Daily - Go to TTD's     Chart scroller of  Breakout Stocks    -  Tuesday- January 16, 2018

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Daily - Bullish Investors  - Go To TTD Pre-Market Opening Breakout Watch  List  - Tuesday, January 16, 2018

Daily - Bullish Aggressive Investor - Go To TTD Quick Trade Setups (74% win rate) - Tuesday, January 16, 2018

Go To Prior Days TTD "Reports"

Weekly - Bullish Conservative Investors - Go To TTD Long-Term Plays - Tuesday, January 16, 2018

 


Go to Video Show - "How to Make Money With Breakout Stocks


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Ticker Tape Digest

Tuesday - January 16, 2018


By Leo Fasciocco -- TTD

   Ticker Tape Digest presents its daily stock market report containing stocks to go long as Breakout Trades, Quick Trades, or Bargain Accumulation Trades.

  We also feature stocks under Significant Accumulation that are poised to breakout.

Ticker Tape Digest's

Daily schedule guide for TTD subscribers

1. Pre-market - check Breakout Watch List and Quick Trades.

2. Morning - (11:30 - 12 A.M.) - check breakout stocks tape and breakout chart slide show.

3. Midday (1 P.M.) check TTD Midsession Report and see market video show.

4. After close (4 P.M.) check final TTD Report for day.


Trading Strategies

Bullish

Aggressive Investors Bullish - "Breakout Stocks" - ideally suited for bull markets and special situation stocks. Potential for large returns. (See Performance)


Aggressive Investor Bullish-  "Quick Trade Stocks" -ideally suited for entry into top performing issues looking for a small quick profit."  (See Performance)


Conservative Investors  "Bargain Buy Trades for the Long Term."  Ideally suited for entry into top performing big cap stocks on pullbacks within overall up trend.(See Performance)


Bearish

Aggressive Bearish Investors - "Breakdown Stocks" to Sell Short. Ideally suited for bear markets or market pull backs. Potential for large returns  (See Performance)

   The TTD report also contains stocks to short as  breakdown plays and as bargain (swing trade) shorts.

  Investors should  tend to try to go with a strategy that fits with the stock market's trend, unless there is a special situation play.

  TTD's Breakout Stocks - Long are most suitable for aggressive investors seeking ideal entry points into leading stocks, especially during bull markets. They can do extremely well in bull markets with gains of as much as several hundred percent.

 These stocks can also do extremely well during strong market rallies, or if they are in a industry group that is performing very well. They tend to have strong earnings outlooks and are near new-52 week, or all-time highs.

  TTD Quick Trade Stocks - Long These are leading issues that have pulled back in recent days, but could move higher soon. They are most suitable for Aggressive Investors willing to trade short term. These stocks will do extremely  well during market advances. They have about 74% win rate. During market rally sequences the win rate is even higher. The return is small 3% to 8% in just a few days.

 TTD's Bargain Buy Trades - Long - Long Term.  These are for conservative bullish Investors These long-term buys are ideally suited for entry into stocks on pull backs within overall up trend. These stocks can give a good return long-term especially during a bull market.

   TTD also presents Stocks To Sell or Sell Short. These issues are suitable for aggressive investors willing to take short positions both as trades or for longer-term plays. These stocks will do very well during bear markets or market pull backs.

  TTD's Bearish breakdown stocks to sell short. These issues have potential to fall sharply. They often show a technical breakdown and also some fundamental business problem such as weak earnings.  

 TTD's multi-media updates include a slide-show that presents charts and analysis at midsession. Some times TTD presents feature analysis on stocks and the market. TTD uses Windows Media Files. (WMV).

 TTD also presents a "Breakout Watch List" that is up dated daily. This list consists of key stocks in position to breakout. A close watch of this list can put you in the stock just as it breaks out. A good idea is to study the list and be ready to move into a stock quickly as it hits its breakpoint.

TTD often suggests using stop buy orders to enter. It is very important to buy a breakout stock as close as possible to the breakpoint. The idea is to get "elbow room" if the stock should follow through to the upside. This is very important in being successful in making big money with breakout stocks.

