Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout Stocks - Tuesday - June 7, 2022 |
(WMV video player download for Google) https://videoconverter.iskysoft.com/play-video/wmv-player-for-chrome.html Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Swing - Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.
Monday - June 6, 2021
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakout Stocks - 9
Quality of Breakouts - Above Average.
Stocks Screened - 6,500
Bull side - Large list of breakouts Tuesday as stock market pushes higher.
Stock market - Market rallies within a bear market. Bulls be selective. Market still vulnerable.
Comment - Aggressive bulls can be venturesome as energy stocks still dominate. June and July tend to be seasonally bullish.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Today's key earnings beats: ASO, SJM, CURV, PlAY and LMNR.
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bullish |
Dow - Bearish |
Dow - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bearish |
Nasdaq - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
S&P 500 - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bullish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AAR - Above Average |
AAR, based in Wood Dale, Il., produces products for commercial aviation and defense markets. Annual revenues: $1.7 billion. AAR's stock drives higher Tuesday and breaks out from its 12-week, cup-and-handle base.
So far today, AAR is trading a heavy 771,144 shares, triple its average daily volume of 251,000 shares.
TTD sees good chances for more on the upside.
AAR's stock moved higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line around noon.
The stock then paused. It resumed its advance again and reached an intraday peak at $52.83 in the afternoon.
It then trended sideways into the close.
In after-hours trading the stock was up 35 cents a share.
Tape Action
AIR's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks rising from $49.84 in the prior session to as high as $52.38 in the afternoon.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 3,632 shares crossed the tape at $51.25.
That was up from the prior block the day before at $48.84 on 21,425 shares.
Near the close a big block of 41,375 shares crossed at $52.35.
That came on an up tick from the prior trade at $52.34 on 200 shares.
That was bullish.
Business
AIR, produces spare parts and maintenance support for aircraft operated by its commercial and government/defense customers.
It provides customized inventory supply chain management, performance-based logistics programs, customer fleet management and aircraft component repair management services.
The company makes pallets, shelters and containers used to support the U.S. military’s requirements for a mobile and agile force, including engineering, design and system integration services for command and control systems.
Charts
AIR's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 28% versus a loss of 3% for the stock market.
Insiders were recent buyers using stock options at $18.94 to $24 a share.
They were sellers at $35 to $51 a share recently.
AIR's long-term chart shows the stock rising from $18.36 in 2016 to a peak at $52 by 2020.
However, the stock took a tumble down to $8.56 by 2020 as the stock market fell.
Since then ASH has rallied strongly to $52.
AIR's daily chart shows the stock rising from $38 in January to a peak near $52 by April.
AIR then pulled back and formed a classic cup-and-handle base.
The breakout comes with a widening of the daily spread and expanding volume.
Idea.
The stock's CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish..
Earnings Outlook
This fiscal year ending in May, the Street predicts an 89% surge in net to 2.48 a share from the $1.31 the year before.
For fiscal 2022, analysts project a 34% increase in net to $3.32 a share from the anticipated $2.48 this fiscal year.
For the fiscal fourth quarter ending in May, analysts expect a 68% leap in net to 79 cents a share from the 47 cents the year before.
Then in the fiscal first quarter ending in August , they see a 33% jump in net to 69 cents a share from the 52 cents the prior year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AIR for a move to $62 within the next few months, or sooner.
A protective stop can be placed near $48.
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Average Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stocks Prior Performance:
Breakout Success |
Bullish |
AIR scored good gains off recent breakouts. |
Response to Net |
Bullish |
AIR rose 10 times after 15 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bullish |
AIR avg gain 6% in June, loss 2.1% in July. |
Earnings Beats |
Bullish |
AIR beat net estimates 18 times after 20 reports. |
Stock's Prior Performance After a Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
11% |
3/21/2022 | 46.08 | 51.14 | 4/20/2022 |
17% |
2/25/2022 | 43.58 | 51.14 | 4/20/2022 |
14% |
2/19/2021 | 39.33 | 44.79 | 3/11/2021 |
87% |
11/9/2020 | 21.26 | 39.71 | 1/14/2021 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs. Sell point can be a cut below the 50-day M/A.)
TTD Breakout Stock
Long- Term Chart |
Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings |
12 - month Performance Chart vs. S&P 500 |
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Darling Ingredients Inc. - Breakout Stock |
Consol Energy Inc. (CEIX) Breakout Stock |
Beacon Roofing Supply Inc. - Breakout Stock |
National Fuel Gas Co. - Breakout Stock Net to Climb 38% for Fiscal 2022 (Sept.) |
Ticker Tape Digest’s
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action - 5
Stocks Screened - 6,500
Long-Term Environment for Bears: Favorable.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts but some interesting plays. Market in rally phase within a bear market.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - REVG - Below Average |
REVG, based in Brokfield, Wisc., makes special parts for vehicles used for fire engines and ambulances. Annual revenues: $2.4 billion. REVG's stock falls sharply and undercuts key technical support.
The drop was triggered by disappointing earnings.
TTD sees more on the downside.
REVG reported net for the fiscal second quarter ended in April of 17 cents a share.
That was well below the Street estimate of 24 cents a share.
TTD highlighted REVG as a short at our midsession video show on the Net.
REVG's stock gapped lower in the morning and undercut key technical support.
The stock touched an intraday low of $9.50 in the morning.
It then lifted to $10.44 and then trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.
In after-hours trading, REVG was up 8 cents a share.
Tape Action
REVG's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $10.50 in the morning to as low as $9.64 shortly afterwards.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 5,700 shares crossed the tape at $9.64.
That was down from the prior block at $10.50 on 15,894 shares near the opening.
Business
REVG makes specialty vehicles and parts. it handles terminal trucks and industrial sweepers and recreational vehicles.
It has three segments. Fire & Emergency segment sells fire apparatus equipment, Kovatch Mobile Equipment, Ferrara Fire Apparatus and Spartan Emergency Response, and ambulances.
The firm's recreation segment serves the RV market through American Coach, Fleetwood RV, Holiday Rambler, Renegade RV, Midwest Automotive Designs and Lance brands.
Charts
REVG's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from $15 down to $11 by April.
The stock tried to form a bottom.
However, it now gaps lower with big volume on bearish news.
The CCI momentum indicator is extremely bearish.
Earnings:
This fiscal year ending in Oct., analysts predict a 9% decline in net to $1.08 a share from the $1.19 the year before.
For the fiscal third quarter, the Street predicts an 11% decline in net to 33 cents a share from the 37 cents the prior year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting REVG for a decline to $8.50 within the next few months or sooner.
A protective stop buy can be placed near $10.50
Suitability: Average Bears.
TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:
Response to Net |
Bearish |
REVG rose 6 time after 15 earnings report. |
Seasonal Success |
Bullish |
REVG avg. loss 0.5% in June, gain 1.4% July. |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Guide: Symbol=Ticker, Name=Corporate name, Entry is the buy price to enter on the breakout, Last=prior close, Change=change from last close to prior, Date=date of price of close etc, Gain in blue is price above breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is price below breakpoint (entry)., % Gain in blue is % over breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is % below breakpoint (entry)
Copyright --- Ticker Tape Digest - 2022
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-704-3331 or 480-878-8381
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TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)