Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Tuesday, May 7, 2013 |
Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, April 29, 2013 |
Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 19
Overall Quality of Breakouts - Average
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Large number of breakouts with some interesting plays. Bulls be venturesome. Stock market holds its up trend with several leading issues working well.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
(See Top Performing Breakout Stocks for 2011- 2012)
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - LBTYA - ABOVE AVERAGE |
LBTYA, based in Englewood, Ca., operates broadband distribution operations and content companies outside the USA. Annual revenues: $10.3 billion. LBTYA's stock breaks out today from a six-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high.
So far today, LBTYA is trading 3.1 million shares. Its average daily volume is 2 million shares.
LBTYA's 10-minute chart shows the stock clearing its breakpoint in the morning. The stock continued to advance nicely until about noon.
In the afternoon, LBTYA trended sideways holding the bulk of its gain.
LBTYA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks advancing from $74.98 a few sessions ago to as high as $78.16 on Tuesday.
A key bullish block came in the morning when 29,800 shares crossed the tape at $76.60. That was up from the prior block trade at $75.18.
The tape action showed good institutional buying through the morning.
LBTYA owns interests primarily in broadband distribution and content companies operating principally in Europe, Asia, and Latin America.
Through its subsidiaries and affiliates, LBTYA is one of the largest cable television operators in terms of subscribers outside the United States.
LBTYA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 58% versus an 18% gain for the S&P 500 index.
LBTYA's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2004 and trading around 14. The stock advanced to a peak of 45 in 2008. However, the bear market pulled it down to 9 by early 2009.
The stock turned up in mid-2009 and has been a star performer having made almost an eightfold move. The push to a new high on Tuesday could bring in more buying on Wednesday.
LBTYA's daily chart shows the stock climbing from 55 back in November to a peak around 75. The stock then put down a flat base above its rising 50-day moving average line.
The breakout today comes with a nice widening of the daily spread showing an ease of price movement.
The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in a strong up trend showing good buying interest.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 50% surge in net to $3.18 a share from $2.13 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 24. TTD sees that as attractive for value-growth investors.
Net for the first quarter should come in at 29 cents a share compared with a loss of 3 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at 30 cents a share.
Going out to the second quarter, net should surge 169% to $2.13 a share from 79 cents a year ago.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting LBTYA for a move to 92 off this breakout. A protective stop an be placed near 74. TTD rates LBTYA a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Very Good. One of The largest fund holders is Fidelity Contrafund with a 0.90% interest. The 5-star rated fund has held its position steady.
A key buyer recently was 5-star rated T. Rowe Price Media and Telecom Fund which purchased 75,400 shares.
LBTYA has 256.8 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 90% of the stock.
Insider Activity: Modestly Bearish. Insiders were recent buyers at $20.48 using stock options. They sold at $73.90.
Currently, six analysts follow the stock and all six have a buy, the same sentiment as three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Liberty Global Inc. - (LBTYA) |
TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
Near 52-week High | YES | ||
Volume | YES | ||
Tick Volume | YES | ||
Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
Base Structure | YES | ||
Base - A-D | YES | ||
Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
Industry Group | YES | ||
Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ININ - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CORE - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FNGN - ABOVE AVERAGE |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - DTV - ABOVE AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 6
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Modest number of shorts as stock market holds up trend. Bears be selective. TTD's short from Monday was Linn Energy LLC at 35.42. Today the stock has declined to 35.29 and is working well for bears.
RKUS, based in Sunnyvale, Ca., makes routers, and adapters used for Wi-Fi. Annual revenues: $215 million. RKUS's stock falls sharply today with heavy volume after the company disappointed with first quarter results. So far today, RKUS is trading a heavy 3 million shares, seven times its average daily volume of 406,000 shares.
TTD highlighted RKUS as a short at our midsession video show on the Web.
The company reported a breakeven for the quarter compared with a profit of three cents a share a year ago. The Street was forecasting a profit of three cents a share.
The stock gapped lower in the morning. It hit an intraday low of $14.10. It then trended sideways the rest of the day unable to mount a rally.
RKUS's tape action shows the recent block trades. One can see the price for the blocks falling from $18.45 a few sessions ago to as low as $14.42 Tuesday afternoon.
A key bearish block came when 8,700 shares crossed the tape at $14.95 that was down from the prior block when went off at $15.80 the prior day after the NYSE close. The block trade before that was at $18.40.
RKUS was a strong IPO stock. It topped around $26.50 in February after a run up from $14 in November.
RKUS makes routers, adapters, and wireless access gateways, as well as managed wireless local area network, backhaul, and triple-play carrier services.
The company sells its products to the hospitality, education, healthcare, warehousing and logistics industries.
This year, analysts have been forecasting a 75% jump in net to 25 cents a share from 14 cents a year. That forecast may come down.
RKUS's chart shows the stock falling from 26 back in February to around 16. Today's breakdown comes with big volume and a gap move. The stock's accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is in an overall down trend showing clear selling pressure.
Strategy Opinion: Although RKUS is extended to the downside, TTD is looking for a decline to 11.40 within in the next few months. A protective stop buy can be placed near 15.60.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RKUS - AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)