Ticker Tape Digest

Friday - January 21, 2022

By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

   Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.

  We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

   The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Swing - Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

   To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.   

   For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-878-8381 or 480-704-3331.

Friday - January 21, 2021

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakout Stocks -  None.

Quality of Breakouts - None

Stocks Screened - 12.234.

Bull side -  No breakouts Friday as stock market falls sharply.

Stock market  - Major averages are very bearish daily and weekly.

Comment - No  breakouts as stock market falls sharply and broadly. Bulls be careful. Monday could see another sharp decline. Key now will be earrings reports - 430 reports expected next week and 400 the following week.

See Latest Earnings Reports -  A company that tops the Street's highest earnings estimate has potential to go higher. Key earnings beats - PBAM.

Stock Market Momentum

(Daily is based on a moving average)

Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work.

They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other.

(Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks near breakpoint by using market order or stop buy.  They can also be bought soon after a follow through move, sometimes on an intraday pullback.

Friday - Breakouts 

 None

Today's Featured TTD Stock

CF Industries Holdings Inc. (CF) - 66, up 1.70 - Breakpoint 230.89

Net To Rise 143% for 2021, TTD Targets 80

    CF, based in Deerfield, Il., makes several fertilizer products. Annual revenues: $4.1 billion. CF's stock moves higher Friday and now is close to possible reemerging from cup-and-handle base.

  So far today, CF is trading 7.2 million shares, double its average daily volume of 2.6 million shares.

  TTD sees chances for more on the upside. However, one needs to be very watchful since the stock market is under selling pressure.

 CF's stock moved higher in the morning and cleared some prior upside resistance. .

  The stock reached an intraday high of $67.13 around noon.

  It then trended sideways the rest of the day.

  In after-hours trading, CF was down 20 cents a share.

     Tape Action

  CF's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $64.23 in the morning to as high as $66.50 in after hours trading when some big buying came in

  A key bullish trade came in after-hours when a block of 1,966,833 shares crossed at $66.50.

  That was up from the prior block at $66 on 317,883 shares. .

  That would indicate some big accumulation.

  Business

 CF makes hydrogen and nitrogen products for clean energy, fertilizer and emissions abatement.

 The company operates nitrogen manufacturing complexes in the U.S., Canada and U.K.

 CF’s primary nitrogen products are ammonia, granular urea, urea ammonium nitrate solution and ammonium nitrate.

  Its core product is anhydrous ammonia (ammonia), which contains 82% nitrogen and 18% hydrogen.

 Its other nitrogen products include diesel exhaust fluid, urea liquor, nitric acid and aqua ammonia, which are sold primarily to its industrial customers, and compound fertilizer products.

Charts

  CF's 12-month performance chart shows the stock up 50% versus a 17% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders were recent buyers at $30.95 to $51.17 using stock options.

  They were sellers at $58 to $70 a share..

  CF's long-term chart shows the stock rising from $20.77 in 2016 to a peak at $56 in 2018.

  The stock then fell back to $20 in 2020. Since then, CF has surged back $74, and now has backed off. .

  CF's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $45 in August to a peak at $74 in December

  It had broke out from a base at $66.38.

 The stock has now been pulled back to its prior breakpoint.

 The gain Friday may indicate it has potential to move higher in coming days.

  The CCI momentum indicator is in a position to possibly turn up.

  However, the stock needs to be watched closely.

Earnings Outlook

  For 2021, analysts predict a 144%  surge in net to $3.58 a share from the $1.47 the prior year.

  The stock has a price-earnings ratio of 18. That is attractive for value-growth investors.

  Looking out to 2022, the Street projects a 246% leap in net to $12.40 a share from the anticipated $3.58 for 2021..

  Quarterly net will be very strong.

  Net for the fourth quarter should spurt 662% to $3.05 a share from the 40 cents the prior year.

  The highest estimate is at $3.69 a share.

  Profits for the first quarter should jump 413%  to $3.59 a share from the 70 cents the year before.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CF for a move to $80 within the next few months, or sooner.

A protective stop can be placed near $62.

Intermediate-Term Rating: Above Average.

Suitability:   Aggressive Bulls.  

  TTD's Special Research of Stock's Prior Performance

           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

    (In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs. Sell point can be a cut below the 50-day M/A.)

  Stock's Long-term Chart

   Stock's Price Performance after Reporting Earnings

 Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

    Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action -   8

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.

Bear Side -  Good list of shorts with some interesting short plays. Stock market breaks to the downside. Potential for more on the downside. Bears can be venturesome.

List of Stocks To Sell or Short

TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Viant Technology Inc. (DSP) - 6.96

Loss Seen for 2021 and 2022, TTD sees decline to 5.20

 DSP, based in Irvine, Ca., produces advertising software. Annual revenues: $165 million. DSP's stock moves lower Friday and undercuts key technical support.

  So far today, DSP is trading 249,907 shares. Its average daily volume is 214,000 shares.

  TTD sees more on the downside.

  TTD highlighted DSP as a short at our midsession video show.

  DSP's stock fell in the morning and undercut support. The stock lifted slightly.

  However, it then trended steadily lower the rest of the day.

  DSP closed near its low for the session. That is bearish.

 Tape Action

  BRZE's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $58.76 in the morning to as low as $55 in the afternoon.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a big block of 24,800 shares crossed the tape at $58.55.

  That  was down from the prior block at $58.65 on 1,527 shares.

  Business

  DSP is an advertising software company.  The firm’s software enables the programmatic purchase of advertising.

 The Company's platform Adelphic, demand side platform , is a software platform that is used by marketers and advertising agencies to centralize the planning, buying and measurement of advertising across channels.

The Company’s advertisement channels, include desktop, mobile, connected TV, linear TV, streaming audio and digital billboards.

 Charts:

  DSP's daily chart show the stock trending lower from $15 in September down to $8 by December..

  The stock rallied back to around $10, but has since rolled over.

It now falls below key technical support.  

 That is bearish.

 The stock's CCI momentum indicator is very bearish.

 Earnings:

  For 2021, the Street expects a loss of 71 cents a share.

  Going out to  2022, they  predict a loss of 22 cents a share.

  For the first quarter, analysts predict a loss of 18 cents a share versus a profit of one cent the year before.

  Strategy Opinion:  TTD is targeting DSP for a decline to $5.20 within the next few months or sooner.

 A protective stop buy can be placed near $7.30.

Suitability: Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's Stock Probability research of Prior Performance:  

   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

   TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2021

    TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been  a speaker at the Money Show conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

   For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-704-3331.

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  TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.  

 TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays.  There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.  

TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD  end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.

 Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)