It is also essential to have a stop loss strategy for all stocks in which positions are taken. Not every stock will work as expected. It is important for investors to "police" their portfolios and avoid getting trapped in any bad positions.

 Quality rating of breakout  Two key factors: 1 - Stock near all-time high in price or near a 52-week high. 2 - earnings growth current year is strong. The ideal play is a stock with an Above Average Quality Rating. The stock is near a new high and will have strong earnings. TTD's other ratings are Average and Below Average.

Quote or chart

   TTD also has  special feature sections on  Educational Tips on Investing.

   To email Mr. Leo Fasciocco  leo@tickertapedigest.com.   

   For service, email Beverly Owen owen@tickertapedigest.com. TTD’s Tel: 1-480-926-1680.


Tuesday - January 16, 2018

TTD's Breakout Stocks

  Stock Market Overview

Total Buy Breakouts so far today -  13

Quality of Breakouts - Average.

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Bull side -  Selective. There were more breakouts earlier in the day, but they faded as the market fell back. Bulls be watchful

Stock market  -  Bullish.   Major market averages still bullish. However, Tuesday, was a "distribution date." Heavy volume and then a sell off. A day like that usually gets covered up with a few up days. Bulls need to be very alert now watching all positions.

Stock Market Momentum

(Daily is based on 15 unit moving average)

Market (Daily)

 Market (Weekly)

 Market (Monthly)  

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish

 Dow - Bullish,

  Nasdaq - Bullish

  Nasdaq - Bullish

Nasdaq - Bullish 

        S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish

  S&P 500 - Bullish


Ticker Tape Digest's

Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action - Tuesday

(The “breakout List” gives all stocks breaking out of a base of five weeks or more. These stocks have a good chance to trend higher. However, a stop should be used to avoid those that do not work. They are ranked according to percentage change and classified as leaders or other. (Trading strategy: One should buy breakout stocks at breakpoint by using market order or stop buy)All Timely Breakout Stocks From Tape Action Today )  


Today's Featured TTD Breakout Stock

ASML Holding N.V. (ASML) - 186.38, up 5.51 - Breakpoint 185.81

Net to Jump 38% for 2017 and 22% for 2018, TTD Targets 220

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - ASML - ABOVE AVERAGE

   ASML, based in the Netherlands, makes chip-making equipment. Annual revenues: $6.8 billion. ASML's stock moves sharply higher Tuesday and breaks out from a 12-week, cup-and-handle base.

The move carries the stock to a new all-time high. That is bullish.

 So far today, ASML is trading a heavy 1.5 million shares, more than double its average daily volume 597,000 shares.

  ASML's stock gapped higher in the morning and cleared its breakpoint line.

  The stock reached an intraday peak of $188.50 in the morning.

  Later in the day, the stock drifted back and cut below its breakpoint line. However, it lifted in the final hour. (see 10-minute chart)

  Tape Action

  ASML's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks climbing from $180.50 in the prior session to as high as $188.23.

  A key bullish trade came in the morning when a block of 33,500 shares crossed the tape at $187.40.

  That was up sharply from the prior block trade at $180.87 on 18,170 shares on Friday.

  Business

  ASML makes semiconductor equipment consisting of lithography systems.

  The company's products include systems, and installed base products and services.

 ASML's principal operations are in the Netherlands, the United States and Asia.

 The company offers TWINSCAN systems, equipped with lithography system with a mercury lamp as light source.  Krypton Fluoride  and Argon Fluoride  light sources for 300 millimeter processing wafers for manufacturing environments for which imaging at a small resolution is required.   

Charts

  ASML's 12-month performance chart shows the stock appreciating 60% versus a 21% gain for the stock market.

  ASML's long-term chart shows the stock climbing from $32 back in 2010 to a peak near $114 by 2015.

  The stock then put in a long-term consolidation pattern. It broke out in late 2016 and has since been in a strong up trend on a long-term basis.   

