Daily - Go to TTD's     Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks    -  Friday  January 5, 2018

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Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List  - Friday, January 5, 2018

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Friday, January 5, 2018

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Tuesday, January 2, 2018

 


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


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Ticker Tape Digest

Friday -  January 5, 2018


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

      Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

 The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

    To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.    For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Friday - January 5, 2018

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today - 19

Quality of Breakouts - Average

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side - Large list of breakouts with some interesting plays. Bulls can be venturesome.

Stock market  - Bullish. All major market averages remain bullish in all time sectors.

Stock Market Momentum

(Based on 15 unit moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish,

  Nasdaq - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

Nasdaq - Bullish 

        S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Friday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

Kraton Corp. (KRA) - 52.72, up 1.92 - Breakpoint 50.87

Net to Climb 25% in 2017 and 31% in 2018, TTD Targets 62

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - KRA  - ABOVE AVERAGE

   KRA, based in Houston, Tex., produces specialty chemicals. It was formerly Kraton Performance Polymers, Inc. Annual revenues: $1.7 billion. KRA's stock breaks out Friday from a 9-week, cup-and-handle base.

  So far today, KRA 439,166 shares, almost double its average daily volume of 242,000 shares.

  TTD highlighted KRA as a breakout at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.

  KRA's stock drove higher in the morning clearing its breakpoint line (see 10-minute chart).

  The stock then worked its way to an intraday high at $52.97 by the early afternoon.

  The stock then trended sideways into the close.

  Tape Action

  KRA's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from  $50.31 in the prior session to as high as $52.86.

  A key bullish trade came late on Thursday when a block of 12,435 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $50.80.

  That was up from the prior block trade at $50.31 on 2,000 shares.

  Then near the close Friday a block of 13,295 shares (duplicated) crossed at $52.72.

  That was up from the prior block trade at $52.69 on 1,700 shares.   

  Business

   KRA makes styrenic block copolymers and other engineered polymers.

 The company also produces specialty products primarily derived from pine wood pulping co-products.

 It through two segments: Polymer, which comprises SBCs and other engineered polymers  and chemicals, which comprises pine-based specialty products.

  The SBCs are used as adhesives, coatings, consumer and personal care products, sealants, lubricants, medical, packaging, automotive, paving, roofing and footwear products.

  KRA also sells isoprene rubber and isoprene rubber latex used for medical products, personal care, adhesives, tackifiers, paints and coatings.  

Charts

  KRA's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 85% versus a 20% gain for the stock market.

  Insiders were recent buyers at $13 to $28 a share. They were sellers $47 to $50 lately.

  KRA's long-term chart shows the stock coming public back in 2010 at $13.55. The stock surged to a peak of $47.98 by 2011.

  However, it flipped and fell back to $14.37 later in the year. The stock then went into a long-term base.

 It broke out long-term in 2016 and has since surged from $13.47 to $52.72,

  KRA's daily chart shows the stock climbing from $32 back in September to a peak near $50.

  It put down a double-bottom base and now breaks with expanding volume.

  The stock's CCI momentum indicator is solidly bullish.

   Earnings Outlook

  Net for 2017 should be up 25% to $2.96 a share from $2.36 the year before.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of  17. TTD sees that as attractive for value-growth investors.

  Going out to 2018, the Street is predicting a 31% leap in net to $3.87 a share from the anticipated $2.96 this year.

  Net for the upcoming fourth quarter should surge 172% to 79 cents a share from 29 cents the year before.

  The highest estimate on the Street is at 88 cents a share. TTD sees good chances for an upside earnings surprise. The company topped the consensus estimate the past three quarters by 53 cents a share, 27 cents and 8 cents.

  Net for the first quarter of 2018 should come in at 96 cents a share compared with a loss of 15 cents the year before.   

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting KRA for a move to $62 off this breakout. A protective stop can be placed near $49.

  TTD rates KRA a very good intermediate-term play.

Suitability: Average Bulls.

        TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success -  Modestly Bullish. KRA has scored some good gains from time to time.

Probability - Earnings Response - Bullish.  KRA rose 8 times after 14 earnings reports when there was a significant stock price change.

Probability:  Seasonal Success - Bullish. KRA declined an average of 1.3% in January in recent years. However, it rose 8.4% in February.


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

            35 %

    9/29/2017      37.50        50.74    11/6/2017

               5%

    7/27/2017      35.51        37.20    7/31/2017

             20%

    8/10/2016      30.88        37.01    9/2/2016
             16%     4/29/2015      21.47        25.02     6/24/2015

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
Kraton Corp. - (KRA)  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly YES    
Earnings-Long Term     YES
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score   13 0 1

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ABMD - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - RCKY -  ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - AMZN - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CBPX - AVERAGE

 


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 6

Stocks Screened - 8,300

Long-Term Environment for bears:  Unfavorable.

Bear Side -  Small list of breakdown stocks but some interesting plays for aggressive bears.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Barnes & Noble Inc. (BKS) - 5.60, down 0.90

Stock Cuts Below Support, TTD Sees Decline to 4.40

  BKS, based in New York, operates book stores and sells textbooks. Annual revenues: $3.9 billion. BKS's stock falls sharply Friday. The trigger was a report of disappointing sales in recent weeks. TTD sees more on the downside.

  So far today, BKS is trading a heavy 6 million shares, four times its average daily volume of 1.3 million shares.

  TTD highlighted BKS as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Friday.

  The company said holiday sales were $953  million, down 6.4% from the year before.

  BKS's stock fell sharply in the morning and undercut technical support.

  The stock touched an intraday low of $5.57.

  The stock then leveled off and trended sideways the rest of the day unable to mount a rally.

  Tape Action

  BKS's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $6.50 in the prior session to as low as $5.40.

  A key bearish trade came in the morning when a block of 110,136 shares crossed the tape at $5.85.

  That was down from the prior block trade the day before at $6.50 on 90,412 shares.

  Business

  BKS sells books. It provides access to trade books and other content. It operates Barnes & Noble Retail and NOOK.

 The company sells hardcover and paperbacks.

BKS  also offers a textbook rental option to its customers through barnesandnoble.com. The Company offers its customers a suite of textbook options-new, used, digital and rental.  

Earnings:

  This fiscal year ending in April of 2018 analysts are forecasting a 19% increase in net to 51 cents a share. There was no comparison available from the prior year. However, that estimate may come down due to the disappointing sales.

  Net for the fiscal third quarter ending in January has been projected to rise 5% to $1.01 a share from 96 cents the year before.   

Charts:   

  BKS's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower on big volume.

  The 12-month performance chart shows the stock down 45% versus a gain of 20% for the stock market.

  One insider, Chairman Leonard Riggio was a recent buyer of 1 million shares at $6.80.  He holds 14.1 million shares.

  One insider was a recent seller at $6.90 on 21,148 shares.

  Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BKS for a decline to $4.40 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $6.20.

Suitability: Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response -  Extremely Bearish.  BKS rose just 3 times after the past 11 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal:  Neutral.  BKS declined an average of 5.6% in January in prior years, but rose an average of 13.7% in February.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BKS -  AVERAGE


   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


   TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2018

TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.

(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)