm also refurbishes and rebuilds railcars and sells forged,cast and fabricated parts for railcars.
T his year, analysts are forecasting a 63% drop in earnings for RAIL to 59 cents a share from $1.60 a year ago. For the first quarter, earnings should plunge 88% to 9 cents a share from 81cents the year before.
RAIL's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower on big volume today. The move causes RAIL's price to cut below key support. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is now bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting RAIL for a decline to $14.30. A protective stop buy can be placed near 19.90.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RAIL - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