  ASML's daily chart shows the stock climbing strongly from $152 in September to a peak near $185 by November.

  The stock eventually put down a cup-and-handle base and on Tuesday breaks out with a gap move on expanding volume.

  That is impressive.

   The stock's CCI momentum indicator is solidly bullish.

   Earnings Outlook

  For 2017, analysts are forecasting a 38% surge in net to $5.28 a share from $3.83 a year before.

  The stock sells with a price-earnings ratio of 35.

 Looking out to 2018, the Street predicts a 22% increase in net to $6.43 a share from the anticipated $5.28 for 2017.

  Net for the fourth quarter is expected to be down 6% to $1.25 a share from the $1.33 the year before.

   The highest estimate for the quarter is at $1.27 a share.

  TTD sees good chances for an upside earnings surprise. The company topped the consensus estimate the past four quarters by 24 cents a share, 2 cents, 13 cents and 27 cents.

  Net for the first quarter of 2018 is expected to climb 24% to $1.39 a share from $1.12 the year before.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting ASML for a move to $200

  A protective stop can be placed  $180.

 TTD rates NMIH a good intermediate-term play

Suitability:   Average Bulls.

                 TTD's special research of  Stock's Prior Performance:  

Probability - Breakout Success -  Bullish. ASML has scored some good gains off its recent breakouts.

Probability - Earnings Response - Bullish. ASML rose 6 times after the past 11 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Success -  Slightly Bullish. ASML rose an average of 1.1% in January in prior years and rose an average of 1.2% in February.


           Stock's Prior Performance After A Breakout

Stock's % Change from Breakout to peak - prior  to cut below 50-day M/A.

Date of Breakout

Break point Price

Stocks Price Peak after Breakout - prior to cut below 50-day M/A

  Date Trade Closed

             20%

    8/31/2017      154.65        186.37    11/24/2017

             37%

    7/12/2017      136.14        186.37    11/24/2017

             15%

    12/30/2016      110.20        127.27    2/16/2017
               8%     7/18/2016      102.28        110.83     8/15/2016
             12%     7/19/2012      67.73        76.44     7/27/2012

(In actual trading, entry and exit points could vary depending on broker execution.

Also, ideal are breakouts to a new 52-week high or better, perhaps all-time highs.)


  Stock's Long-term Chart


   Stock's Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red


   Stock's Monthly Seasonal Performance Chart - Past 5 Years

Showing % Months UP and % Change

               


TTD's Breakout Profile Rating
ASML Holding N.V. - (ASML )  
TTD Check List Bullish Bearish Neutral
Near 52-week High YES
Volume YES  
Tick Volume YES
Price Trend - Daily YES  
Price Trend - Long Term YES    
Price Daily Spread YES  
Base Structure YES    
Base - A-D YES
Earnings-Quarterly     YES
Earnings-Long Term YES    
Earnings Outlook YES  
Industry Group YES  
Prior Breakout Success YES  
Fund Sponsorship YES  
Total Score   13 0 1

Charts of Selected Breakout Stocks

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CORT  - ABOVE AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - UNH -  AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - FANH  - AVERAGE

                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - SODA - AVERAGE


Ticker Tape Digest’s

Stocks To “Sell or Short”

Ticker Tape Digest’s Daily List of “Stocks To Sell or Sell Short” ranks stocks well timed to be sold immediately based on daily trading. The list can be used as an alert to reduce current long-term positions.

Shorts from tape action so far today - 6

Stocks Screened - 12,234

Long-Term Environment for bears: Unfavorable.

Bear Side - Small list of breakdown stocks Tuesday. Bears be selective.


List of Stocks To Sell or Short


TTD’s Feature Bear Play

Clovis Oncology Inc. (CLVS) - 55.41, down 3.60

Loss Projected for This Year, TTD Sees Decline to 48

  CLVS, based in Boulder, Co., is a biotech firm  developing anti-cancer agents in the U.S., Europe and other international markets. Annual revenues: $78 million. CLVS's stock falls sharply Tuesday and undercuts key technical support. TTD sees more on the downside.   

