By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD
Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as breakout trades, quick trades, or bargain trades. We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.
Ticker Tape Digest's
Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers
1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.
2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.
3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.
4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.
Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)
Aggressive Investor Bullish- "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit." (See Performance)
Conservative Investors "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term." Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)
Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns (See Performance)
The TTD report also contains stocks to short as breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.
Investors should tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.
TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.
These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.
TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.
TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term. These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.
TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.
TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.
TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).
TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.
TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.
It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.
Quality rating of breakout Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.
TTD also has special feature sections on Educational Tips on Investing.
To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco email@example.com.For service, email Beverly Owen firstname.lastname@example.org. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.
Total Buy Breakouts so far today - None
Overall Quality of Breakouts - N/A
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Bull side - No breakouts Thursday. Bulls be patient and watchful. Stock market stages "bounce rally."
(Put mouse on Dow chart to see Nasdaq chart)
Long Term Environment for bulls: Bearish
Stock Market Momentum
Market (Daily) - NYSE Bullish, Nasdaq Bullish
Market (Weekly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Market (Monthly) - NYSE Bearish, Nasdaq Bearish
Ticker Tape Digest's
No Breakouts. TTD Features A Stock With Breakout Potential
TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - XOXO - ABOVE AVERAGE
XOXO, based in New York, provides consumer Internet multiplatform media services to the wedding, pregnancy and parenting, and nesting markets. Annual revenues: $141 million. XOXO's stock is in an 11-week, flat base. The stock moves higher Thursday. TTD sees XOXO as a potential breakout.
The company is poised to show strong earnings growth. TTD sees that as the key driver to push the stock higher.
Thursday, XOXO moved higher as volume came in at 87,711 shares. Its average daily volume is 80,000 shares.
XOXO moved higher in the morning getting to 15 in the morning. (see 10-minute chart)
The stock then drifted back and trended sideways through most of the day. Then late in the session it pushed to its intraday peak of 15.07.
XOXO's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $14.57 in the prior session to as high as $14.88 during the day.
A key bullish trade came in the morning when 445 shares crossed the tape at $14.63.
That was up from the prior block trade at $14.57 on 1,550 shares.
XOXO operates a network of Websites under various brands, such as The Knot, which offers wedding resources through wedding Website and mobile apps, national and local wedding magazines, and nationally published books.
It also handles The Bump, a pregnancy and parenting brand that provides personalized information and tools for anyone at any stage of their journey from fertility to pregnancy and parenting through the toddler years; and
It takes care of The Nest, which focuses on young nesters setting up homes and navigating new lives together.
The company also offers national online advertising products, including sponsored and brand-integrated content, digital banner advertisements, native banner advertising, and direct e-mail marketing.
XOXO's 36-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 60% versus a 35% gain for the stock market.
One can see heavy insider buying in XOXO early in 2015.
XOXO's long-term chart shows the stock reaching an all-time high of 32.17 in early 2007.
The stock then fell back to 5 in 2008 due to the bear market. Afterwards, XOXO traded in a long-term trading range with upside resistance at 10. The stock broke out to the upside in 2013. Since then it has been in a modest trend.
XOXO's daily chart shows the stock spiking higher in early November to around 17.
The stock then formed a tight flat base, but then gave ground as the stock market sold off sharply.
The stock appears to be poised to rally.
The accumulation - distribution line (bottom of chart) showed good buying into early December.
Since then, like the market, it has shown selling.
TTD sees strong earnings growth as the key fundamental driver for XOXO.
Analysts expect net for 2015 to jump 265% to 37 cents a share from 10 cents in 2014.
Net for the upcoming fourth quarter of 2015 should be up 200% to 6 cents a share from 2 cents the year before.
The highest estimate on the Street is at 10 cents a share. So, some are looking for a big jump.
The company topped the consensus estimate the past six quarters by a significant amount. That is impressive.
Turning to 2016, analysts project a 49% jump in net to 51 cents a share from the anticipated 37 cents for 2015.
Profits for the first quarter are expected to climb 66% to 10 cents a share from 6 cents the prior year.
Strategy Opinion: TTD suggests a stop buy near 17.15 to catch the breakout.
Aggressive investors can accumulate a partial stake now.
TTD is targeting XOXO for a move to 21 after a breakout.
TTD rates XOXO a good intermediate-term play provided earnings meet expectations.
Sponsorship: Good. The largest fund buyer recently was the 3-star rated T. Rowe Price Small-Cap Value Fund which purchased 162,800 shares. The fund has a 3.3% stake.
Also, the 3-star rated Strategic Advisers Small-mid Cap Fund was a recent buyer of 83,000 shares. It has a 0.8% stake.
XOXO has 26.3 million shares outstanding. Institutions hold 80% of the stock and insiders 6%.
Insider Activity: Slightly Bearish. Insiders have been light but steady sellers of the stock.
Currently, 2 analysts follow the stock, and both have a buy, the same as three months ago.
XOXO has a book value of 6.38 a share.
Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers.
|TTD's Breakout Profile
XO Group Inc. - (XOXO)
|TTD Check List||Bullish||Bearish||Neutral|
|Near 52-week High||YES|
|Price Trend - Daily||YES|
|Price Trend - Long Term||YES|
|Price Daily Spread||YES|
|Base - A-D||YES|
|Prior Breakout Success||YES|
Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks
Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.
Shorts from tape action so far today - 8
Stocks Screened - 8,300
Long-Term Environment for bears: Favorable.
Bear Side - Smaller list of breakdown stocks. Stock market stages "Snap Back Rally." Bears be selective and alert. Stock market still appears vulnerable to the downside.
BBY, based in Richfield, Min., sells technology products through its stores and online. Annual revenues: $40.1 billion. BBY's stock falls sharply Thursday after the company reported disappointing holiday sales. TTD sees more on the downside.
So far today, BBY is trading 20 million shares, four times its average daily volume of 4.8 million shares.
TTD highlighted BBY as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Thursday.
BBY's stock gapped lower in the morning. It fell to an intraday low of 25.61 in the morning.
The stock then lifted slightly and trended mostly sideways the rest of the day.
BBY's tape action shows the recent block trades.
One can see the price for the blocks falling from $29.93 late in the prior session to as low as $25.73 Thursday morning.
A key bearish trade came in the pre-market opening when a block of 25,000 shares crossed the tape at $27.10.
That was down sharply from the prior block at $29.93 on 145,185 shares.
BBY sells consumer electronics products. They include televisions, digital cameras and camcorders, DVD and Blue-ray players, MP3 devices, headphones and speakers, car stereos, navigation and satellite radios and computers.
Analysts are forecasting a 6% decline in fiscal fourth quarter net ending in January. That would put fiscal 2016 (January) net at $2.63 a share, up 1% from the $2.60 in the prior fiscal year.
Going out to fiscal 2017, the Street looks for a 9% increase in net to $2.86 a share from the anticipated $2.63 for fiscal 2016.
BBY's daily chart shows the stock gapping lower on big volume. The move under cuts important technical support. The stock's TTD momentum indicator has turned very bearish.
Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting BBY for a decline to 22 within the next few months. A protective stop buy can be placed near 28.
|TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - BBY - BELOW AVERAGE|
TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 20 years. His articles appear in many publications. He is also a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”
For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680. Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. P.O. Box 2044 Chandler, Az. 85244-2044. TTD “Professional Report” is available on the World Wide Web: $100 per month. Password needed. “TTD Professional“ Faxed is $200 per month. The TTD Daily Report is $39.95. Credit cards accepted.
(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)