Daily - Go to TTD's     Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks    -  Wednesday,  January 3, 2018

{short description of image}

Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List  - Wednesday, January 3, 2018

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Wednesday, January 3, 2018

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Tuesday, December 26, 2017

 

 


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


{short description of image}

Ticker Tape Digest

Wednesday - January 3, 2018


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

    To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.    For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Wednesday - January 3, 2018

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 34

Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Large list of breakouts with several homebuilding related issues breaking out. Bulls can be venturesome.

Stock market  Bullish. All major averages remain bullish in all time sectors.

Stock Market Momentum

(Based on 15 unit moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish,

  Nasdaq - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

Nasdaq - Bullish 

        S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Wednesday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Netflix Inc. (NFLX) - 205.05, up 3.98 - Breakpoint 202.43

Net to Spurt Surge 193% in Fiscal 2017 (Sept.), TTD Targets 245

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NFLX  - ABOVE AVERAGE

    NFLX, based in Los Gatos, Ca., is an Internet television network with about 86 million members in over 190 countries. NFLX's stock, a long-term  leader, breaks out Wednesday from a 13-week flat base. The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. That is bullish.

  TTD  featured NFLX as a potential breakout earlier in the week and suggested accumulation at that time.

  So far today, NFLX is trading a heavy 8.6 million shares. Its average daily volume is  5.9 million shares.

  NFLX has a beta of 1.34 versus 1.00 for the stock market. So, the stock tends to be slightly more bullish than the general market.

  NFLX gapped higher in the morning getting to its breakpoint line. (see 10-minute chart)

  The stock then cleared its breakpoint line later in the morning. NFLX climbed to an intraday high of $206.21 around noon.

   In the afternoon, it pulled back slightly and trended sideways into the close.  

  Tape Action

  NFLX's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from  $201.07 in the prior session to as high as $205.80.

  A key bullish trade came near the opening when a block of 90,005 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $202.24.  

  That was up from the prior block trade at $201.07 on 13,933 shares.

  Near the close Wednesday a block of 163,365 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $205.05.

  That actually came on an up tick with the sequence from $205.03.

  NFLX Business

  NFLX  produces viewing for subscribers via television shows and movies. They cover original series, documentaries and feature films.

  Members can watch as much as they want, anytime, anywhere, on nearly any Internet-connected screen.

  Members can play, pause and resume watching, all without commercials.

  NFLX Charts

  NFLX's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 60% the past 12-months versus a 20% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders were steady buyers recently using stock options that range from $19 to $27 a share.

 They were sellers from $183 to $195 recently.

  NFLX's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from around $5 in 2009 to a peak at $43.54 in 2011.

 The stock then fell back to $7.54 in 2012.

 However, since then NFLX has surged steadily higher. It is now at its all-time high.

  NFLX's daily chart shows the stock advancing from $165 in August to a peak near $202 by October.

  The stock then pulled back and formed a flat base with one shakeout to the downside in early December.

  NFLX firmed and has now rallied strongly breaking out from its base with good volume.

It will be important to see a follow through off the breakout.

The stock's CCI momentum  indicator is strongly bullish.

NFLX's Earnings

  For 2017, analysts are forecasting NFLX's earnings will soar 193% to $1.26 a share from 43 cents a year before.

  Analysts have been raising their estimates.  The stock has a price-earnings ratio of 159. That is high.

  However, it is okay given the earnings growth for this year.

  Going out to 2018, the Street projects an 83%  jump in profits to $2.31 a share from  the anticipated $1.26 in 2017.

  Quarterly earnings growth will be strong.

  Net for the upcoming fourth quarter is expected to leap 176% to 41 cents a share from  15 cents a year ago.

  The highest estimate on the Street is at 47 cents a share.

  Earnings report time needs to be watched closely. The company missed the Street consensus estimate the past two quarters by 3 cents a share and by one cent a share.

 Profits for the first quarter of 2018 should climb 42% to 57 cents a share from 40 cents the year before.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting NFLX for a move to $245.  A protective stop can be placed near $195..

 TTD rates NFLX a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.

Suitability:  Aggressive Bulls.

        TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success - Bullish - NFLX has scored some sensational gains after breaking out. The stock is a leader.  It has soared from $20 back in 2013 to as high as $202.

Probability - Earnings Response - Slightly Bullish - NFLX has moved higher 7 out of the past 12 earnings reports where there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Success - Extremely Bullish. -  NFLX's seasonal chart shows the stock gaining an average of 8.3%  in January the past five years and 4.8% in February.


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

              12%

     7/18/2017         167.34          188.54     7/21/2017

              13%

     4/25/2017         146.47          165.61     6/7/2017

              17%

     12/27/2016         126.31          148.06     3/30/2017

              47%

     10/3/2016         100.16          148.06     3/30/2017

                9%

     11/17/2015         115.96          126.81     12/3/2015

              81%

     4/16/2015

        69.68

         126.45

    8/6/2015

              89%

     4/17/2013         28.37          53.67

    12/20/2013

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Netflix Inc. - (NFLX)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score   14 0 0

 


Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - NVR - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - WLH -  ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BECN - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FMC - ABOVE AVERAGE

 


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 3

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears:  Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Small list of breakdown stocks. Bears remain conservative as stock market remains in up trend.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

American Outdoor Brands Corp. (AOBC) - 12.14, down 1.21

Stock Cuts Below Support, TTD Sees Decline to 9

   AOBC, based in Springfield, Ma. was formerly known as Smith & Wesson Holding Corporation. The company makes weapons for the shooting, hunting and outdoor enthusiast. Annual revenues: $903 million. AOBC's stock fall sharply Wednesday and undercuts key technical support.

  So far today, AOBC is trading 3.4 million shares. Its average daily volume is 2.6 million shares.

  The stock rolled over in the morning and cut below support. The stock touched a low of $12.15.

  The stock bounced up slightly to $12.48, but then faded and closed near its low for the session.

  Tape Action

  AOBC's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  AOBC's price for its blocks declined from $13.35 late in the prior session to as low as $12.14.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 22,574 shares crossed the tape at $12.92.

  That was down from the prior block trade at $13.35 on 54,903 shares on Tuesday.

  Business

   AOBC firearms unit makes handgun and long gun products sold under the Smith & Wesson, M&P and Thompson/Center Arms brands. It also provides forging, machining and precision plastic injection molding services.

  The company's outdoor products unit provides shooting, hunting and outdoor accessories, including reloading, gunsmithing, gun cleaning supplies, tree saws, vault accessories, knives, laser sighting systems and tactical lighting products.

  Earnings:

  Net for the fiscal year ending in April of 2018 is expected to drop 73% to 69 cents a share from $2.58 the prior year.

  Net for the fiscal third quarter ending in January is expected to tumble 78% and in the fiscal fourth quarter ending in April drop 30%.  

Charts:   

  AOBC's daily chart shows the stock cutting below key technical support. The stock remains in a down trend.

  AOBC's 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 42% versus a 19% gain for the stock market.   

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting AOBC for a decline to $9 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $13.

Suitability: Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response -  Bearish. AOBC rose 4 times after the past 9 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Best Seasonal Declines - Bearish.  AOBC rose an average of 4.1% in January the past several years and rose 1.7% in February.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AOBC -  BELOW AVERAGE


   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2017

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

{short description of image}

For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)