  So far today, CLVS is trading a heavy 3.2 million shares, almost triple its average daily volume of 1.1 million shares.

  TTD highlighted CLVS as a short at our midsession video show on the Web Tuesday.

  CLVS fell steadily in the morning and into the early afternoon. It touched an intraday low of $54.25.

  The stock then lifted slightly and trended sideways into the final bell.

  Tape Action

  CLVS's tape action shows the recent block trades.

  One can see the price for the blocks falling from $62.78 in the prior session to as low as $54.90.

  A key bearish trade came late on Friday when a block of 56,900 shares (duplicated) crossed the tape at $59.01.

  That was down sharply from the prior block the day before at $59.93 on 30,929 shares.   

  Business

   CLVS's product candidates include Rociletinib, Rubraca and Lucitanib.

  Rucaparib is an oral, small molecule poly adenosine diphosphate approved to treat patients with deleterious breast cancer and advanced ovarian cancer.  

Earnings:

  For 2017, analysts are forecasting a loss of $7.65 a share compared with a loss of $7.76 the year before.

  For 2018, they predict a loss of $3.20 a share. Some analysts see a possible loss as high as $4.58 a shares.   

Charts:   

 CLVS's daily chart shows the stock trending lower from $86 back in October down to $57. The stock tried to rally off that low but now rolls over and is heading South with a pick up in volume.

  CLVS's 12-month performance chart shows the stock off 2% versus a 21% gain for the stock market.

Strategy Opinion: TTD is targeting CLVS for a decline to $48 within the next few months, or sooner. A protective stop buy can be placed near $56.70.

Suitability: Aggressive Bears.

  TTD's special probability research of  Prior Performance:  

Probability - Earnings Response - Extremely Bearish.  CLVS rose just one time after the past 8 earnings reports when there was a significant change.

Probability:  Seasonal Activity -  Bullish.  CLVS rose an average of 2.3% in January in prior years and 4.5% in February. Its most bearish month is November with an average decline of 21.9%.


                    TTD's Quality Rating of Stock - CLVS  -  BELOW AVERAGE


   Stock Performance Chart with Quarterly Earnings Markers vs. S&P 500

Insider Buying in Green  - Insider Selling in Red

          


   TTD takes no responsibility for trading by those using this information. The stocks presented in our report are those we deem the best looking "Day Trades" for the long side. We take no responsibility for the accuracy of this data, although every effort is made to present the information correctly. Copyright Ticker Tape Digest. - 2018

    TTD columnist Leo Fasciocco has covered the stock market for over 30 years. His articles appear in many publications. He has also been  a speaker at the Intershow conferences. He has been on television and radio. He is author of many educational articles about stock investing and the book “Guide To High-Performance Investing.”

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   For information to subscribe to the Ticker Tape Digest Services call: Beverly Owen at 1-480-926-1680.

   Distributed by Corona Publishing Enterprises. TickerTape Digest Inc. 1220 W. Sherri, Gilbert, Az. 85233.


  TTD “Professional Report” is available on the Web: $100 per month. Password needed. Published daily - around 20 times a month.  

 TTD Pro Report includes a Morning chart slide show of breakout stocks, a Midsession video-audio show with commentary on breakout stocks and shorts and a Final end of day overall report on breakout stocks for the session, short plays and accumulation plays.  There are other features too such as Quick Trades and Long-term Plays.  


TTD Daily Report is $39. It covers a Morning slide show of charts of stocks breaking out and a TTD end of day print report covering breakout stocks and shorts.

 Credit cards accepted. Payable to Corona Publishing Enterprises.


(The information contained has been prepared from data deemed reliable but there is no guarantee of complete accuracy. Ticker Tape Digest Inc. is not affiliated with any broker, dealer or investment advisor. Nothing in this publication constitutes an offer, recommendation or solicitation to buy or sell any securities. Further research is advised. This report is copyrighted and no redistribution is permitted with out permission.)