Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Friday, May 8, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Friday, May 8, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 4, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 16
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Bulls be selective. Stock market volatile and still in a trading range.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NHTC - ABOVE AVERAGE |
NHTC, based in Dallas, sells wellness and beauty products. Annual revenues: $125 million. NHTC's stock rises sharply Friday and breaks out from a five-week base. The move was triggered by a strong earnings report. So far today, NHTC is trading 572,475 shares. Its average daily volume is 415,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted NHTC as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.
NHTC reported earnings for the first quarter jumped to 54 cents a share from 26 cents a year ago.
Revenues leaped 76% to $40.7 million from $23.2 million a year ago. The company got 92% of its revenues from Hong Kong operations. 
NHTC's 10-minute chart shows the stock clearing its base in the morning with volume picking up.
The stock continued higher hitting an intraday peak in the late afternoon at 27.40.
It then closed near its high for the day.
NHTC's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $25.40 in the prior session to as high as $27.20 Friday.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 9,400 shares crossed the tape at $26.
That was up from the prior block trade at $25.40 on 4,956 shares.
NHTC, a direct-selling and e-commerce company, sells wellness, beauty, and lifestyle products to consumers and business builders under the NHT Global brand name.
The company makes and supplies its products through third parties.
Its wellness products include liquid, encapsulated, tableted and powder dietary and nutritional supplements, herbal supplements, vitamins, and minerals.
The company's beauty products include anti-aging and hydrating cleansers, creams, lotions, serums, and toners. Its lifestyle products are made up of weight management and energy enhancing supplements.
It operates in North America, Hong Kong, Taiwan, South Korea, Japan, Italy, and Slovenia, as well as in Russia, Kazakhstan, and Ukraine. The company sells its products through its network marketing
NHTC's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 300% versus a 12% gain for the stock market.
Insiders were recent heavy sellers. (see red bars on performance chart)
NHTC's long-term chart shows the stock falling from 18 back in 2005 to as low as 25 cents in 2008 during the bear market.
The stock then spent time being a "penny stock."
In 2013, it broke and has since been driving sharply higher. It is one of the big percentage winners of the past three years. (See long-term chart).
NHTC's daily chart shows the stock forming a cup-and-handle base.
The breakout today carries the stock to a new all-time higher. Its prior high was 26.50 set back in 2004.
NHTC's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has hit a new peak and compliments the price action.
The company says it has some 62,010 active distributors. 
It also raised its quarterly dividend to 3 cents a share and approved a $5 million stock repurchase program.
There are no analysts' estimates for NHTC's earnings.
TTD sees the company with potential to earn $2 a share.
That would give it a p/e ratio of 27 which is reasonable.
In the prior year, NHTC earned $1.62 a share.
Strategy Opinion:TTD is targeting NHTC for a move to 32 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 23.80.
TTD rates NHTC a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations. The stock has the chance to pick up more of an institutional following.
Sponsorship: Average. The largest fund holder is the James Small Cap Fund with a 0.24% stake. The 3-star rated fund has held its position steady.
NHTC has 12.5 million shares outstanding. Insiders hold 46% of the stock. Institutional holdings are not available.
Insider Activity: Neutral. Insiders have been light sellers recently. There was insider buying using stock options at $3.50 a share.
Currently, there are no analysts ratings on the stock. NHTC has a book value of $2.12.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Natural Health Trends Corp. - (NHTC) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AMSG - ABOVE AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MMI - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - MA - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NKE - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 9
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Good list of shorts Friday even though stock market heads higher. Bears be selective. TTD's short from Thursday was Tronox Ltd. (TROX) at 19.30. Today, the stock has declined to 18.83 and is working well for bears.
PRA, based in Birmingham, Ala., provides property and casualty insurance, and reinsurance products in the U.S. Annual revenues: $852 million. PRA's stock falls Monday after the company reported a drop in first quarter net. TTD sees more on the downside. 
TTD highlighted PRA as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.
PRA reported first quarter net declined to 67 cents a share from 76 cents a year ago.
The news disappointed the Street.
PRA's stock gapped lower in the morning and fell to an intraday low of 43.11.
The stock then lifted slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day.
PRA's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $45.60 in the prior session to as low as $43.61 on Friday.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 2,431 shares crossed the tape at $44.30. That was down from the prior block trade at $45.60 on 9,106 shares.
The company operates through four segments: Specialty Property and Casualty, Workers' Compensation, Lloyd's Syndicate, and Corporate.
It offers professional liability insurance for healthcare professionals and facilities; professional liability insurance for attorneys; liability insurance for medical technology and life sciences risks; and workers' compensation insurance for employers, groups, and associations.
The company markets its products through independent agencies and brokers and the internet.
This year, analysts have been forecasting a 12% decline in PRA's earnings to $2.75 a share from $3.13 a year ago. Net for the second quarter is expected to decline 2% to 68 cents a share from 69 cents the year before.
PRA's daily chart shows the stock trending sideways and then today gapping lower on big volume.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting PRA for a decline to 36 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 46.20.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BIOS - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD
Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
