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Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Monday, May 14 |
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Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks" |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
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Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are
most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent. 
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Breakout Stocks
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 0
Overall Quality of Breakouts - N/A
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - No Breakouts Friday. Stock market falls sharply late in the day. Bulls be patient and watchful. Stock market trending lower now. (Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Neutral
Stock Market Momentum:
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
None
(No breakouts today. So, TTD features a stock close to its breakpoint)
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TTD's Quality Rating of Stock -AIRM - ABOVE AVERAGE |
AIRM, based in Englewood, Co., provides air medical emergency
transportation. Annual revenues: $719 million. AIRM's stock is in a 12
-week flat base and poised to breakout to a new all-time high. TTD highlights AIRM today because it is close to breaking out and acted well despite a drop in the stock market Friday. The company is expected to show strong profits this year. 
So far today, AIRM's stock is acting well despite a falling market. AIRM's volume is running at 96,807 shares. Its average daily volume is 81,000 shares.
The stock is thinly traded. It has 12.8 million shares outstanding.
AIRM's 60-minute chart shows the stock edging above its breakpoint line recently, but then fading. The stock has firmed and dug in its heels. So, TTD sees AIRM still in a good position to reemerge from the base at any time.
TTD's clip of the tape shows AIRM's recent block trades. 
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $90.90 to as high as $92.01. A key bullish trade came when a block of 4,489 shares crossed the tape at $92.01 (duplicated). That was up from the prior block trade at $90.60..
AIRM services North America. The air medical unit offers their clients helicopters and airplanes equipped with medical interiors for flights from the scene of an accident or general hospital to a trauma center.
The products division makes and installs aircraft medical interiors and other aerospace products.
AIRM's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 45% versus a 3% drop in the S&P 500 index.
AIRM's long-term chart shows the stock advancing from 10 back in
2005 to a peak of 60 by 2007. The stock then fell back to 18 during the
bear market which ended in early 2009. Since then the stock has flown ahead and is in position to make new highs. 
AIRM's daily chart shows the stock advancing from 70 late last year. It climbed to a peak of 92 in February. The stock has since been trending sideways. However, there were two recent shakeouts to the downside.
The stock rebound strongly, though, putting it in position to breakout at any time.
AIRM's TTD momentum indicator (top of chart) is bullish.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) has risen sharply in recent sessions. It is showing good buying strength that compliments the stock recent price advance.
This year, analysts are forecasting a 46% jump in net to $5.63 a share from $3.87 a year ago. The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 16. TTD sees that as reasonable.
Earnings for 2013 should rise a modest 9% to $6.17 a share.
AIRM is poised to show a big 85% jump in net for the second quarter. The Street expects $1.59 a share, up from 86 cents a year ago. The highest estimate on the Street is at $1.69 a share. TTD sees excellent chances for an upside earnings surprise. The past four quarters, AIRM topped the consensus estimate by 19 cents a share, 5 cents, 9 cents and 10 cents.
Earnings for the third quarter should rise 29% to $1.86 a share from $1.44 a year ago.
Revenue growth is running at 45% which is being aided by a recent acquisition. 
Strategy Opinion: TTD suggests accumulation of a partial stake in AIRM with further buying to be done on a move over 93.60. TTD is targeting the stock for a move to 118 after a breakout. A protective stop can be placed near 90.
TTD rates AIRM a good intermediate-term play.
Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund holder is Prudential Jennison Small Company Fund, 3-star rated, with a 4.2% stake. It was a recent seller of 9,739 shares. A key buyer recently was 4-star rated Fidelity New Millennium Fund which picked up 32,200 shares.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders have been light sellers of the stock. Some have exercised options and bought at $24.81 and $22.77 recently. The selling was around $92. Four analysts follow the stock, and all have a strong buy, the same sentiment as three months ago.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers
Insider Activity - Buying in Green - Selling in Red
| TTD's Breakout Profile
Rating Air Methods Corp. - (AIRM) |
| TTD Check List | Bullish | Bearish | Neutral |
| Near 52-week High | YES | ||
| Volume | YES | ||
| Tick Volume | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Daily | YES | ||
| Price Trend - Long Term | YES | ||
| Price Daily Spread | YES | ||
| Base Structure | YES | ||
| Base - A-D | YES | ||
| Earnings-Quarterly | YES | ||
| Earnings-Long Term | YES | ||
| Earnings Outlook | YES | ||
| Industry Group | YES | ||
| Prior Breakout Success | YES | ||
| Fund Sponsorship | YES | ||
| Total Score | 12 | 0 | 2 |
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
None
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 20 -maximum
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Neutral.
Bear Side - Large number of breakdown stocks today. Bears be venturesome. TTD's short from Thursday was Sandisk (SNDK) at $32.51. The stock has dropped to $31.64 and is working well for bears.
IMOS, based in Bermuda, provides semi-conductor testing and assembly services. Annual revenues:$616 million. IMOS' stock falls sharply today with heavy volume. The drop was triggered by the firm reporting a loss for the first quarter. So far today, IMOS is trading 576,383 shares, double its normal daily volume of 252,000 shares. TTD sees more on the downside. 
IMOS reported a loss for the first quarter of 21 cents a share compared with a loss of 16 cents a year ago. The loss was a surprise and came with a drop in revenues.
IMOS' stock fell sharply in the morning hitting an intraday low of 11.01. The stock then bounced up slightly and then trended sideways the rest of the day.
TTD's clip of the tape shows the recent big block trades. One can see the price for the blocks falling from $13.53 to $11.68. A key bearish trade came when a block of 4,900 shares crossed at $11.68. That was down sharply from the prior block trade at $12.62.
CMOS provides a range of back-end testing services, including engineering testing, wafer probing and final testing of memory and logic/mixed-signal semi-conductors.
It also offers a selection of leadframe-based and organic substrate-based package assembly services for memory and logic/mixed-signal semi-conductors.
The company’s advanced leadframe-based packages include thin small outline packages and its advanced organic substrate-based packages include fine-pitch ball grid array packages.
In addition, IMOS provides gold bumping, testing and assembly services for liquid crystal display and other flat-panel display driver semiconductors by employing tape carrier package, chip-on-film and chip-on-glass technologies
IMOS' daily chart shows the stock advancing from 6 in December to almost 20 by March. The stock then worked lower and sought to form a bottom around 13. Today, the stock breaks below that key support level with expanding volume.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting IMOS for a decline to $8.50 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near 12.50.
| TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - IMOS - BELOW AVERAGE |
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: B. J. Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)
