Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Thursday, May 14, 2015
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Daily - Go to TTD's Tape of Stock Charts - Thursday, May 14, 2015 |
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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 11, 2015 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 22
Overall Quality of Breakouts - AVERAGE
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - Breakout list large with some good looking plays. Stock market drives higher. One needs to be watchful since the market has tended to whipsaw.
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Favorable
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Ticker Tape Digest's
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CRTO - ABOVE AVERAGE |
CRTO, based in Paris, France, provides high-tech display advertising services. Annual revenues: $956 million. CRTO's stock breaks out today from a 13-week flat base. The move comes with a good expansion in volume to 1.8 million shares, more than double its average daily volume of 710,000 shares. 
CRTO was highlighted at TTD's midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
CRTO's stock moved steadily higher and cleared its breakpoint in the morning (See 10-minute chart).
The stock peaked at midday at 48.15.
It then pulled back slightly and trended sideways the rest of the day. 
There was some strong buying near the close. That is bullish. A key will be for CRTO to follow through on the upside Friday.
CRTO's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $44.50 in the prior session to as high as $47.51 Thursday afternoon.
A key bullish trade came late on Wednesday when a massive block of 200,000 shares crossed the tape at $44.60.
That was up from the prior block at $44.50 on 14,780 shares.
The tape action indicates aggressive institutional accumulation. That block trade was followed by a block of 64,700 shares crossing at $45.25, up from the prior block at $44.60. 
CRTO is a global technology company that specializes in performance display advertising.
The Company offers clients a range of solutions such as click per cost, online banner displays, user optimization, data security, and search management tools to control campaign costs.
It serves companies in the online retail, classifieds, and travel segments.
CRTO's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 41% versus a 13% gain for the S&P 500 index.
CRTO's long-term chart shows the stock coming public in 2013 and trading around 42.
The stock shot to an all-time high of 60.95 in early 2014.
However, CRTO reversed and fell back to 25. Since then, CRTO has worked higher. The breakout to a 52-week high could draw in more buying.
CRTO's daily chart shows the stock climbing from around 37 back in December to a peak near 46 by February.
The stock has since formed a flat base with most of the work done in the lower part of the base. 
The breakout Thursday is impressive clearing resistance with a good pick up in volume and a widening of the daily spread (range from high to low).
The TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is strongly bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) is trending higher overall showing good underlying buying.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 37% jump in CRTO's net to 96 cents a share from 70 cents a year ago.
Analysts have been raising their estimates.
The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 43. That is reasonable.
Going out to 2016, the Street looks for a 40% jump in net to $1.34 a share from the anticipated 96 cents this year.
Net for the second quarter should jump 75% to 14 cents a share from 8 cents a year ago.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 25 cents a share. That shows some analysts look for a strong quarter and is a boost from the prior 19 cents a share. .
The company has topped the Street consensus estimate the past five quarters - impressive!
(see table)
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CRTO for a move to 58. That is up from our prior target of 55. A protective stop can be placed near 44.
TTD rates CRTO a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Excellent. The largest fund holder is the 5-star rated Fidelity OTC Portfolio with a big 7.7% stake. It was a recent buyer of 41,200 shares.
The largest fund buyer recently was the 5-star rated VA CollegeAmerica SmCap Growth Inst. Fund which purchased 235,000 shares. It now has a 0.81% stake.
CRTO has 61.5 million shares outstanding. Institutional holdings are not available.
Insider Activity: Not available. Currently, 9 analysts follow the stock, 8 have a buy, down from 9 three months ago. CRTO has a book value of $6.65.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Criteo SA - (CRTO) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 14 | 0 | 0 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - TDG - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FDS - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - EXR - AVERAGE |
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FCS - AVERAGE |
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 7
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.
Bear Side - Small list of breakdown plays but some look good for bears. Stock market rallies now across trading range.
INVE, based in Fremont, Ca., provides security technology for information. Annual revenues: $81.3 million. INVE's stock falls sharply today after the company reported a loss for the first quarter greater than expected. So far today, INVE is trading 448,246 shares, double its average daily volume of 191,000 shares. 
TTD highlighted INVE as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
The company reported a first quarter loss of 54 cents a share.
That was much more than the consensus Street estimate of 15 cents a share.
INVE's stock gapped lower and cut below key technical support in the morning.
The stock hit an intraday low of 6.77 in the morning. It then trended sideways the rest of the day with a slight lift late in the session.
INVE's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $8.90 in the prior session to as low as $7 in the morning.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 11,962 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $7.48.
That was down from the prior block trade at $8.90 on 7,931 shares.
INVE provides solutions in the connected world, including premises, information and everyday items.
The solutions are implemented using hardware, software, digital certificates, and mobility and cloud services.
Its products are used in corporate employee identification cards, company email, information technology networks and facility access control, in national ID cards and passports, transport passes and banking.
This year, analysts have been forecasting a profit of 10 cents a share compared with a loss of $1.36 a year ago. However, that estimate could come down. They expect INVE to show a loss of 8 cents a share in the second quarter.
INVE's daily chart shows the stock trending low from 14 back in January to around 8 by April. The stock attempted a rally, but has since faded and now broken below support with volume.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting INVE for a decline to 5.20 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 8.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - INVE - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
