Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, May 6, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Wednesday, May 6, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 4, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 4
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list small as stock market falls broadly. Bulls be conservative. Earnings impacting a lot of stocks.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BIO - AVERAGE |
BIO, based in Hercules, Ca., makes products and systems used for medical research. Annual revenues: $2.2 billion. Today, BIO breaks out from a five-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. It came public back in 2002 at $48.30. 
TTD highlighted BIO as a breakout at our midsession video show Wednesday.
The stock shot higher in the morning to clear its base. The run up was triggered by stronger than expected earnings for the first quarter.
The stock hit an intraday peak at 147.13. The breakpoint was at 139.30.
The stock then pulled back a bit, rallied again and then trended sideways the rest of the day.
The stock held up well against the stock markets decline.
BIO came in with first quarter earnings of 61 cents a share, up from 23 cents a year ago.
The 61 cents topped the consensus estimate of 33 cents a share.
The wide margin on the "beat" is very bullish and could propel the stock higher.
BIO's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $134.69 in the prior session to as high as $144.23 Wednesday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 5,607 shares crossed the tape at $140.
That was up sharply from the prior block at $134.69 on 4,860 shares.
BIO Makes products and systems for the life science research, healthcare and analytical chemistry markets.
The company's products are used to separate complex chemical and biological materials, and to identify, analyze, and purify their components.
It operates in two segments, Life Science and Clinical Diagnostics.
The life science segment offers electrophoresis, image analysis, molecular detection, chromatography, gene transfer, sample preparation, and amplification products and services.
The clinical diagnostics segment provides control, autoimmune, diabetes, and blood virus testing products.
BIO's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 36% versus an 11% gain for the S&P 500 index.
One can see heavy insider selling in April and May (red bars on chart)
BIO's long-term chart shows the stock advancing from $57 in 2006 to a peak of 115 in 2007, the top in the prior bull market.
The stock then fell back to 51 by early 2009 due to the following bear market.
Since then the stock has trended higher. However, with some sharp pull backs during the course. It has almost tripled from its 2009 low.
BIO's daily chart shows the stock breaking out from a base 120 in late February.
The stock ran up to around 139.
It then formed another tight flat base.
The breakout today is impressive.
It comes with heavy volume and a widening of the daily spread (range from high to low).
The stock's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) compliments the price action.
This year, analysts have been forecasting a modest 3% rise in net to $3.15 a share from $3.05 a year ago.
However, with the "big beat" in the first quarter that estimate probably will be bumped up. TTD could see $3.50.
Going out to 2016 analysts look for a 19% gain in profits.
BIO's earnings for the upcoming second quarter are expected to be down 29% to 77 cents a share from $1.09 a year ago.
However, in the third quarter net should leap 49% to 58 cents a share from 39 cents the year before.
As one can see from our table, BIO tends to be erratic with earnings compared with Street estimates.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BIO for a move to 170 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 137.
TTD rates BIO an average intermediate-term play. It most appropriate for aggressive investors since earnings tend to be volatile versus Street expectations.
Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund holder is 4-star rated Easton Vance Atlanta Capital SMED Cap 1 Fund with a 4% stake. It has held its position steady.
The largest fund buyer recently was the Gotham Absolute Return Institutional Fund which bought 115,400 shares. It has a 0.40% stake.
BIO has 24 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 1% of the stock and insiders 94%.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $57 to $88 a share. They were sellers around $135 recently.
Currently, 2 analysts follow the stock and one has a buy and one is neutral, the same sentiment as three months ago. The company has a book value of $75.17.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Bio Rad Labs Inc. - (BIO) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - PLCE - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EA - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IACI - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 20 - Max
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Large list of breakdown stocks today. Bears can be venturesome. Stock market weakening now.
FOSL, based in Richardson, Tex., makes and sells watches, handbags and belts. Annual revenues: $3.5 billion. FOSL's stock falls sharply today. The stock was downgraded by Cowen & Co. FOSL came in with higher earnings, but revenues were weak due to currency impact. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted FOSL as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Wednesday.
The company came in with earnings for the first quarter of 91 cents a share. That topped the consensus estimate of 64 cents a share.
However, the stock moved lower through the morning hitting an intraday low of 76.40.
In the afternoon, the stock lifted, but then turned lower again.
FOSL's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $91 in the prior session to as low as $77.21 in the morning.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 22,469 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $84.03.
That was down from the prior block at $91 on 20,000 shares.
Then later in the day a block of 72,428 shares crossed at $80.04. That was down sharply from the prior block at $80.96 on 7,200 shares.
FOSL sells men's and women's watches, handbags, belts, small leather goods, jewellery, sunglasses, hats, gloves and scarves, jeans, outerwear, fashion tops and bottoms, tee shirts and optical frames.
Its brands include MICHELE, Zodiac, Relic, Emporio Armani, DKNY, Armani Exchange, Michael Kors, Diesel, Burberry, Marc by Marc Jacobs, Adidas, Skagen Denmark, and Karl Lagerfeld.
It sells. through department stores, specialty retail stores and specialty watch and jewellery stores.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 21% decline in earnings to $5.58 a share from $7.10 a year ago. Net for the upcoming second quarter is expected to drop 33% to 66 cents a share from 98 cents the year before.
FOSL's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from 110 in January to around 81 by February. The stock then trended sideways. Today, it gaps lower and on big volume cutting below support.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting FOSL for a decline to 70 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 83.50.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FOSL - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
