Daily - Go to TTD's Chart scroller of Breakout Stocks - Monday - June 27, 2022 |
(WMV video player download for Google) https://videoconverter.iskysoft.com/play-video/wmv-player-for-chrome.html Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks |
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By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.
We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers 1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades. 2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show. 3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show. 4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day. Trading Strategies Bullish Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance) Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance) Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance) Bearish Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance) |
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The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Swing - Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco leo@tickertapedigest.com.
For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.
Monday - June 27, 2021
TTD's Breakout Stocks
Stock Market Overview
Total Buy Breakout Stocks - 1
Quality of Breakouts - Average.
Stocks Screened - 6,500
Bull side - Only one breakout Monday as stock market declines modestly.
Stock market - Market rallying within a bear market. Bulls need to be selective and watchful.
Comment - Breakout list small. Coming to the end of the second quarter. There may be some portfolio window dressing.
See Latest Earnings Reports - A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Today's key earnings beats with a stock on the move higher: DLNG, NKE and CNXC
Stock Market Momentum
(Daily is based on a moving average)
Market (Daily) |
Market (Weekly) |
Market (Monthly) |
Dow - Bearish |
Dow - Bearish |
Dow - Bearish |
Nasdaq - Bullish |
Nasdaq - Bearish |
Nasdaq - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bearish |
S&P 500 - Bearish |
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CHEF - Average |
CHEF, based in Ridgefield, Ct., sells specialty foods in the U.S. and Canada such as pastry, cheese and dairy products. Annual revenues: $1.7 billion. CHEF's stock moves higher Monday and breaks out from its 10-week, flat base.
CHEF is trading a heavy 887,712 shares, more than double its average daily volume of 298,000 shares.
TTD sees chances for more on the upside.
CHEF's stock moved higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line.
The stock reached a peak at $41.04 late in the day.
It then backed off slightly.
In after hours trading CHEF was up 27 cents a share.
Tape Action
CHEF's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the prices for the blocks rising from $38.90 in prior session to as high as $40.81 late in the day.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 6,442 shares crossed the tape at $39.29
That was up from the prior block at $38.90 on 219,819 shares in the prior session. .
Near the close a big block of 56,244 shares crossed at $40.58.
That was down from the prior block at $40.81 on 13,600 shares.
Business
CHEF is a distributor of specialty foods in the U.S. and Canada.
The company sells pastry, cheese and Charcuterie, dairy and eggs, oils and vinegars and kitchen supplies.
CHEF operates through the foodservice distribution segment, which is concentrated in the U.S.
The Company’s customer base consists primarily of menu-driven independent restaurants, fine dining establishments, country clubs, hotels, caterers, culinary schools, bakeries, patisseries, cruise lines and casinos.
Charts
CHEF's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 30% versus an 8% loss for the stock market.
Insider have not done any recent buying.
They were sellers at $35 to $39 a share. .
CHEF's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $12 back in 2017 to a peak at $42 by 2019.
The stock fell back to $3.55 in 2020 when the stock slumped. However, CHEF has since rallied to $40.58. .
CHEF's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $27.50 in March to a peak at $39 by May.
The stock pulled back and now rallies strongly the past few session to breakout from its flat base.
The CCI momentum indicator is strongly bullish.
Earnings Outlook
This year, analysts project a profit of $1.22 a share compared with a loss of 6 cents a share the prior year.
Going out to 2023, the Street predicts a 21% rise in net to $1.47 a share from the anticipated $1.22 this year.
Quarterly earnings will be strong.
Net for the second quarter should jump 775% to 36 cents a share from the four cents the year before.
The company beat the Street estimate the past four quarters by 7 cents a share, 8 cents, 11 cents and 39 cents.
For the third quarter, the Street predicts a 150% leap in net to $30 cents a share from the 12 cents the year before.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CHEF for a move to $48 within the next few months, or sooner.
A protective stop can be placed near $37..
Intermediate-Term Rating: Average.
Suitability: Aggressive Bulls.
TTD's special research of Stocks Prior Performance:
Breakout Success |
Bullish |
CHEF scored big gains off recent breakouts. |
Response to Net |
Bullish |
CHEF rose 10 times after 15 earnings reports. |
Seasonal Success |
Bullish |
CHEF avg. loss 6.4% in July, gain 12% in July. |
Earnings Beats |
Neutral |
CHEF beat net estimates 10 time after 20 reports. |
Stock's Prior Performance After a Breakout
Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior to cut below 50-day M/A. |
Date of Breakout |
Break point Price |
Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A |
Date Trade Closed |
68% |
11/23/2020 | 20.70 | 34.74 | 4/19/2021 |
75% |
2/19/2018 | 21.86 | 38.31 | 10/1/2018 |
(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.
Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs. Sell point can be a cut below the 50-day M/A.)
TTD's Feature Breakout Stock
Long- Term Chart |
Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings |
12 - month Performance Chart vs. S&P 500 |
Ticker Tape Digest’s
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action - 2
Stocks Screened - 6,500
Long-Term Environment for Bears: Favorable.
Bear Side - Small list of shorts Monday even as market declines.
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SHI - Below Average |
SHI, based in Shanghai, China, produces oil and petroleum products. Annual revenues: 75.9 billion Chinese Yuan. SHI's stock falls sharply Monday and undercuts key technical support.
So far today, SHI is trading 42,190 shares, double its average daily volume of 15,000 shares.
TTD sees more on the dowmside.
SHI's stock fell in the morning and was highlighted by TTD as a short at our midsession video show.
The stock then trended sideways the rest of the day.
In after-hours trading, SHI was up 8 cents a share.
Tape Action
SHI's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $18.96 in the prior session to as low as $17.10 in the morning. date.
A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 4,831 shares crossed the tape at $17.10.
That was down from the prior block at $18.96 on 1,017 shares.
Business
SHI processes crude oil into synthetic fibers, resins and plastics, intermediate petrochemicals and petroleum products.
The company operates in five operating segments. The synthetic fibres segment produces polyester and acrylic fibers, which are used in the textile and apparel industries.
The resins and plastics segment produces polyester chips, polyethylene resins and films, polypropylene resins and polyvinyl alcohol granules.
Charts
SHI's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from $23 in March down to $17.57.
The stock then tried to rally and got to $20.
However, it backed off and now gaps lower undercutting recent support.
The CCI momentum indicator is very bearish.
Earnings:
SHI should show a 13% decline in net this year to 2.58 a share from the $2.97 the prior year.
Looking out to 2023, analysts predict a $3.52 a share, up 36% from the anticipated $2.58 this year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting SHI for a decline to $14 within the next few months or sooner.
A protective stop buy can be placed near $18.70.
Suitability: Aggressive Bears.
TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:
Response to Net |
Bearish |
SHI rose 0 times after 1 earnings report. |
Seasonal Success |
Bearish |
SHI avg. loss 7.26% in July, loss 6.3% in Aug.. |
Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500
Insider Buying in Green - Insider Selling in Red
Guide: Symbol=Ticker, Name=Corporate name, Entry is the buy price to enter on the breakout, Last=prior close, Change=change from last close to prior, Date=date of price of close etc, Gain in blue is price above breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is price below breakpoint (entry)., % Gain in blue is % over breakpoint (entry), Gain in red is % below breakpoint (entry)
Copyright --- Ticker Tape Digest - 2022
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-704-3331 or 480-878-8381
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TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.
TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays. There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.
TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.
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(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)