Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday. May 6, 2014 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 5, 2013 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 7
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list shows some interesting plays. Stock market falls sharply and looks to work to the lower part of the trading range. Bulls be conservative.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ZBRA - ABOVE AVERAGE |
ZBRA, based in Lincolnshire, Il., makes direct thermal and thermal transfer label printers. Annual revenues: $1 billion. ZBRA's stock breaks out today from a 10-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high, which is bullish. So far today, ZBRA is trading 1.6 million shares, almost double its average daily volume of 945,000 shares.
ZBRA's stock rose slightly in the morning. (see 10-minute chart) The stock hugged its breakpoint line most of the day.
Then late in the session ZBRA pushed higher clearing its breakpoint line. Volume late in the day also picked up .
The company reported first quarter earnings per share diluted of 82 cents versus 46 cents a year ago.
The news was bullish and the stock moved higher.
ZBRA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $70.62 in the morning to as high as $73.98.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 5,000 shares crossed the tape at $70.84.
That was up from the prior block at $70.62 on 15,885 shares.
Then later in the day near the close a block of 21,169 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $73.98.
That was up sharply from the prior block at $73.46 on 5,223 shares.
ZBRA makes direct thermal and thermal transfer label printers, radio frequency identification printer/encoders, dye sublimation card printers, related accessories and support software.
Through the Specialty Printing Group, it designs and makes specialty printing devices that print variable information on demand at the point of issuance.
These devices are used by manufacturers, service and retail firms and governments for automatic identification, data collection and personal identification in applications.
ZBRA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 60% versus an 18% gain for the S&P 500 index. In February, insiders were significant buyers (see green bar on chart). That was a the time of the prior earnings report.
ZBRA's long-term char shows the stock climbing from around $20 back in 2001 to as high as $62.40 by 2004. The stock, however, moved lower the next several years and felt the impact of the bear market. The stock tumbled back to 16 in 2008.
However, since then the stock has been working higher benefiting from the bull market. It has made a fourfold move.
ZBRA's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 50 back in December to a peak near 72 by March.
ZBRA then put down a flat base. However, there was a nasty shakeout in April that came with heavy volume.
The stock afterwards stabilized and rallied back. Today, it breaks out!
ZBRAs' TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is solidly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart is in a strong up trend and broke out before the price of the stock.
This year, analysts are forecast a 23% increase in ZBRA's earnings to $3.45 a share from $2.80 a year ago.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 21. TTD sees that valuation in line with the current growth rate.
Looking out to 2015, the Street projects a 12% gain in net to $3.86 a share from the anticipated $3.45 this year.
Net for the upcoming second quarter is expected to jump 26% to 80 cents a share from 63 cents a year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 82 cents a share.
The company has done well topping the Street estimate the past three quarters.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ZBRA for a move to 90 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 69 giving it some room.
TTD rates ZBRA an average intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Very Good. Some key fund buying by 5-star rated Fidelity Focused Stock Fund which purchased 54,000 shares.
Also, the 5-star rated AMG Managers SKyline Special Equities Fund was a buyer of 13,300 shares.
The largest fund holder is the 4-star rated Royce Premier Investment Fund with a 4.4% stake. It recently sold 100,000 shares.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Not much activity in recent months. Currently, 5 analysts follow the stock, 2 have a buy, up from one three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Zebra Technologies Inc. - (ZBRA) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - APC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CKEC - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HHC - AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NTI - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 6
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Short plays pickup as stock market moves down the trading range. Bears be selective. TTD's short from Monday was Relypsa Inc. (RLYP) at 20.44. Today, the stock has declined to 20.04 and is working well for bears.
HGR, based in Austin, Tex., provides orthotic and prosthetic patient care services. Annual revenues: $1.1 billion. HGR's stock falls sharply today after the company reported lower first-quarter earnings. So far today, HGR is trading a heavy 927,205 shares, four times its average daily volume of 204,000 shares.
TTD highlighted HGR as a short at our midsessin video show on the Web Tuesday.
HGR reported earnings for the first quarter declined to 17 cents a share from 27 cents a year ago. The earnings were below the Street estimate of 23 cents a share.
HGR's stock gapped lower in the morning sinking to an intraday low of 30. The stock bounced up to 31.94 quickly.
However, it then trended lower the rest of the day showing times of sharply selling.
HGR's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $34.67 a few sessions before to as low as $31.25 on Tuesday.
A key bearish trade came when a block of 6,355 shares crossed the tape at 31.25. That was down sharply from the prior block trade that crossed at $33.62 on 7,608 shares.
Hanger Inc was incorporated on March 3, 1988. The Company is a provider of services and products that enhance human physical capabilities.
The company distributes O&P devices and components, manages O&P networks, and provides therapeutic solutions to the broader post acute market.
It has two operating segments: Patient Care and Products & Services. Patient Care is comprised of Hanger Clinic, Cares, Dosteon, other related O&P businesses and its contracting network management business.
The company has 1,150 clinics that coordinates all aspects of O&P patient care for insurance companies. It operates 740 O&P patient care clinics located in 45 states.
This year, analysts are forecasting an 11% rise in earnings to $2.16 a share from $1.95 a year ago.
HGR's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower with expanding volume. The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting HGR for a decline to 25 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 32.20.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - HGR - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)