Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout and Leading Stocks - Wednesday, May 4, 2016 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 2, 2016 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 18
Overall Quality of Breakouts - BELOW AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. However, one needs to be selective. REIT stocks dominated breakout list. Stock market still in pull back phase after recent rally.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Bearish
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CONE - AVERAGE |
CONE, based in Carrollton, is a real estate investment trust that develops data center properties. Annual revenues: $399 million. CONE's stock moves higher Wednesday and clears its six-week, flat base.
CONE is part of the strong acting REIT sector. The move higher was sparked by better than expected earnings for the first quarter.
So far today, CONE is trading 1.3 million shares, almost double its average daily volume of 726,000 shares.
CONE's stock pushed steadily higher in the morning . It cleared its breakpoint around noon.
The stock then trended sideways through the afternoon. Then near the close the stock pushed higher.
CONE's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $45.36 in the prior session to as high as $46.26.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 14,200 shares crossed the tape at $45.73.
That was up from the prior block trade at $45.36 on 32,305 shares.
The stock finished strong as a block of 30,645 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $46.26.
That was up from the prior block trade at $46.10 on 28,000 shares.
The company provides data center facilities that are used by technology firms.
Its customers operate in various industries such as energy, oil and gas, mining, medical, technology, finance, and consumer goods and services.
The company's property portfolio includes 32 data centers in the United States, United Kingdom, and Singapore.
CONE's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 45% versus a 2% decline for the S&P 500 index.
CONE's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2013 at $21.12.
The stock fell back $17.41 later in 2013. However, since then CONE has been trending steadily higher.
The breakout Wednesday carries the stock to a new high. That is bullish because technically there is no overhead resistance.
CONE's daily chart shows the stock breaking out from a base in February.
The stock ran up to a peak near 46 by March. The stock then forms a new base.
Today's breakout comes with a good pick up in volume.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator (bottom of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) lags.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 16% increase in net to $2.51 a share from $2.17 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 18. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Going out to 2017, analysts predict a 17% rise in net to $2.93 a share from the anticipated $2.51 this year.
Net for the first quarter came in at 63 cents a share, up from 49 cents a year before.
The 63 cents topped the consensus estimate at 60 cents a share and matched the highest estimate at 63 cents.
Going out to the second quarter, the Street is predicting a 19% jump in net to 60 cents a share from 50 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CONE for a move to 54 after this breakout.
A protective stop can be placed near 44. TTD rates CONE a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund buyer recent was the Invesco Real Estate C Fund which purchased 1.1 million shares. The 3-star rated fund has a 1.5% stake.
One of the largest fund holder is Prudential Jennison Equity Income C Fund with a 3.3% stake. It was a recent buyer of 254,603 shares.
CONE has 77.6 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 97% of the stock and insiders 2%.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders were light sellers recently.
Currently, 17 analysts follow the stock, 13 have a buy, down from 14 three months.
CONE has a book value of $16.43 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Cyrusone Inc. - (CONE) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EPR - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - REG - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock -AVA - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EQY - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 20
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Large list of breakdown stock Wednesday. Bears can be venturesome. Stock market moving lower. TTD's short from the prior session was Waddell & Reed Financial at 19.64. Wednesday, it closed at 19.06 and is working well for bears.
HTWR, based in Framingham, Ma., makes implantable heart pumps. Annual revenues: $276 million. HTWR's stock falls sharply Wednesday after reporting a wider than expected loss. TTD sees more on the downside.
TTD highlighted HTWR as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
HTWR is trading a heavy 2.1 million shares, seven times its average daily volume of 267,000 shares.
HTWR reported a loss of 95 cents a share. That was more than the Street estimate of a loss of 73 cents a share.
The stock responded by gapping lower in the morning. It touched 28.66 in the morning.
The stock then rallied to 31.26, but then it rolled over again and trended lower the rest of the day.
HTWR's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $34.51 in the prior session to as low as $28.81 Wednesday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 25,000 shares crossed the tape at $31.09. That was down from the prior block at $34.51 on 18,140 shares.
HTWR makes miniaturized implantable heart pumps or ventricular assist devices to treat advanced heart failure in the U.S., Germany, and internationally.
It also sells HeartWare Ventricular Assist System, which comprises a VAD or blood pump.
This year, analysts are forecasting a loss of $3.22 a share compared with a loss of $2.89 the year before. Going out to 2017, the Street is projecting a loss of $2.18 a share.
HTWR's daily chart shows the stock falling from 50 in January to as low as 22 that month. The stock rallied back to 40 in February, pulled back and today breaks down.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting HTWR for a decline to 23.50 within the next few months or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 30.10.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HTWR - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)